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horn4life

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  1. horn4life

    SXSW 2025

    I's basically a SoCo Bro fro SXSW. Too much good shit available within walking distance. And I'll be honest giving my money to Continental Club and C-Boys is probably one of the best ways I feel I can support Austin music for the rest of the year beyond SXSW. I could say the same about Hotel Vegas, Mohawk and a slew of others. But Steve has been so supporting shit for so long I give him the nod for longevity and surviving. If you like crawfish, and like FREE crawfish, C-Boys on Tues at Louisiana Lafayette is how we usually kick off south by. I will usually walk down and take photos of the South buy San Jose sign, The blackboard at Continental and C-boys to get a better idea of who is actually supposed to play when. Thurs and Sunday at C-boys will be my crowd avoidance methodology this year. But thurs SoCo Stomp has C.J Chenier and the Red hot Louisiana band at 6:15 and I have been wanting to see them for a while and keep missing them. The West Texas Exiles outdoors along with Ian Moore, and Dale Watson rounding out the outdoor stage. With indoors Scrappy and Beaver Nelson band reunion early, looks like my best bet for the day. Actually Sunday at C-boys also looks darn good to me. We really like the Band Restos, and they start at 1 pm, with Pelvis Wrestley inside (i have to take a glance just for the name), and Molecular Steve, who I have been trying to also see for a while indoors, and having Barfield, Uncle Lucious and Shiny Ribs closing outdoors doesn't seem like it would suck! I'll be long gone by Shiny ribs SXSJ always has some folks that interest me, but they haven't been as leading edge of late as they once were. And I prefer mixed drinkss to beer so theres that...
  2. I think a buddy of mine, who was married at the time, might be looking back at some voicemail messages right now, and getting a good laugh. That being said, there are a lot of nut jobs out there. And if they are stalking get a restraining order. I'm sure she already carries a gun.
  3. So I got stopped out of my PLTR, after shedding a sizable chunk of profits with looser than normal stops. My desire to avoid cap gains and FOMO, definitely cost me some profit with the looser stops. But now I am going to go against the market for a little while, at least. I see nothing but bad news the next month. Inflation will creep up unless basic economic principles on tariffs no longer apply, and unemployment is going to creep up. (Though firing all the Fed probationary workers on the day of Unemployment reporting was a good move to perhaps keep some of those numbers from appearing at all. IF those employees find jobs within a month. So there is obvious concern from the WH on how the layoffs will end up being counted. Anyhow - What do you think is the best strategy to profit from a declining market?
  4. Lower rates would unlock mobility for those who are "trapped" in existing low rates they do not want to part with. This would bring some additional supply into the existing home market. Despite overall supply being low. However if there are a large amount of layoffs that means that consumer confidence will fall or worse on the job losses and dire economic outlook. Low consumer confidence means a pullback from larger purchases of all types. Prices will recede. As lower prices combined with lower interest rates will be necessary to incentivize buyers to take the plunge on a purchase that recently they have seen depreciate rather than appreciate of late.
  5. Well from an experience standpoint... you have to go with the $20 service provider.
  6. Good lesson on always approach the existing tenant, before you list with a realtor. Or exclude the existing tenant in the contract. But you don't have a signed contract. I might write a listing contract with the realtor with an exclusion for the tenant buyer. At a price that would justify the additional costs for the agent? But more likely I would likely tell the agent here's the deal. Last time I talked to the tenant, he did not seem interested. But my perception was mistaken, and he made an offer that I view as very reasonable. Then see what the agent says? Right now he hasn't done anything, and you have not signed a contract. Lots of folks would say fuck off, but I, like you have some moral sense when I shake somebody's hand. So I would likely just talk to the agent. How that conversation goes would guide me, in all likelihood.
  7. And for $5 they could have closed the fucking deal!
  8. If you want to hold, definitely put some stops on all of them. To cut losses is if moves that way. I'm probably selling anything I don't love, and going to short term T-bills or cash if I wanted to buy on a dip.
  9. Honestly, i would sell i all. no cap gain since inherited at current value. then sit on the cash and wait and see what happens in the next 6-12 weeks. if market goes south you can come back in with more upside. Right now investing is simply a part of US economy the game, and anyone who tells you with any confidence they know what is going to happen in the next 6-12 weeks is an abject liar.
  10. horn4life

