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TXSooner518

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Everything posted by TXSooner518

  1. Coming Wed morning for the first time, super excite! On tamales how much lead time do you need on an order? Can you mix and match a dozen or must order full dozen of one kind?
  2. LSU and tOSU are 100% in even with a loss, assuming it isn’t 63-3 or some such. 2% chance is worse than Allstate Playoff Predictor which I didn’t think possible.
  3. I have two general admission floor seats for Randy Rogers at ACL Live Sat Nov 30th, face value ($70 for pair). PM if interested.
  4. I have two general admission floor seats for Randy Rogers at ACL Live Sat Nov 30th, face value ($70 for pair). PM if interested.
  5. Lol this is an absolutely ridiculous post. OU has improved dramatically in every statistical category. 3rd down conversions against have fallen off a cliff. The last six quarters they have played, both against top 40 offenses, they allowed 17 total points and under 300 total yards. Despite the score, the KSU game was much more on the offense which went to sleep for 2 quarters, and put the D in bad spots with turnovers. There have been several untimely turnovers by the O (which is still elite). Also lol at saying “not much improvement on the record” when comparing vs 10-1 seasons. Christ if they were 11-0 would you say “ehhh only one game better does that mean anything”?
  6. Obviously brutal luck man. I don't understand why we are checking AJ on AJ55 twice. Get value! Obv here he has the 5 but he is basically never going to have a 5 and we are letting him draw to KQ, KT hands for free and also not tolling hands with an ace. Lots of raggedy aces will pay off hoping the pair on board will make it a chop. Also don't understand the jam with AQ on Q878 esp given we have no read on this guy. We aren't making better fold, and very few worse hands are going to call. Just call turn, and let him bluff again on river if he's bluffing.
  7. The problem is calling an 8 point game a “one possession” game when more than half the time a TD will still leave that team trailing. I also disagree with the premise that late in the game a team up 9 is less conservative than a team up 8.
  8. That PFF article is just bad. Bama 50% to get in? Clemson getting in without winning the ACC? Yeah, no. The 3 unbeatens are obviously locks if they win out. The B1G champion is a lock if it is 12-1 tOSU, 12-1 Penn State, or 12-1 Minnesota who beats Ohio State in the title game The SEC champion is a lock if it is 12-1 LSU or 12-1 UGA Then there is a muddle, which I think looks like this: 1. 12-1 non SEC-champion LSU 2. 12-1 non B1G-champion tOSU 3. 12-1 PAC champion Oregon 4. 12-1 B12 champion Oklahoma 5. 12-1 B1G champion Minnesota beating PSU in title game 6. 12-1 ACC champion Clemson 7. 12-1 PAC champion Utah 8. 11-1 non B1G-champion tOSU 9. 11-1 non SEC-champion Bama 10. 11-2 SEC champion UGA 11. 12-1 B12 champion Baylor 12. 11-2 B1G champion Wisconsin 13. 11-2 PAC champion Oregon Other than Wisconsin and 2-loss Oregon, which are definitely below the rest listed, you could put these 12 in a lot of different orders and I wouldn't be totally shocked.
  9. Eh. You can game plan around lack of elusiveness and Tua needs to make certain decisions. The injury was a completely fluky thing. I mean at some point, why play Tua at all other than against the 3 or 4 toughest teams on your schedule? Pulling players before half does a disservice to the players, the fans, the entire college football system. Should the Pats just sit Brady when they play the Dolphins and Jets? I mean they don't NEED him in there to win. If he hadn't been suspended, should tOSU just sit Chase Young for the Maryland and Rutgers games? Why is Fields in there throwing in the 3rd up 35-7 on Rutgers? At some point, you have to accept it is football, and not try to results-oriented reverse engineer everything.
  10. Another idiotic take man. Literally no team takes their starters out in the first half, with very very rare FCS-type exceptions. If the dude was healthy enough to play (he was, his injury had nothing to do with his prior ankle situation), there's no reason to pull him. It's pure results oriented silliness. No one said shit about Justin Fields throwing a TD in the 3rd quarter up 35-7 against Rutgers. Exact same score when Tua got hurt, but in the 3rd Q instead of 2nd Q, and against one of the 15 worst teams in college football rather than a middle of the pack conference opponent on the road.
  11. Assuming that the blinds act first, play much tighter. The only positive of being in the blind normally is having good pre-flop position but now you have the worst position pre-flop and post flop.
  12. Somewhat depends on if we have observant opponents who are thinking about what you would have. I would never slowplay QQ or TT on this board. The combo of gutters being out there combined with getting paid by an ace is too high. AA we can occasionally risk the slowplay because of the difficulty of getting called because only one ace is left. I would occasionally slowplay KJ because we aren’t at risk of being drawn out. We can check AK, AJ, KK, JJ as pot control hands, which all have a chance to improve to the nuts but currently are one pair on a coordinated board in a six way pot.
  13. I would sometimes bet the turn but otherwise yes IMO. Betting ace high flops with KK into 5 people is just burning money. We would love to see a free or cheap turn esp since we also have the gutshot. Checking/betting turn is really close and mostly depends on player tendencies in your game. For example if BTN is in the hand and is one of those guys who could never let it check through twice better to check call his bet.
  14. Yeah you call expecting to be good 90+% of the time but he can’t call with 77 or worse when we raise and can’t have a better hand that he will fold so all raising does is get us stacked off when he does have T9s or whatever.
  15. Hey J with the Tua injury let me know if you wanna cancel the bet. I think that decreases the chances that they put Bama in which wasn’t my point in the bet. Totally fine keeping action of course but wanted to give you the option.
  16. Nah it runs out 3-5 and I lose to wheel.
  17. Sure, that's fair. Booked for $20!
  18. A9 is really close here. I’m folding A5 and not folding AJ. And against most mouthbreathers I feel solid at going with A9. But for a player willing to fold AK on AKQ to make this very strong move I think we are gonna be beat a lot. This smells like 55. I don’t think this guy is bombing J9 here. I slightly lean fold.
  19. The turn action doesn’t make sense. You have yourself acting between the blinds and then the SB folding to BB raise before you act on it.
  20. Sure $20 sounds great. Let me know what you were thinking on the wrinkle.
  21. Stop with the histrionics. Bama isn’t getting in over a 0 or 1 loss P5 champ. The B12 is respected more than ACC or PAC. PAC has missed 3 straight playoffs. B12 currently has 50% of its teams in the playoff rankings. ACC currently has 7% of its teams in the rankings. Get a grip.
  22. *berth. And by that logic you should bet the money line for every single underdog. After all, no one can say who will win any game, so you’re getting odds on a 50/50 proposition! Free money!!!
  23. Largely agree tho I think a 12-1 Minn that beats tOSU in the B1G title game is locked in.
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