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TXSooner518

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Everything posted by TXSooner518

  1. You think he probably limp-called KK four ways pre? I definitely don’t. He likely has a 9 but wjth the busted flush draw we prob have to call but we are losing well over 50% of the time IMO. If the river put up the 4 straight and 3 flush and this guy donks we can probably fold though I usually spite call anyway.
  2. I don’t understand.
  3. Yeah JFC sorry all. Tapa was giving me an error but was also posting. And then has no delete option and yeah. I normally save my quads for the poker table and golf course.
  4. It was definitely Texas cue even though not in Texas. Shiner Bock and Austin Eastciders available at the bar. Place was hopping. We told our Lyft driver to hit it up since he mentioned how great we smelled haha.
  5. It was definitely Texas cue even though not in Texas. Shiner Bock and Austin Eastciders available at the bar. Place was hopping. We told our Lyft driver to hit it up since he mentioned how great we smelled haha.
  6. Herp
  7. It was definitely Texas cue even though not in Texas. Shiner Bock and Austin Eastciders available at the bar. Place was hopping. We told our Lyft driver to hit it up since he mentioned how great we smelled haha.
  8. Not exactly Texas BBQ, but found myself in Charleston and so decided to check in on John Lewis. Brisket and ribs fantastic, sausage was pretty spicy, but a drier more solid texture than I prefer.
  9. Teams only had two idle weeks this year because of how the calendar fell. Everyone started their season on Aug 31, and in 2020 will be on Sep 5, basically a week later. Has to do with where Labor Day falls. Dar, slow pony.
  10. So, my kiddos like Subway, and we were grabbing a quick lunch between kid birthday parties, so we hit up Subway and I got the brisket sub. Actually - not bad at all! I got the brisket, smoked cheddar, pickles, onions, a bit of the BBQ sauce, a few banana peppers, then had them add sea salt and two-color pepper. No need for mayo or whatever bullshit is in the commercial. It's not Franklin but it's quite edible in a pinch. Fairly spendy for fast food, had a coupon for free chips/drink with it, was still 10.29 for a footlong.
  11. Man, their resume is simply not the same, even without computers. I agree the voters aren't looking at those, I gave them to show it isn't like the voters are overlooking an actual good team. You're completely overlooking Pitt's close calls against bad to horrible teams. They played like a "Top 25" team in 2 of their 7 games (UCF and PSU). Also UVA is pushing "decent." They scored 9 points in a loss to a horrid Miami team, but blew Pitt out. Iowa has beaten Iowa State, and has one-score losses to top 20 teams. Against their 4 scrub opponents, they won by 45, 24, and 30 points before a meh 6 point win over Purdue this week (led by 13 until Purdue scored with less than 30 seconds left). They played like a "Top 25" team in 6 of their 7 games. Iowa State has 2 losses to Top 25 teams by a combined 3 points. They struggled with Northern Iowa in the opener, but all their other wins are double digits, including wins by 25, 24, and 10 in conference, and by 52 OOC. They played like a "Top 25" team in 6 of their 7 games. Texas has 2 losses to Top 5 teams by a touchdown each. They obv struggled with Kansas, but blew out La Tech and Rice, and handled WV on the road by double digits and beat an OSU team by 6 that would def be favored neutral field over UVA. They played like a "Top 25" team in 6 of their 7 games. Michigan has a win over a top 20 team (again something Pitt does not), a loss by 7 on the road to a top 10 team, and a blowout road loss to a top 15 team. They won games against their weak opponents by 19, 17, and 3 in OT. I will say they played like a "Top 25" team in 5 of their 7 games (excluding Whisky and Army). Arizona State is somewhat closer, but is buoyed by having won 2 games over teams that were then-ranked, including winning at Michigan State. They dominated one cupcake, but did only beat Sac State (which is one of the best FCS teams but still) by 12. Colorado not a great loss, but lost by 3. Got handled 21-3 by Utah. They played like a "Top 25" team in I would say 4 of their 7 games (excluding Sac State and Colorado for sure, losing by 18 at Utah is marginal). These resumes simply are not even close. On paper or in computers.
