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TXSooner518

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Everything posted by TXSooner518

  1. Wynn running a $10k with $10M guarantee this summer. That's sexy! They also are doing a $1600 buyin with mystery bounties. 🔥
  2. If you are fired for something that shows you don't have the capacity to do the job, sure. Try getting another job as a banker if you steal from your bank. Or getting another job as a teacher if you beat the shit out of a kid. Should be the same if you show you aren't capable of correctly using force as a cop.
  3. Had fun getting back in the poker saddle at Venetian last week. Masks required, 8 handed, and plexiglass dividers present. The mask just doesn't bother me, and the plexiglass doesn't either except in seats 2 and 7, your "opening" is narrower and there is a pane that runs horizontally across the table that is right in your line of sight in 2 and 7, and it can def cause some confusion as it's both transparent and reflective. I was sure no one had cards and almost threw my cards away after betting the flop and thinking everyone folded, but luckily I didn't throw them away. Was super swingy, first played the $400 UltimateStack $100k guarantee, then the $400 UltimateStack $20k guarantee single day tourney. 3 total bullets, and went 0-6-1 in all-in pots, which is just filth. The only one I didn't lose, the opponent was drawing dead and had 3 chop outs and binked that (K-T-5-9 board, my QJ, his KJ, get in on turn, river Q.). Then the same guy limps for 300, another guy goes 1000, I go 2500 with KK, limper calls for 2500 with 4000 behind (lol?) other guy calls. Flop is Ks-9s-4d. I bet 1700, both call. Turn 2d. I bet 3000, both call, including the limper is now allin for his last 2300. River 8d. I jam, other guy folds. Limper has JTdd for the scoop. So he called 1/3 of his stack pre and half of his remaining stack on the flop with a gutty and bdfd on a 2 tone flop. So ridiculously bad. Then I had a stretch where I kept flopping straights and then garbage runouts happened. I had 89 on 7JT against JT and an 8 comes on turn to slow the action. Then I have 76 on 854hh, I c/r flop, turn is Kh, I bet, he raises, I call. River 6, he jams, I sigh-fold. So gross to flop the nuts then fold. After busting those, I did decide to do an unwind tourney with substances involved and played the $200 Survivor, and went 5-0 on all-in pots haha. Key to rungood: substances. Though substances and plexiglass were a perilous mixture. Played one cash session, main hand of note: 5 to flop, I have T8ss, flop T92 one spade, I bet and get 2 calls, turn 3s, I bet big, 1 call. River Ks. I bet $100, he jams for $235. Pretty grody spot, I pay off, he has 54ss and we win (sweet flop peel with someone betting into 4 players, with 3 of them still behind you yet to act). Seems like a very clear river snapcall for him as he will often be good but by raising he's just isolating against the hands that beat him. Like if I have QJ or a set, gonna be pretty tough to call there unless he's bonkers. Had a couple of nice vidya poker binks and lots of good food, beverages, and relaxation. Looking forward to summer and fall Vegas poker runs!
  4. I saw someone get arrested at Winstar bc there was a tornado warning and they herded us all into the horse betting area and we got under desks and I guess someone left like a $50 stack on the table and the guy stole it. My understanding was it was going to be a felony bc of the gaming laws. Hope it was worth it dumbshit.
  5. THEN DON'T TELL HIM TO TURN AROUND AND PUT HIS HANDS UP.
  6. This is so insanely stupid. 6 cases, 1 death on 7 million doses. Given the oft-quoted "Covid ain't played no one Pawwwwwl" survival rate of 99.7%, 7 million Covid cases will result in 21,000 deaths. 21,000 to 1, yet we are choosing more cases over more doses. Humanity just can't overcome caveperson brain. Same shit with autonomous cars. 35,000 Americans a year die in human-driven auto crashes, but 1 death in autonomous car situation is SHUT ER DOWN TIME.
  7. Not directly obviously, but are aware of how it works, what the ramifications would be, etc., yes? Also a bit of hyperbole that I could have stated a bit differently, agreed.
  8. Here's the thing - for the guy's story to be true, it puts two choices on the table, only one of which can be true, each of which seems exceedingly unlikely. Either millions of people know about this Pfizer/Moderna issue and all collectively decided to say "fuck it, let's just roll the dice, don't tell anyone" or this guy has some super secret insider info that millions of people who were involved in the development of this vaccine are unaware of.
