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TXSooner518

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Posts posted by TXSooner518

  1. I’ve purposefully avoided watching any of the video.
    But KVUE just showed several excerpts, including officers running away from the gunfire. Including what looked to be 30-40 officers milling in the hallway, cringing when they heard the murderer shoot more, slaughtering more children on the other side of the wall. Not a single one ran to intervene, to break into that room and do whatever it took to stop children from being slaughtered.
    I cried. I yelled at the TV “you’re running fucking backwards you fucking cowards!”
    I have based my opinions up to now on what I have read. Now I have seen.
    Every officer standing in that hallway should kill himself. Now. Tonight. Without further delay. They are not worthy to still walk this earth.

    You know how they have those rage rooms where you can go and beat the shit out of stuff with like bats and the like? The kids’ families should get to do that but with those cops and let’s throw in Cruz, Abbott, and the rest of the murder enablers.
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  2. 17 minutes ago, Lurch said:

    Yeah I was kind of stuck on if I wanted LJ in the hand. I ended up jamming and he folded pretty quick. BB tank called w AA. I didn’t get there, but I was favored on the flop

    It's pretty close. Obv the biggest advantage is him folding bigger flush draws. But if he's as sticky as you say, we are also cool with him folding hands like 97s or 54s. Also rather he folds something like 99 if BB actually folds whatever he has. Given that BB called, we would rather have the 99 in since we won't win unless we also improve past 99 (obv very rarely we could improve but 99 beats us on like a 6-9 or 9d-board pair runout). 

  3. I'd jam relatively happily, we can't ever fold with SPR of 2, since literally no hand has us in awful shape (we have 31% vs 88, which is the worst hand we can see), but we also don't have massive showdown value currently, so might as well maximize our fold equity. BB prob not folding overpair, but it's not exactly 0%. If we ever get LJ to fold a bigger flush draw to clean up our outs against BB, that's pretty sweet also (doubt he's folding NFD, but might cryfold something like KQdd or KJdd, since getting it in vs nut flush draw is calamity.)  

    I don't think any option is horrific other than fold.  Jam >> Call >>>>> Minraise >>>>........>>>>>>>...>> Fold

  4. I responded to someone who said if they take the house next term it's over.  well technically gridlock the next 2 years is something. and I think if I'm betting on the next 30, I don't think the Republicans have the WH for 30 straight so at least that alone brings some gridlock.  The important point is I don't think the Dems see a sweep of the WH and both houses of Congress much if ever after this 2 year stint.

    There aren’t gonna be elections during those 30 years, at least not as we understand them. Christofascist authoritarians out front shoulda told ya.
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  5. Pretty much seen everything and played craps everywhere downtown and on the Strip over many years. We want to venture off the beaten path on our trip next month. Not way off the beaten path but within, say, 5-10 miles of the Strip.  Recommendations appreciated.  

    We ate at a great place last trip called Mama Bird. Off Cactus a few miles west of I-15. Close to South Point and M. Southern menu with cool variety of mules and old fashioned, breakfast til 3p. Highly recommend.

    66c9392f0858056e771419bd3be9ff84.jpg
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  6. Are they more fun?  Sure in that you are playing the lotto with much, much better odds.  

    Sooner - do you have a ballpark figure of your tournament hourly rate?  I know you've won the OK tourny and have a solid number of results.  Even with a few big scores under your belt - I would be really interested to hear how you come out on an hourly basis if you have a clue?  
    I just can't get past the frustration of playing a tournament for 8+ hours and then min cashing.  I guess I just haven't won enough big tournament scores to continue to want to play tourneys.
     
     

    I don’t have a clue at my hourly, no. And I certainly don’t claim that tourny > cash for everyone.

    For me, I like the aspects of:
    1) it’s a competition with sunk costs and set parameters.
    2) I have a hard time ending a cash session bc there is almost always someone there who is trying to give away their chips
    3) it just feels like every single cash session for me is fold 2 hours, see a flop and miss, fold 2 hours, get coolered/outdrawn, rebuy, repeat.
    4) I feel much stronger at tourny fundamentals than cash
    5) chance at winning many times the investment

    I have no doubt that for lots of players, cash is more fun and/or more profitable than tourneys.
  7. I seriously can’t take anyone serious who is advocating for Biden to give up THE greatest advantage he has - incumbency.

    It’s not happening.

    Remember this when DeSantis wins over an unpopular bowl of wet bran flakes that would be EIGHTY GODDAMN SIX at the end of the next term.
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  8. On 7/3/2022 at 10:37 AM, Hermanator said:

    Would this be suitable for 17 yr and 14 yr old girls? Just normal kids not hyper religious or anything. Also is there any nudity/sex as the wife still fast forwards non nudity sex scenes in Netflix shows even if only with the 17 yr old. 

    I took my 15 and 12 year old daughters. They enjoyed it. They like horror movies, definitely wouldn't break someone in on this one. Definitely lots of intensity, including some non-sexual child abuse. 

    I thought the movie was great, esp Ethan Hawke. 

  9. Yeah from a range perspective he’s ahead on the flop and perhaps that was his reasoning

    Maybe. Are you betting 75% pot here with everything you open or just stuff with good equity or just stuff with good equity and terrible equity?
  10. I think his flop call is absurdly loose and if he’s calling things like that he has enough airballs that must bluff river after you check back the 4-straight, 3-flush turn. In addition to airballs he might be turning hands like 75, 76, 65 into a bluff since they are close to worthless now and need to you to fold hands like JJ etc.