    Florida Gators

    Florida is on my radar because my Dad set some state records swimming for them years ago. But now that we are in the SEC by primary interest with Florida's current strength is, that I do have multiple presentation choices to consider before kickoff October 5th, 2025.
  11. Update, my friend with the inherited house was smart in the end. She had somebody meet her $420K price, and I think closing is next week? But she would ahve taken the low offer if that was all she got. I think that it was just a low ball December offer. Which is what every offer submitted in December honestly almost should be.
  12. IBRX @ $3.65 just to see it fall... 😉
  13. I would be curious to know the numbers and how they fell in line with your expectations. I honestly do not know how you could bid something really large with steel as a contract component that might span over several years. I assume most of the bids have differing types of cost escalation clauses?
  14. But why a drop after "good news?" That's an inverse from my expectation.
  15. OK- Anyone one know anything about this company? Zoetis ZTS? I saw that they have reportedly been given conditional approval for a bird flu vaccine, in an article related to Turkey sending a bunch of eggs to the US. I went to the chart expecting to see a little pop for the stock I knew nothing about. But instead of a rise I see a decline of 8.5% in the last 5 days. To what i would have expected to be good news? Anyhow when I see something I don't expect, sometimes there is a hidden opportunity when I dig around.
  16. The only certainty on this thread is that someone named Igcognito, wishes he had communicated in a more incognito manner. Than say... voicemail?
  17. I am actually at the point of sort of deciding that the bulls are going to overrun me in the short term. While I do expect a higher inflation number, I think the tactic of kicking the tariff can down the road, makes the market think that implementation is far from certain. But SWA just had it's first layoffs ever. Since folks have been piling on you Wally... I guess it's easier to pull 50% from the market when you don't have to worry about those pesky capital gains... 😉
  18. UFC is a pay per view model at this point isn't it? Well I did stop a guy switching from the women's game yesterday to Golf at Paul Martin's. But it was a tight game with a few minutes left and I had a vested interest in watching any Longhorn team. I would probably not watch much WNBA, because I don't watch much NBA except for Rockets and Spurs during this time of the year, before switching to Astros, Horn baseball. But where I do see the potential for growth in the WNBA, is the same reason I listed for watching all the above teams. I have a personal connection via hometown, or where I went to school. I think the the WNBA can build upon that model. Think of Texas high school football small town loyalty and fervor, but on a national scale. I think that the WNBA model is one of development fierce regional and smaller market loyalty, that bleeds over into TV watching. It's a solid model, that should keep the WNBA growing. And who knows what 20 years of steady growth might bring. I think the key is the accessibility of the fans to the players in new leagues, and the WNBA seems to have that going fairly well.
  19. I feel for any kid that gets themselves in trouble. I really hate to see wonderful opportunities squandered, but it happens every day as a result of bad choices, and often just bad luck. But the bad luck is a result of the bad choices that but their future in jeopardy. Reminded me of the sad story of Ramonce Taylor. What a waste. But hopefully purpose and happiness can be found for Johntay on the back side of all this.
  20. But can you lie away economic consequences? Will the market believe the lies? There is no doubt that propaganda works, and with so many willing to repeat the lies as truth the lies certainly have the upper hand. But can lies mask economic reality? Can simply not reporting, counting or trying to effectively manage bird flu for example mean that "We are doing a fantasitic job" White house alternative reality? Or will the fact Eggs are 50% more in a month, rule as fact? It's just like abortion. Does anyone expect any honest numbers regarding infant mortality from the State of Texas for example? Lying works. And It's not really lying if it if you simply don't allow the truth to be known... And Republicans honestly view this as how government should work.
  21. I would say try to avoid the crab tacos...
  22. A day A&M will never, ever, ever, ever, see... so there's that! 😉
  23. There's a reason the angler looks "so Austin." You can congratulate Willie Pipkin... and Friends. Any given Sunday evening at Continental Club.
  24. If by fucked you mean you aren't going to see 5% in 2025? Yeah, thats the most likely scenario. But I would argue that with tight inventory and assumed appreciation, is that percent that huge? Is an 8% loan fucked in it appreciates 8% in 4 years for example? I would also be selling that yes in the 7's you might feel fucked, but right now with so much uncertainty, you cannot rule out the possibility of a severe DP it the next two fed moves are upwards. Plus there are always some buyers that have to sell, high rates or not. Antidotal story, but I know a gal whose parents got her a house, and she took care of them until the end, and sh put that house on the market like the week before Christmas (like a dumbass). I think her ask was $420, and she got a $385 offer, and held firm without countering. Her folks had bought the house maybe 3 years ago for $400K and she had put in new appliances and countertops and new roof (storm). So that $420K number seemed reasonable. If she got that same $385K offer today she would not only counter, but would be a lot more flexible negotiating. For her it's found money, but she is willing to capitulate on price. Now she's not the norm, but she is an example of a seller willing to capitulate on price to move the property. Her agent of course was pissed.
  25. Of course not. Otherwise incompetence and not showing up would just the the cost of "maybe a manager can bang her in the future" business...
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