Everything posted by UTDD
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2020 Presidential Election -- Biden v Trump: Sleepy Joe vs Dopey Don [Results begin on page 409]
I locked at Biden at +350 so needless to say I am pretty pumped if this holds. (and ok, it's good for the country too and all...)
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2020 Presidential Election -- Biden v Trump: Sleepy Joe vs Dopey Don [Results begin on page 409]
Bovada Biden - 220
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2020 Presidential Election -- Biden v Trump: Sleepy Joe vs Dopey Don [Results begin on page 409]
C'mon Biden, I would like the country to benefit but I got you at +350 too!
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2020 Presidential Election -- Biden v Trump: Sleepy Joe vs Dopey Don [Results begin on page 409]
I guess it depends on what's left in WIS at this point, anything online is probably not quite correct.
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2020 Presidential Election -- Biden v Trump: Sleepy Joe vs Dopey Don [Results begin on page 409]
CNN really hiding it well lol.
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2020 Presidential Election -- Biden v Trump: Sleepy Joe vs Dopey Don [Results begin on page 409]
Roughly 110k lead for Trump, roughly 211k outstanding MIL ballots in WIS. If those are reasonably correct, a 75/25 split with those votes would be roughly 158/52k, which obviously would make it extremely close. But, you don't know that will be the percentage with those ballots, and I think there are a few other counties not quite done either.
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2020 Presidential Election -- Biden v Trump: Sleepy Joe vs Dopey Don [Results begin on page 409]
I'm not sure on Georgia now, it depends on increased turnout in Fulton, the 2016 model I don't think quite cuts it. Gwinnett will give some boost too, but not a super high amount. It's very close.
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2020 Presidential Election -- Biden v Trump: Sleepy Joe vs Dopey Don [Results begin on page 409]
Yeah, I am trying to imagine the DC shit show it will be if there is a Biden Presidency with a slight Republican Senate advantage.
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2020 Presidential Election -- Biden v Trump: Sleepy Joe vs Dopey Don [Results begin on page 409]
It's bad, but also encouraging that they are not counted in current totals.
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2020 Presidential Election -- Biden v Trump: Sleepy Joe vs Dopey Don [Results begin on page 409]
It's a coin flip to me. Very close.
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2020 Presidential Election -- Biden v Trump: Sleepy Joe vs Dopey Don [Results begin on page 409]
Regardless, this election is not going to be a strong repudiation of Trumpism, so that probably impacts how the Republican Party changes - or rather doesn't - after this election.
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2020 Presidential Election -- Biden v Trump: Sleepy Joe vs Dopey Don [Results begin on page 409]
Yep that NE-2 is gigantic actually.
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2020 Presidential Election -- Biden v Trump: Sleepy Joe vs Dopey Don [Results begin on page 409]
That's huge if Trump wins PA, give Biden 270 with MI/WIS/AZ even without Georgia.
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2020 Presidential Election -- Biden v Trump: Sleepy Joe vs Dopey Don [Results begin on page 409]
Well, this seems so similar to Texas OSU/OU/Texas Tech doesn't it? Never an easy time...
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2020 Presidential Election -- Biden v Trump: Sleepy Joe vs Dopey Don [Results begin on page 409]
I've looked at Georgia really carefully, it's less than 300k with pretty big totals still out there, Biden really does have a shot there.
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2020 Presidential Election -- Biden v Trump: Sleepy Joe vs Dopey Don [Results begin on page 409]
Pima County still has to report quite a bit (includes Tuscon) and some in Maricopa too, but Biden might actually win that country, which Trump did by 3 in 2016. I think Arizona is over.
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2020 Presidential Election -- Biden v Trump: Sleepy Joe vs Dopey Don [Results begin on page 409]
The AZ call is huge to Trump because it greatly diminishes what he can say tonight and he knows it.
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2020 Presidential Election -- Biden v Trump: Sleepy Joe vs Dopey Don [Results begin on page 409]
Wow, less than 500 votes in NE-1 or so.
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2020 Presidential Election -- Biden v Trump: Sleepy Joe vs Dopey Don [Results begin on page 409]
Collins is doing much better than polls showed in Maine, but Biden doing fine it seems.
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2020 Presidential Election -- Biden v Trump: Sleepy Joe vs Dopey Don [Results begin on page 409]
I got in over 300, just missed 450! I think I am kind of happy with it right now...but nervous.
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2020 Presidential Election -- Biden v Trump: Sleepy Joe vs Dopey Don [Results begin on page 409]
Just FYI on Georgia, Fulton/Dekalb had about 363k margin in 2016. Not sure where those two counties are currently...
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2020 Presidential Election -- Biden v Trump: Sleepy Joe vs Dopey Don [Results begin on page 409]
Dekalb County matters a lot too, not sure how many are in for that county. It had an almost 200k margin in 2016.
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2020 Presidential Election -- Biden v Trump: Sleepy Joe vs Dopey Don [Results begin on page 409]
FYI -- in 2016 Fulton County went 282k/110k Clinton.
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2020 Presidential Election -- Biden v Trump: Sleepy Joe vs Dopey Don [Results begin on page 409]
In more pressing news, Kanye West is up 6 votes on the Green Party candidate in Iowa.
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2020 Presidential Election -- Biden v Trump: Sleepy Joe vs Dopey Don [Results begin on page 409]
That single Maine electoral vote might loom large.