    Pre is also terrible for him. I was thinking he was BB which would be defensible.

  11. I feel like at least half and likely more of low stakes cash players are calling QJ on JT9 even monotone. Whether they should obv is up for debate and in many cases should not. Limp-call QJo UTG is way worse than any other decision he made in the hand.

  12. In one hour of poker I:

    Lost a hand for 2x average stack in a tourney with 500k up top with KK to AT on T43hh all in. Turn Ah gives me flush draw redraw but nope.

    Lose AA to K9 in a 3bet pre pot on 666 flop to running kings.

    Run KK into AA (luckily fold pre bc lol opponents lol poker lol my life)

  13. Since privacy is gone… how fast could Biden and co require a national gun registration?? They should also go ahead and mandate ALL vaccines for any pandemic type diseases (polio, small pox, etc). If we are going authoritarian, fuck it, let’s go. Rip the bandaid off and get rolling. This death by a 1000 cuts is tiring.

    I mean, reproductive rights and medical privacy no longer exist so yes the govt will be coming to forcibly vaccinate every citizen. Also every male will get a mandatory vasectomy at 13th birthday and can only get it reversed upon a showing of good cause. If you get it reversed, you get a card stating so. You must show it to your partner every time before sex so they know you’re fertile. Life sentence if you don’t.

    Every one of theses is legal and constitutional under the Alito opinion.
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  14. Excellent thank you.

    I’ve not been considering pot size, per se, when making these bet sizing decisions. I think my most typical approach is 3x the current bet, and perhaps an extra unit or two depending on how many callers there were.

    When I saw your post, my gut said 2400 was a good number so the folds weren’t surprising. I wasn’t sure if that’s what you were trying to do, but it sounds like you wanted a caller, and priced up due to table and none of them turned out strong enough to find a call.

    A common heuristic I had seen for 3b size is 2.5x if in position and 3.5x out of position. And yeah then spiced up a bit for every caller in between. That also squares roughly with my guideposts I mentioned.

    I def think I get 3 calls with 2400. So then the question becomes did I charge them enough equity to now play a 4 way pot out of position with TT, where I won’t love most flops? Not saying the answer to that question is certainly no, but that would be my concern with smaller sizing. Then on the flip side if I go too big, then I start just isolating myself against their monster hands and folding out everything I beat which also obv sucks. It’s def an art for sure, and imperfect.
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  15. I’m interested in your thought process on determining raise size in this situation.

    I’ll hang up and listen

    It’s going to vary some based on opp tendencies, my image, my range, positions, remaining stack depths, etc.

    Here when it gets to me there is 3000 in the pot and 500 for me to call. Folding is obv right out. The opener was a frequent opener and the callers were fairly loose callers. I’m way ahead of their ranges so I am def gonna raise.

    A pot-sized raise is to 4300. A half-pot raise is to 2500. I would say I’m generally going to be between those parameters barring something fairly out of the ordinary.

    Factors that support going to the high end: I am way ahead of ranges; callers are loose and may call the 3b wide; out of position so favor ending hand or limiting opponents

    Factors that support going smaller: I’m out of position; I’ve been folding for an hour so opponents may tighten up to a reraise esp a large one; I’m OOP and unlikely to get all folds with these opp so avoiding bloating pot is good.

    I think the most critical one is how far ahead of their ranges I am, so I elected to go a bit larger than 3/4 pot. I did consider 4k strongly.
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  16. 32 minutes ago, CBT said:

    jam

    I'm actually just calling here. He could be bluffing a missed draw in which case call = jam. What hands is he betting for value and calling a jam with as a "solid reg" that we beat? 99 exactly? I don't think a solid reg is calling jam on river with straight on a 3-flush paired board, esp since the board is 4-straight. Mayyyybe if he had AK since he beats all kings (but would we evvvvvvvvvver jam a bare king on this river?) but he's very unlikely to have AK since he limp/call pre. I guess the big question is what he does with a flush. I think he would certainly fold all non-nut flushes. Will he call with ace high flush? What are we raising pre, betting flop, checking turn, jamming over a river bet that loses to ace high flush here? Keep in mind ace high flush is the 3rd best clubs combo available, 4th best if he thinks we can have Q8cc, which would be an ambitious iso. 

    We lose to JT, J9, QJ, KQcc, 87cc which are all squarely in limp/call range. We also lose to QQ/JJ though those are obv not very likely with limp/call pre. 

    So I think jamming just folds out his bluffs and thin value hands and dunks us when he has us coolered, unless we are sure he stacks off with flush. Obv can't fold, but just don't see value in a jam against a good player. Against a moron, yes. 

    Flying to Vegas today for a week+ of poker, LFGGGGGGGGGGG. BTuckPoker on Twitter for anyone who wants to follow along with hand and chip count minutia. 

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  17. Is the Country Tavern in Kilgore not a thing anymore? Granted, it was 20 years ago, but a big plate of their ribs and an icy schooner of beer was a damn good cap off to a day back then.

    I went to Tavern a few months ago, still great. If you do Stanley’s @jimmyjazz go with the MotherClucker sammich, ribs mushy there now.
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