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TXSooner518

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Posts posted by TXSooner518

  1. I'm a middle-of-the-road moderate who absolutely won't vote for Joe Biden. And when Trump is re-elected, Democrats can look back and ponder on why they had 4 years to run against the most repugnant person to ever hold the office, and the best they could come up with to represent Democrat ideals is an 80 year old lifelong groper who is exhibiting clear cognitive decline (now! imagine 2-3 years into the presidency.  Go back and watch Trump's 2016 debates, he's so far ahead of where he is now mentally, as well as ahead of 2020 Biden, it's scary), 

    Biden would be 6 years older than anyone who has ever won a presidential election and 9 years older than any person first elected president. And this is the best you can do??? We need an 85 year old carrying around the nuclear football?

  2. 25 minutes ago, Biff Tannen said:

    I mean, they should have more experience and knowledge than the average person, no?

     

    22 minutes ago, 4th&Five said:

    I've been selling to nurses for almost 20 years.  Some are brilliant and some are bumbling fucking idiots.

    The second post is why it is so dangerous when the fools are fools, because people give them more credibility. I mean, the hospital employee was told you have coronavirus, you are quarantined, and they went to a goddamn social gathering. Nobody can defend that. But if that same person said "I work at the hospital and blah blah blah" some people would give them credibility despite the fact that they are an obvious imbecile.

    The below clip sums it up better than I can on the selfish people who will ultimately make this worse.

     

  3. 2 minutes ago, Tuco said:

    The "don't panic" messaging on this is going to get people killed. 

    Why should I have to miss the party?

    And again, a hospital employee who should know better. Exactly what I was saying above. "BUT I WANT TO GO!!" trumps any health concerns, and is fed by the misinformation being spread. Can't wait to see how the sheeple would handle a widespread quarantine. 

    1 minute ago, Mo Horn said:

     It was nice knowing you. Do you have your will updated?

    Debts don't get inherited, so it will just kind of resolve itself. 

  4. Yeah I was at jury duty Monday and this guy behind me was talking loudly about how everyone's just freaking out and it's just the flu but weaker and "wash your hands if that really makes you feel better." He was an EMS worker, and was bragging to the guy he was talking to about how Adderall lets him power through his 24 hour shifts. Definitely disturbing to have people with that "OMG nothing to worry about" attitude who touch the medical fields 

    Meanwhile, the guy next to me just kept coughing directly into his hands (COUGH INTO YOUR ELBOW/ARMPIT YOU DAMN PIG SLOBS) then he handles the jury pay slips as they pass them down. Of course to peel his off, he licks his fingers. Passes them to me, then I pass them to the lady on my right. She then starts fiddling around picking her teeth. 

    The combo of most people's complete slobbishness, the complete resistance to modify our current lifestyle even for a short period of time, plus the combo of willful and ignorant misinformation both from citizens and government is why we are much more likely to make this a significant event than some people think. 

    People also suck at probability, and think you were stupid/wrong to prepare for an event that had a 25% chance of occurring if it doesn't actually occur.

    • Like 4
  5. 2 hours ago, Lurch said:

    Example #eleventybillion why position is so important. Think about this the next time you flat pre then flop a strong draw on the button. You have a TON of fold equity if you’re willing to play aggressively.

    Not to mention how much easier it is to keep pots small or make them big depending on your preference. 

    I will say folding isn't some awful play. We have one pair and the stacks are very deep compared to the pot. But the price is still good and our call will make them play a bit more honestly, so we are at less risk of getting pushed off the best hand. 

  6. 2 minutes ago, Lurch said:

    Had to have been $3/6, because who would raise/cap three times into two others w an obv flush out there? Maybe flop, but I’m shutting down and just calling turn and river

    People def will do this at 4/8 also. Gotta protect against that fourth heart dontcha know??? Let's ignore what "protect" means when you're betting $8 into a $200 pot.

    • Like 1
  7. stupid poker question amnesty requested.  I have never played poker in a  casino before.  have played eleventy billion hours of craps, but never poker.

    If I go play at a live table, as opposed to online:

    1: what would be reasonable blinds/ table limit to sitting down with a $200 buy in?

    2. Once i start playing, what's the proper etiquette for leaving/ returning to taking a leak or getting a drink?( New Mexico, so no waitresses)

    3. Is there an etiquette to leaving, especially after a big win?  Is there a proper time to color up?

     

    1) either 1/2 no limit (blinds $1/$2, bet up to your stack at any time) or 3/6 or 4/8 limit (blinds $1/3 or $2/4, bets in increments of $3 or $4 preflop and flop then $6 or $8 turn and river. )

     

    2) no problem at all. Go do what you need. If the blinds get to you while you are gone you will get a missed blind button. That means to get back in you will have to wait til the blinds come back in or “post” your blinds which means you pay the blind amounts and are dealt in, usually with the small blind amount starting dead in the pot.

     

    3) some people will be grumpy if you leave while up. Unless it’s a home game or a game where you are a frequent regular, fuck those people. You owe them absolutely nothing.

  8. 31 minutes ago, Nice Guy Eddie said:

    lot of hyperbole over the debate performance. First off, the entire debate format of asking adults to constantly raise their hands, can't be taken seriously. Second, anyone that supports one of the other candidates were already prepared to say that Bloomberg had the worst performance of all time because they're all afraid of him and his bankroll.

    I do think Bloomberg has to decide whether the debates are worth his time if the point of the debates is to allow the noncompetitive candidates to score hits on him. Bloomberg might just be better off to buy TV time for interviews.