  12. Pitt lost 30-14 to a meh UVa team, and has wins by 10 over Ohio, 3 over Delaware, 3 over Duke, 7 over Syracuse, and 1 over UCF. The UCF win is solid, the others are below average to dreadful. In FPI, Pitt is 55 (Iowa - 19, ISU - 16 , Texas - 24, Michigan - 15 , ASU - 37) Don't like FPI? Sagarin has Pitt at 45 (51 in its Predictor). The 5 teams you list are 14, 15, 17, 20 and 32 in Sagarin. All this said, looking at their schedule, they look like a solid bet to get to the ACC title game maybe even 10-2, and if so, they will be ranked like 15 even though they aren't NEARLY the 15th best team in the nation.
  13. Yeah a couple factors make this the likely worst set of games ever. The bowls have much less flexibility with matchups this year because both semis are the games without conference tie-ins. Also the ACC not having a viable second team will result in an unranked Pitt or UVA or Wake stinking up a Ny6 bowl assuming Clemson makes the playoffs. They need to eliminate the requirement that a conference gets a second team no matter what if they send a team to the playoffs. Also they need to either rotate bowl ties more often or eliminate them (sure keep the Rose when they aren’t a playoff) to keep matchups fresh and have interesting games.
  14. Texas lost 3 games after Tulsa last year. [emoji2373]
  15. Hmmm I had the Tres Leches on my list for this year, keeping it on the list for next year (yes, I already have started my list for next year).
  16. Actually, looking at schedules, pretty solid chance that Wisky @ Minnesota is for the B1G West title. Minn is no great shakes, but winning on the road in a low-scoring affair isn't a lock either. And I still see no reasonable mathematical way that PSU is going to have 1 loss 68% of the time, but only win the conference 2% of the time. What WP% do you have on them @ tOSU and them vs Wisky on a neutral field? And if you don't wanna bother with at-large bids or tie-breakers, maybe skip the CFP percentages?? SMU is more likely to make the playoffs than Wake Forest.
  17. LOL OU has the 5th highest win percentage in CFB this decade, behind only Bama, Clemson, Ohio State, and Boise. They have the 3rd highest in CFB since 2000, behind only tOSU and Boise. Their last graduating class had more B12 titles than any other school has in history. You better hope they are pretty goddamn good, given they win your conference about 70% of the time.
  18. Yes, whoever finishes 2nd in East will go to title game. And you call it CFP odds. You're overstating the chances of a 1 loss P5 champ making it to the playoff (12-1 Oregon <> 12-1 Alabama), and understating the chances of a 1 loss non-champion/Notre Dame of making the playoff. So you think PSU is 68% to have one loss or less, but only 2% to make the playoff? I get that losing the tOSU game basically kills them, but it's crazy to say basically that they are about 3% to beat tOSU. FPI has Oregon at 18% to win out, so 31% to win out seems quite high, and again even if they win out, they are most likely not getting in. At USC and at Arizona State are quite losable games. There's no way they are 1/3 to sweep UW, USC and ASU on the road while also holding serve at home to Wazzu, Arizona, and their in-state rival. Wake has 0%, which is less than 1%, yes.
  19. Mizzou can't win the East (or go to the playoffs), they are on probation. There is a non-zero chance that the SEC misses the playoff, but it's more like 0.5%, not 26%. I'll be happy to lay 3 to 1 on the SEC having a playoff team for every dollar you want. You also have the ACC having a chance to send a non-Clemson team to the playoffs. LOLNO. Wake Forest could win out by 45-0 in every game, they aren't getting in. Also no way that Oregon is 31% to make the playoffs. Also you have Mizzou more likely to win out than UGA? LOLWAT. I also don't see how Penn State at this point would be less than 2%. Obviously winning at tOSU is a tall order, but if they do that, they would need to win the B1G title game, and go no worse than 2-1 against Sparty, Minnesota, Michigan (assuming Indiana/Rutgers are lock wins). FPI has PSU at 4.8% to completely win out, so obv finishing 12-1 would be higher than that. They have them 11.3% to win the B1G.
