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horn4life

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Everything posted by horn4life

  1. Well... ShallowSurly is probably more accurate. Sadly probably in more than one way! (ouch)
  2. I'm sure I knew her. I was friends with the bar manager (?) Rosie, when I was putting my wife through Pharmacy school. I joked that she was my "surrogate wife" as I went their to grab a meal and a drink, and was definitely a regular. Rosie translated all the recipes from English to Spanish for the chefs. The on recipe I really wish I had was their Vegetarian Chili Recipe... That shit was amazing. My wife always loved the Hippie Chick. Was great place for our young kids into young adulthood. RIP Shady Grove and Mike.
  3. Well in two years he could be in a very good position to be about to cash a very big check. Until then, work hard, take advantage of the opportunity, and laugh your ass off every shitty weather day in Ohio! Welcome to civilization young man! Now... BECOME a hero!
  4. First- I assume everyone expects the Fed to stand pat and do nothing? Second - I was listening to the guy that runs/founded compass on either bloomberg or CNBC and her had some interesting comments I latched onto. He was talking about Miami and Austin being tougher markets because we led the upswing. He said that 40% of the listings in Austin had taken a price reduction. Which I thought was an interesting sign of sale price expectations bumping up against reality. MMI was down to 220 with national average of 7.02% mortgage same as last report.
  5. Let's be honest, DeepSurly actually sounds pretty good...
  6. The fact it comes about a week after tik tok's banning makes the timing suspect, at least to me. IF it's true... said the guy repeating the rumor a repeated liar just told them. There simply have not been very many true innovations that have come out of China that were not simply using US technology. But what better way to slow US investment in AI down than to make you question the value of your investment and more importantly your investments planned in the near term. Disruption is likely the point. if the cost is $100 million and not $5.6 as reported? Does the market move like it has today? No fucking way. But even at a big price tag the disruption might be the whole point.
  7. Hell even if China burned $200 million on Deepseek, it was worth it. Fucked with US markets, NVDA scrubbed nearly $600 billion in value. I wonder how many short plays might have been orchestrated by China on this? You could pay for $200 million pretty quickly that way. But shows market is skittish on valuations in AI.
  8. Apparently one of the "bonuses" of Deepseek is giving up all your gmails...
  9. From CNBC a sec ago -New home sales up to 698K vs 671K estimate. New home sales based on signed contracts during the month. Median sale price up 2.1% year over year, along with the obvious high interest rates. Incentives and mortgage buydowns. Said most increases in NE and West. I will be curious how the MMI looks. Builders and lenders are two different animals, though clearly symbiotic in nature. I spoke way back about "buyer capitulation" on interest rates, and what might show that would be a rising MMI even against the higher rate? But if new homes are still rising year over year, and that translates to the larger market, prices are going up. If that is the case, then you make up that point you are trying to save in appreciation fairly rapidly.
  10. I meant inflation this week at end. Market surged like a mofo on good inflation data. so I think the number will be a market mover. If the numbers drift up even slightly, does that cause a marked downturn in the market? Or can Trump actually whip the FED lower? Even in the face of challenging inflation data? In that case is stand pat no movement up or down considered a positive or negative? Anyhow likely to be another week that seems like an eternity... I guess you are jumping for joy if you were moving into China tech
  11. Apparently the energy efficiency aspect is a biggie. As that is a fixed operating cost for chip investments. I hopped over to OKLO (small nuke energy provider) and it's down 16% in pre-market. I sort of think the market is gonna shed the losses that are more broad over the day. Or will folks wake up in panic and really fuck shit up? I have no fucking idea. But the market is skittish as hell, and the Fed's musings while holding, and inflation up next week...
  12. PLTR down 6.5% or $5.07 premarket to $73.80 UVIX up 25% premarket
  13. See there is a way to lower rates! Either have me buy back in a bit to PLTR, or have the overall stock market sell off more broadly. 10 year down to 4.518, or 10 basis points, Dow futures down 1%, nasdaq down 4%.
