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UTDD

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Everything posted by UTDD

  1. I locked at Biden at +350 so needless to say I am pretty pumped if this holds. (and ok, it's good for the country too and all...)
  2. I guess it depends on what's left in WIS at this point, anything online is probably not quite correct.
  3. Roughly 110k lead for Trump, roughly 211k outstanding MIL ballots in WIS. If those are reasonably correct, a 75/25 split with those votes would be roughly 158/52k, which obviously would make it extremely close. But, you don't know that will be the percentage with those ballots, and I think there are a few other counties not quite done either.
  4. I'm not sure on Georgia now, it depends on increased turnout in Fulton, the 2016 model I don't think quite cuts it. Gwinnett will give some boost too, but not a super high amount. It's very close.
  5. Yeah, I am trying to imagine the DC shit show it will be if there is a Biden Presidency with a slight Republican Senate advantage.
  6. Regardless, this election is not going to be a strong repudiation of Trumpism, so that probably impacts how the Republican Party changes - or rather doesn't - after this election.
  7. That's huge if Trump wins PA, give Biden 270 with MI/WIS/AZ even without Georgia.
  8. Well, this seems so similar to Texas OSU/OU/Texas Tech doesn't it? Never an easy time...
  9. I've looked at Georgia really carefully, it's less than 300k with pretty big totals still out there, Biden really does have a shot there.
  10. Pima County still has to report quite a bit (includes Tuscon) and some in Maricopa too, but Biden might actually win that country, which Trump did by 3 in 2016. I think Arizona is over.
  11. The AZ call is huge to Trump because it greatly diminishes what he can say tonight and he knows it.
  12. Collins is doing much better than polls showed in Maine, but Biden doing fine it seems.
  13. I got in over 300, just missed 450! I think I am kind of happy with it right now...but nervous.
  14. Just FYI on Georgia, Fulton/Dekalb had about 363k margin in 2016. Not sure where those two counties are currently...
  15. Dekalb County matters a lot too, not sure how many are in for that county. It had an almost 200k margin in 2016.
  16. In more pressing news, Kanye West is up 6 votes on the Green Party candidate in Iowa.
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