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horn4life

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  1. For me seeing a 2.7% gain in a month, and and average of .45% increases for 5 months has nothing to do with politics. It more my confusion with the glee of a pace of 6% annual returns that has me scratching my head. Back to even... is not political, it's math. Hard to say tariffs (political) are not a big part of the uncertainty, so yes, politics are necessarily part of the calculation. But simply stating that we are not going to have the deals promised is well, is simply accurate math. This market could still run more, as FOMO and TACO are powerful forces. If you jumped in when the market collapsed, then you are kicking ass. But would you be jumping in bigly now looking forward? I would say that the most likely probability, is that the members of this administration have made more money in a shorter period of time than any in our nation's history. What would be most useful is to knowing the timing of the retreats on tariff policies, as that is where the real money has been made. Unless you shorted before liberation day, like me. it will be interesting to see how it will all play out. I certainly did not think the TACO trade would be so consistent. I really thought the administration was going to stick to it's guns more. I will be very curious to see if tariff tax rates, indeed do bounce back to liberation day, for all those who do not have signed trade agreements? Or will it be another episode of the TACO series? Seems like the market is betting on TACO pretty strongly.
  2. I thought this was the tread where markets are falling? The excitement and glee that is getting back to where Biden handed off the market is indeed fascinating to me. You would have thought that the market actually had risen dramatically? I definitely lost some of my unreal early gains betting against Trump's tariffs, and the taco trade has been very strong. It will be interesting for me to see the number of trade deals that will be on the books after the July 4th weekend? But you will most likely not hear much talk from the administration on actual progress, beyond proclamations of success with unsigned deals. The S&P closed out January up 2.7%, today the S&P is up 4.96% for the year... so kicking ass right?
  3. Welcome to the doldrums of Summer and the Dotards of Doom....
  4. Not sure about the Longhorn thong... but still want!
  5. Low ball offers are written because somebody can write them. As you can never get a low ball offer accepted unless you spray them out into the marketplace. It's purely a numbers game, and yes it wastes the listing agent's time. As the percentage of acceptance is ridiculously low. But the hope of the asshole writing the offers is that someone is desperate enough to take that lowball offer. And I would think it sucks to bring low ball offers back to the owner of a newly listed property that you have consulted the owner in setting the best possible price for the property to sell (in your professional. As who wants an offer they are not going to accept? But as the listing agent it's a cross you have to bear. I guess my optimistic logic would be that it's better to be the listing agent most of the time than the sellers agent, if you are going to be on one side or the other of writing low ball offers. Of course if you get a slew of low ball offers because the market is slow... that might drive me a little nutso. Along with the seller. But hell. I think I should be able to shoot the tires out of any 18 wheeler that drives more than a mile in the passing lane on the freeway. So my nutso level is maybe a tad higher than some.
  6. I am pretty sure the time frame roughly matches as the period of time A&M hasn't been forced to pay the annual salary of two head coaches? 👍 😂
  7. Well, now we get to see the least qualified Secretary of Defense ever confirmed in action! I wonder if Pete has the awareness right now to realize how out of his depth he really is?
  8. That's a nice shot. Thanks for letting me live vicariously! Hook'em!
  9. Which hand do you touch yourself with? That defines your "handedness..." But if you lost that hand... you WOULD adapt!
  10. I wonder how the proposed elimination of FEMA will influence the price of real estate and insurance costs for the RE industry?
  11. Not sure I never get that far in. That's the problem. You try to find bliss and you lose business, or other important calls. I have had some very odd spoof numbers lately with the same repetitive BS. With old people its a numbers game of this sort of BS. Eventually somebody's mom or dad gets confused and gets ripped off... if only there was something that could be done about it.... Honestly I could give a shit now about live folks repetitively calling me, it's the fucking endless non-sleeping AI bots.
  12. Just wait until you close in on 65... I get about 15 calls daily, about "the new Trump administrations changes to medicare..." I'm not even on medicare! But fuck, the number spoofing is mind blowing... And yes it's about folks selling your information. Why the fuck can't our government make unwanted solicitations a crime with enough penalties to stop the endless bullshit. It's the best part about going offshore or off grid. No more fucking calls that I do not fucking care about.
  13. It's impossible not to. Tariff taxes on imports cannot be absorbed by manufacturer and US importing company. Unless you think all companies have a shit ton of excess profits they can shed to absorb the new tax. Ultimate whoever buys the product will absorb the majority of the cost increase. It's just math. Market will indeed take off like a rocket if there is no inflation. But we are going to get both unemployment and inflation. And the Fed will simply not know which is the bigger shark until more data comes in. Unless brutal unemployment numbers can overwhelm inflation concerns... hopes for Fed, or Bond market pushing rates downward is a bad bet.
  14. It's all about the "dark arts!"
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