  14. Almost nobody puts up $1,000,000 on a W-2. That's why pretending that billionaire income taxes are too high. Because they do not pay income on the vast majority of their income. Most folks that could knock down a $1,000,000 W-2 are business owners, and way too smart to pay taxes like "the little people." The business owner would simply convert the ordinary income into dividend distributions. And turn that regular income into cap gain. Then instead of paying that pesky tax that funds medicare and 12.4% social security, they pay % on cap gains.It's a pretty good deal really. As your cap gain tax on the $500K in dividends is is 15%. Much petter than paying the "little people" employment expenses PLUS income tax. So the answer to your question is not very many people have 7 figure W-2's. Folks that are making $1,000,000 a year as an employee, usually have a lot of comp coming to them in stock options. Which has the same effect as shifting income to a dividend payment rather than W-2. The exception on that million ins W2 income are likely on the East coast in finance, and the west coast in Tech. But if you are working for somebody else in 95% of the country, and hoping to hit that $1,000,000 W2? You probably should have taken your $500K salary and started a business that would produce that same $500K.
  15. Jerry signed Dak to the biggest contract ever signed by a QB. Any damn coach can win with that level of talent! And by God! Jerry is actually trying to prove his theory! (rather than win championships)
  16. In Loving Memory of Gregory "Greg" H. Reynolds October 14, 1982 - January 22, 2025 Our beloved Greg passed yesterday as he lived. He was thrilled beyond imagination to see the Texas basketball team make a 22 point comeback versus A&M. The excitement unfortunately caused him to choke on a chip overflowing with his famous homemade salsa. He was found with a wry smile locked onto his face, that was illuminated by the screen of his laptop. He died as he lived...
  17. Just make a list of things you want included. And use it as an AI prompt... I have thought about putting together a "Wake mix tape." Mainly so I can play the Clash's "Should I stay or Should I Go", and the ARC Angels, "D Shape I'm In" to get a last smile.
  18. THIS. Maybe there is some sort of Fed Fairy dust that I am unaware of, that will force bond buyers to take lower rates for higher risk? Right now it;'s pretty clear that the Fed is not driving the rate bus.
  19. Gobblin' Crank and or Goblin Crank Are added to the list of bands I might have to see for the name.
  20. Maybe. In another world. But this world of corruption will absorb all information and AI will pretty easily identify any dissent. Or do you think the folks standing in line to get even richer beyond imagination are going to restrict data access? You won't be able to buy the rope, because of your search history.
  21. Despite Elon having the back side of his hear look like nearly every guy at the nursing home... he got that salute pretty close the first time, but point on the second time. Good news is 1/3 of the country is gleeful, 1/3 is terrified. And 1/3 thinks Elon is cood and doesn't know what the fuck a Nazi is. But that symbol dealie is sort of cool, what's the big deal?
  22. I saw that sell off as well. It was apparently shutting down Pilot's Oil Trading? Hell I didn't know there were anything but gas stations with high covers that won't fuck up my RV trailer on the way out of San Antonio.
  23. If you are concerned about claw back just tell you siblings not to use the money you give them until Christmas. It should all be sorted by then. But this thread reminds me, my Mom passed in August, and one of the best things for me as the primary on everything, was that they had their cremation and end of life stuff in order. I was so happy about this for me that my wife and I did the same thing. Neptune Society was who we used. When my Dad passes the same easy peasy system will be used. It was REALLY nice to simply have the hospice person contact them, and then about the only question I needed to answer was the quantity of death certificates we would need. And Hospice is awesome if you get the right one. Helps a lot with end of life stuff, we as individuals simply do not have much experience with. ANYTHING that keeps a child from the vultures at the funeral home is worth a lot more than the $3500? we paid to take that concern off the table. Sorry for you loss. And I can only imagine the frustration of trying to help your mome. and indirectly siblings with good financial advice, tossed in the circular file. But seems like a split the money, tell SS, Federal government and move on. Or just delay distribution of the money if you have any real concerns, it's in your control.
  24. Be careful what you wish for. Team sucks under son. Dallas won't give free money to Cowboys for whatever the next ask is. Then you find out there is an agreement for a new Dell Stadium in Round Rock, and the logos for The Texas Cowboys start circulating... Made me smile all over again! Anyhow misery loves company I think we all can agree.
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