  9. The blood thing is not actually true. There were fake blood stains in the area from a "bloodbath" on Sunday Night Heat from The Brood. I LOVE this series, but it was disappointing that they said that when it wasn't true. Watch the opening match of the PPV, you can see the stains and that's before Owen. I was also at this, we drove from OKC to Kansas City, it was my first ever PPV. The house lights were dimmed, b/c they were playing a promo on the Tron when it happened. It wasn't pitch, so I'm sure if you were at the right angle, you would see it. I was looking at the Tron, and heard a massive ker-thunk, and my first thought was it sounded like Big Show did the thing where he slingshots over the ropes to enter the ring. Can vividly remember standing and watching and not understanding the significance until they started chest compressions and then my knees literally got weak and started shaking, the only time that's ever happened to me. I was standing but leaning back against my chair.
  10. The bigger you raise, the more you narrow their continuing range. Most players are not folding at least AA or AK to a standard raise there.
  11. I like Lurch's answer also. I will say that we do have true nut advantage since we can easily have JT and a "tight UTG" cannot. Obv he can have KK and QQ and we can't. But by far more combos of JT than of KK & QQ combined (16 JT, 6 remaining KK/QQ). I don't like calling here in our shoes b/c any T, J, or spade either kills our hand or our action. I expect people to continue with a reasonably wide range, as Lurch describes. I do think UTG's range is a bit snugger than Lurch does. I wouldn't cbet all pairs in his shoes. To me betting 77 or whatever into 3 opponents on KQ9 two tone is just torching $. The chances that we are just getting that through is pretty miniscule. This board is a wet dream for the range of people calling a single raise pre.
  12. These are all great questions to think about and ask. The very difficult thing is you have to eliminate your opponents actual hand (but not range) as well as the subsequent runout when evaluating decisions. Most players can’t do that. For example, they will think “how could I have made this guy fold” just because he got there. In this hand I would not have made a standard preflop raise. You’re bloating the pot out of position with a hand that flops mediocre at best with short effective stacks. Jamming is +EV against a person who is limping hands like K3 but is super high variance and unnecessary IMO. I also think check-shoving over a minbet is losing value from our hand. We will drive out lots of hands that would continue while in bad shape while always losing the max when we are behind (we will do this anyway obv but we offset that by extracting value in other spots if we don’t force out all the hands we want to continue). If he had bet larger I think a check-jam is fine. I like leading lots of hands in unraised pots. No one has initiative so we can win more than our share by taking it. If you know one of the other two players is aggro then checking is fine to induce them to bet. The sizing of your flop raise/turn bet is a pretty minimal issue that depends a lot on your image and how thinking the people in your game are. I don’t think you made any glaring errors in this hand. I think your opp made a couple.
  13. Why do you think you could have played the hand better? What would you have done instead? He didn’t have the odds to call your flop bet or your turn jam. He also had about as good a hand as you could expect so you wouldn’t want to drive all the hands you dominate out of the pot just so he doesn’t get to make a marginally breakeven turn call here.
  14. Ah great got it. I assume you didn’t hold? [emoji35]
  15. Got my second Moderna at 515 yesterday. Through last night and this morning, just had sore arm and a little headache. Was supposed to watch a movie doubleheader with the kiddos this afternoon. Kicked in hard, second movie replaced by 150 minute nap. Just super sore everywhere, 101.3 fever, blahhhh. Nap helped a bit Wife got J&J yesterday morn, had chills last night and feels hungover with a miserable headache today.