     

    No it was truly awful, and not just for people who strongly support another candidate. I don't have a specific candidate that I really support (my general favorite had been Yang), but I thought it was absolutely horrendous. A guy at my office who desperately wants Trump beaten was full-on Bloomberg until last night, and now is totally off of him. 

    • Like 2
  9. 2 hours ago, LTtxfan said:

    Smart will have as many March Madness misses in five seasons (three) as Tom Penders and Rick Barnes had combined in their 27 basketball seasons on the Forty Acres.

    That's an OOOOOF

    • Like 1
  10. Hard to put that down. Nice fold.




    I’m never folding that. A3hh is 33% vs 88 on that board. If he shows us the 88 it is a very slightly -EV call. Most people are not making giant overbet jams with sets there. If we ever fold to an overpair or a smaller flush draw it’s a disaster.

    MUCH different if we have say KhJh on Th9s4h. Now they could have the nut flush draw and we are screwed fairly badly.
    • Like 1
  11. No CR, but is pretty hilarious how many people see 67 as too old to coach basketball, but 5 of the 6 most likely people to win the presidential election are 77, 78, 73, 77, and 70, with the 70 being the least likely of the 5. Too old for the pick-and-roll, but unilateral control over the largest nuclear arsenal on the planet? Sure!!

    • Like 4
  12. I think calling multiway there with KJs is fine, though we need to be aware that if we flop one pair, we aren't looking to play big pots. I think it plays too well multiway to fold it though we are OOP, and folding isn't terribad. 3betting is certainly fine depending on opponents. 

    Giant LOLOLOL at someone tanking for a less than potsize bet with AT on QTT2, no flush possible yet. Jesus Christ.

    I don't love your snap-reshove with AK on that hand. Do you think he just calls it off with 2 pair when you insta rip it back over the top? At least pause (don't do bad acting, but don't Hellmuth-gasm your chips in either).  I would be fine calling his raise, though obv a Q or J river kind of blow. I think that gets us the most money from his weaker 2 pair hands. Remember just because we are ahead of a betting/raising range doesn't mean we should raise, we would need to either be folding out better hands than ours or be ahead of his range that CALLS our raise or reraise.  That said, I don't think it's actively bad, just sub-optimal.

    The problem on the 66 hand is we need to be counting on her to fold a decent amount of hands, and lots of players aren't folding to an $80 jam with $20 already in, plus other dead money. And when she shrug calls it off, we are usually not in great shape, we are just flipping. I'd rather have an ATs or something to do this, so we are beating all her broadway hands that she shrug calls. Again, I don't think it's hugely -EV, I think it's probably about 0 EV but increases variance. 

    Yeah, overall, agree with Lurch, it's just mainly poker here, not anything egregiously OOL IMO. 

    Oh, edit to add, I really don't like the "check in the dark" thing either. What do you think you're gaining from that? It makes your hand look like what it is, a draw. If you have a pair or two pair, are you really going to want to check dark on a two spade board, allowing him to check back and draw for free at a 4th spade to beat you if a spade turns?

  13. 1 hour ago, Blotto said:

    Not that it really matters because the odds are shitty either way, but I try to get better at the math behind poker. I would guess the odds for this scenario would be (2/47)*(1/46)=1/1081, no? How do you get 1 in 1600?

    No, yeah, you're much closer. I would put it at exactly 2/43 x 1/42, so 1/903, since we know 9 cards before we need the runners (the 3 flop cards, and the 3 hands). If you were sitting there with KQdd and thinking, hmm what are my odds to catch running straight flush, I think your 1/1081 is the right answer, since they only know 5 cards, not 9. 

    I was shorthanding it while typing on my phone as 1/40 x 1/40 but obv spaced out on that even though it's perfect-perfect, there are 2 possible combos not one, b/c it obv doesn't matter what order they come in. So you have a 2 outer to catch a 1 outer. Yay poker!

  14. These are good questions to ask.

    For one, you should definitely be raising hands like TT and AJ over limps to you. You don’t have to 3b them if it is already raised depending on players and position (and should sometimes be folding AJ to a raise depending on these factors.) Some players would raise this hand over limpers but I would also just call, it plays fine multi-way, and I don’t like bloating pots OOP with marginal hands. I would raise Q9s if I’m on the button over most, but not all, limpers.

    I also think you should have a much bigger lead range in limped pots. In a raised pot, there is likely a c-bet so leading into a raiser is much different than leading into a limped pot.

    You should be pretty consistent with sizing esp since this is a regular group. Leading 2x pot isn’t what I would do. That said if we have this many players calling 2x bets maybe that’s the play. But we wanna be able to lead lots of hands here and can’t if $7 is our sizing.

    I think checking turn is fine, again esp if we have a wider flop lead range. If we lead out with a hand like middle pair A kicker or top pair no kicker and get 3 calls, we should be checking turn. So that covers us if we wanna check our draws here.

    Betting turn again would be fine if we bet smaller on flop. But I just think if 3 guys call a 2x pot bet on flop we are unlikely to win with a turn bet. All the sizing stuff said, you need to know if the guys in your game look at bet size compared to pot or just in “real dollars”. For example is $7 into $3 “eh just 7 bucks” but $25 into $60 “whoa big bet he must be serious”?

    River lead seems standard/good. Part of this shows the peril of being OOP. It just looks stronger when you lead out on a flush card river. Making the straight would be a better strategy next time.

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