  20. Very fair. Tua rushing: 35 yds, 2 TD; Fields rushing: 283 yds, 8 TD. Don't think that comes close to bridging the stats gap, but always try to present the full accurate picture. And FWIW, I think Fields is a great QB, and wouldn't object to him winning it. Just objected to the idiotic notion that Tua was undeservingly just pushed forward as a name who didn't earn it on the field.
  21. Fields is putting up video game numbers, but Tua is "sadly" ahead due to popularity contest? Fields - 98/141 (69.5%), 1298 yards, 9.2 ypa, 18 TD, 1 INT, 187.5 rating, 12 sacks Tua - 134/182 (73.6%), 2011 yards, 11.0 ypa, 27 TD, 1 INT, 214.3 rating, 7 sacks Tua is obliterating Fields' "video game stats" in literally every single category. This goes along with your comments on the Ramsey trade and CeeDee not being a 1st round WR. Maybe read more and post less dude?
  22. All valid points as well. Also, really it was down to Ohio State vs. OU for the 4 spot, since the other 3 teams were all unbeaten. Sagarin had OU with the #12 schedule and tOSU with the #38, and both had the same record, both were conference champs.
  23. Yeah, it's really tough to say! A one-loss P5 champion has NEVER been excluded for a non-champion other than a 12-0 Notre Dame, which isn't quite the same thing. But that would be a really unique scenario that would give some insight into the factors (especially since both schools are tier 1-B "helmet schools" so no advantage there).
  24. One big difference is last year there was an undefeated Notre Dame to eat up a spot. Every team that made the playoffs last year beat every team they played. There weren't that many spots to go around. This year, ND will be 11-1 at best, and lost h2h to UGA, so they can't block UGA. So for a 1 loss UGA to be excluded, some other P5 conference would have to get 2 spots. The ACC and B12 and Pac 12 have literally 0.0 to get 2 spots this year. So the only way a 1 loss SEC champ UGA could be excluded would be in favor of a 1 loss non-champ from the SEC or B1G (in addition to also the 1 loss B1G champ). I Another is UGA lost to SCarolina in double OT. Ohio State got absolutely obliterated by 29 by a Purdue team that lost at home to Eastern Michigan and that wouldn't have even been bowl eligible without beating Ohio State (they then lost that bowl 63-14 to unranked Auburn). That's also the difference between Ohio State 2018 and OU 2015, Ohio State 2014, and the one-loss Clemson teams I mentioned, who each got in with a "bad" loss, none of whom are secsecsec. A 1 loss SEC champ Florida is very likely in, but not quite the lock that UGA would be. If OU, tOSU, Clemson all win out and LSU is 11-1 with only loss to Bama, it would come down to 11-1 LSU vs 12-1 SEC champ Florida. Does the title mean more, or does the fact that LSU beat Florida by 2 TDs (and won at Texas while Florida played two FCS schools) trump that? I would put LSU in in that spot, assuming a competitive loss to Bama.
  25. Literally 0% chance that a 12-1 SEC champ UGA is left out. SCarolina isn’t that good but not like UGA lost to Murray State. OU went in 2015 after losing to an awful 1-4 Texas. Ohio State went in 2014 after looking awful in a home loss to 6-6 Va Tech. Clemson went in 2017 after losing to a trash Syracuse and 2016 after loss to a very meh Pitt. There is an extremely unlikely path to zero SEC teams in the playoff but it surely doesn’t involve a one loss champ especially when that champ is a big name team.
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