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GW Hayduke

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Everything posted by GW Hayduke

  1. I haven't been keeping up with this thread. The economoist's data guy thinks Trump is leading. "Our presidential forecast currently gives Donald Trump a 56% chance to win the presidential election. That’s about a ten percentage point shift from where we were last week when it was Harris who was nearly a 5545 favourite. So you could still say that the race is pretty close to a coin toss, but it’s gone from one that was slightly weighted towards Harris to one that is slightly weighted towards Trump, and a ten percentage point move is meaningful." https://www.economist.com/podcasts/2024/10/24/the-economists-election-model-puts-trump-in-the-lead
  2. Probably because no one told the secret service about the guy on the roof. I'm not sure why there is confusion.
  3. No way we are gonna fall for the old Hillary’s emails in a tailpipe trick again. This is why Elon purchased Twitter. The really shitty thing is seeing the times and cnn partake.
  4. What a dumbass. A middling no-name senator fucks up and says some stupid shit in a closed door setting and then goes on TV trying to fix and then and says some more stupid shit. I'm often amazed how someone with such incompetence becomes a US senator.
  5. He just needs to make it past election night. He has built a huge apparatus that will continue to run no matter what happens to him - no matter if Kamala takes over. They will continue to appoint judges, help Ukraine, implement policies like drug reform and education, and depending what the legislative branch does - hopefully pass some legislation. That will all continue if elected. If he loses - we get the dismantling of our government and democracy.
  6. Biden's cognition is fine - no matter what a couple statements at a single debate when he had the cold shown over and over on ticktock/twitter tells you. His cognition is so fine that he was able to build and manage the best white house administration this country has seen in 50 years. That is the metric of cognition that matters. Everything else is just twitter BS.
  7. In case you are unaware: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2024_Democratic_Party_presidential_primaries
  8. Yeah. Definitely not the ideal situation. But it is the one we have in front of us. Trump is a dangerous mother fucker. He would dismantle our government and democracy. That is why every needs to quite the bickering and support the democratic candidate - even if that candidate changes.
  9. I know it would probably suck to hear all of that if you were a Bernie Bro. But it doesn't matter what you think about Kamala or Pete or whoever. Joe is our candidate. There isn't anything you can do about it. There was a process. We held a primary. The people voted. Joe won. Then it was up to Joe whether he stays in. He has said he is staying in. That is that. Joe is the Democratic candidate to beat Trump. Get with the program. Get on board.
  10. You might be right, but that's exactly what Trump would like to see. Joe is our best bet to minimize the probability Trump wins.
  11. Yep. Biden gives us the best shot IMO. It isn't Kamala who was like 6th or 7th in the 2020 primary and couldn't make it to the first caucus. It isn't Bernie who was second in the 2020 dem primary. He is 82 years old and all the ageists have told us what that means. It isn't Pete, Warren, or Klobuchar. The Bernie Bros ditched Clinton and gave the white house to Trump because they felt cheated even though Bernie lost the popular vote as well as the electors. Imagine how they will react when the nominee actually lost the primary. It is ride or die with Joe. Maybe we make a switch. I'll support that person 100%. But it will be like when Charlie Strong lost to Kansas.
  12. The poll was taken immediately after the debate. It is far from over. It has the be. There isn't a viable alternative. - Biden does need to show much better during his public showings - hit the campaign trail, get on TV, drop the cold meds, kick ass at the next debate, etc. - The media and Dem talking heads needs to get their acts together. The NYT and other mainstream outlets (CNN) pushing horserace BS is fucking shit up. NYT constantly trying to put trump back in the white house is weird as fuck.
  13. A few musings on our current situation. - The goal should be to maximize the probability Trump and the current version of the GOP do not take the white house. - Biden beat Trump once. He has a lot to run on - has been the best president in the last 50 years, has passed a ton of meaningful legislation, has been a moral and decent individual, fixed the economy, fixed our relationships with our allies, and is standing with Ukraine against Russia. - Biden does need to show much better during his public showings - hit the campaign trail, get on TV, drop the cold meds, kick ass at the next debate, etc. - I don't see how there can be another viable replacement. Some see Kamala as the obvious choice to replace Biden, but she couldn't make it to the first caucus in the Democratic Primary in 2020. She was like 7th or 8th in the field of democrats. Plus, being VP doesn't make you the best candidate - it just means you were willing to take the VP job, that you had the identity to help shore up particular demographics, and that you complimented the president. Being VP doesn't mean you are better than Bernie, Pete, or Elizabeth. Plus, remember all the Bernie bros who felt cheated in 2016 and refused to vote for Hillary helping put Trump in the white house even though Bernie lost the popular count and the delegate count. Now imagine what will happen when we choose someone who literally didn't win the primary - Imagine who all would be staying home under that scenario. - The media and Dem talking heads needs to get their acts together. The NYT and other mainstream outlets pushing horserace BS is fucking shit up. NYT constantly trying to put trump back in the white house is weird as fuck. The bottom line is that we need Joe. I see him as the only viable candidate to beat trump. However, he needs to step up in a big way, Dems need to rally around him, and the media needs to stop fucking around and do their jobs - push felon, rape, project 2025, supreme court, etc. instead of Biden drama.
  14. Makes sense. Your standard is vibes and feelings and doesn't consider the effectiveness of government to make the lives of US citizens better or to increase our standing on the world stage.
  15. There hasn’t been a need for guardrails with Biden. He has been running a great administration. Arguably, the best one in the last 50 years.
  16. Joe isn't the only one in the administration.
  17. The goal is to suppress turnout of the deplorables and increase turnout of everyone else. We do that by rallying around the greatest president of the last 50 years.
  18. So if today’s Israelis are descendants from Europe, it’s not ok for Israel to subjugate, starve, and kill the civilian Palestinian population. Also, if you choose to believe Europe is not a thing, you can also believe it is not ok for Israel to subjugate, starve, and kill the civilian Palestinian population. good discussion
  19. I’ll just say that there are those in the world who want to destroy and delegitimize all governing and social institutions in the US and this is exactly what they want.
  20. We know the GOP are trash, but Dems shouldn't stoop to their level.
  21. Folks are contemplating running an AOC lite in the RGV?
  22. 2.5 million dead russians. interesting proposal.
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