  16. WSOP tentatively scheduled for Sept 30-Nov 23. Let’s goooooooooooo.
  17. His open limp is really bad. In your shoes I would generally lead the flop since there is no preflop aggressor and I don’t want it to check through. I would check raise a bit smaller to make him think he has fold equity and set up a slightly less than pot size jam on the turn. Once one player flops aces up and the other flops a pair plus the NFD and the effective stacks are less than 20 bigs, it’s basically gonna get all in. In his shoes i would just jam over your flop raise. I’m a bit confused what you mean by “dealing to the turn he had 24.4% and dealing to the river he had 39.6%”. He has the same number of outs each Street. Sometimes people will flip that and calculate higher odds on flop bc two cards to come. One thing to keep in mind when calculating odds you need to continue on the flop though - you can’t count your equity for turn and river unless the bet is all in. Because you may face another bet on the turn that denies your equity. But also if you’re the player drawing you have to factor in the implied odds, how much I know you will pay if I hit. Say you have AA and I somehow know it. We each have 100 BB. The flop is A59 and I have 23. You bet 5BB into 2BB on flop. I know you will call a shove if i hit. I should call despite not having the correct immediate odds. I’m not calling 5 to win 7, I’m calling 5 to win 102. Of course in reality I can’t “know” you have AA and lots of people overestimate implied odds as an excuse to not fold. Folding sucks. [emoji1787]
  18. Wife got J&J at 9:20am this morning at HEB and is in bed with chills. She says she doesn't feel bad at all, just can't get warm. I got Moderna dose 2 at 5:15pm at Kelly Reaves through Family Hospital System after getting dose 1 at Lockhart HEB. Efficient process, enjoyed not having to even get out of the car. Nothing yet, but it's very early obv. Super glad to be good to go. I also got that city of Austin email. I figure with all the lists I got on, that the next several weeks will feature lots of contacts asking if I still need vaccines.
  19. Woooooo finally got my wife a J&J appt tomorrow at the Round Rock 1431 HEB. In under the wire in time for us to hit Vegas in late April. LFGGGGH
  20. For sure, shoving allin is always >>>> calling allin (arguably unless you have exactly AA, since every other hand benefits some from fold equity). AK def plays different in tourneys than in cash. AK plays best with shallower stack to pot ratio, such that stacking off with 1 pair is clearly correct, which is more prevalent in tourney than cash. AK also plays best all-in pre, though, exactly for a reason you mentioned above - you realize all of your equity. The problem with that in cash is that you are playing, usually, 100 BB deep or so, and unless you are in with maniacs, their all-in range is not going to be wide enough to justify that. The same applies in tourneys also, getting 100 BB in pre with AK is not at all good unless your opponent is a known berserker. A 49 tournament sample size is LITERALLY nothing, which is one of the huge difficulties in poker, results that are statistically very very short-term mash our positive/negative reinforcement buttons. There are plenty of people who literally play 50 tournaments in a single day. You obv prefer good results, but improving decision-making and mindset should be based on gameplay, and not taking a tiny sample size and extrapolating that it must be b/c you play AK bad in tourneys.
  21. Hey I’d had several drinks, I was under a lot of stress, and she said it happens to everyone.
  22. If 77 is calling, so is AQ, AJ, KQs, right? Also they only realize their equity if they call your all-in bet. And being allin also means you realize YOUR equity. What if it ran out J-8-3-T-Q and you would have folded flop? And since you have AK and they are morons, you have more equity. Don't be results-oriented about the order of cards. Once it came AK3, weren't you glad he was allin and that he couldn't fold and save the rest of his chips? He was drawing all but dead and got a miracle. But anytime you can get some buffoon to shove J8 into you with zero fold equity, you already won.
  23. Right, play your range. On most flops our range crushes that of a call station. Q73 feels bad for us but if he calls pre with T8, A5, etc he doesn’t like it either. The tricky stack depth is part of why I like 3.5x rather than 5x bc that does allow us a bit more wiggle room to play post flop if only BB calls.
  24. Sign up for Family Hospital Systems vaccine list. They will email you in about 48 hours with a list to their vaccine portal and you can book a second Moderna shot at Kelly Reaves.
  25. Stack sizes are definitely awkward for postflop play. Jamming would be ok/fine. I’d raise to 3.5x and hope the BB calls and then CO jams and I can rejam. Be sure to watch your sizing in spots like this bc you wanna make sure you will be able to jam if CO jams. So if he had exactly 9bb you were ok but not if he had 8.8. The biggest problem with jamming is that it kind of turns your hand pretty faceup to something like 77-QQ; AQ, AK. Youre prob not willing to jam worse into the bigger stacked BB and you’re prob not jamming with monsters because you want value. That said, many players won’t catch on to this (but many will). The bigger thing to address is the thought process. You have a monster hand and you are hoping everyone folds and worried about inviting BB in. You love them coming in even if it doesn’t work this specific time. Massive massive lol at limping J8s off 9bb then jamming over a 5x raise. The fact they play this bad is why we are great with them stumblefucking into a pot when we have AKs.
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