UTDD

My guess now is that the C grouping for Ohio will get Biden just short -- maybe 1-3% range, but that's still a possible good sign for other states.

Yeah pretty much.

The most important thing for Biden is if he wins AZ, MI, and WIS, he can still lose PA. (assuming MN too)

I wouldn't give up Michigan as red yet at all. No way.

Winning Arizona gives them relief from a Minnesota or Wisconsin shock.

Biden already with 1.26M votes in Arizona, Trump won in 2016 with 1.25M votes, obviously more votes this year, Maricopa +3 Trump in 2016 too, it doesn't look like that will hold either.

Doing this math quickly, but Biden leads by about 145,000 votes in Arizona’s Maricopa County early and absentee votes. Republicans won the Election Day vote today there by 34,000 votes, so that looks like it would not be enough for Trump to overcome Biden’s current lead.

Cleveland not all-in, need to wait for that to know either way.

I'm at least chuckling at seeing over 50% of Kansas vote in and Biden up 5.

Summit County, OH done. 2016: +22k votes, Hillary 52/43 2020: Biden +58k, 67/31

There is still guarded optimism there, both on a very close result in Ohio, but also that it trends well for their three critical close neighbors. (PA, MI, WIS)

Random Ohio example: Wayne County is all in (almost), Trump won by 34 points in 2016, 17 up this time around.

From 2016 so far -- Collin +8 compared to Hillary, Tarrant +6, Denton +8, Dallas +5, not sure on Beto.

There really is guarded optimism there locally -- and they might have access to some good insight.

Some guarded optimism locally in Ohio.

White Midwestern women might save Biden.

Isn't Tarrant County a lot closer this time around?

Has Indiana been called yet?

I know one Trump voter that is a single issue voter -- abortion. Nothing else really matters to her. I don't really hold it that much against her and can remain friends as I know she is otherwise a pretty reasonable person, even though I am kind of conservative on certain issues but disagree with her on abortion.

https://www.270towin.com/maps/jVY4e I think Biden needs to win one of the five here to win it. (NC, Wisconsin, Florida, Georgia, and Pennsylvania) Gun to my head, right now, I like Biden's chances in NC/Georgia better than Florida. I think Wisconsin and Pennsylvania may be closer than polls currently show.

The judge seems to be hinting that "you idiots should have tried this injunction much earlier" before people voted this way. The common sense idea that voters relied on this method as legit, and that it would be unfair to disenfranchise these specific votes is very correct to me.

I don't think it hurts that the football program is in crisis mode right now, but I think Shaka had this year pretty much no matter what anyway. I think the following year might be a different story.

That's deflecting his question. He specifically gave the context of just the Cowboys job, not the NFL as a whole. It's quite possible that what he actually said in that context was accurate -- he would only consider the Dallas job specifically. He was not going to get the Dallas job no matter his interest, I am very confident in that specific statement which is independent about speculating about UM's state of mind. It's perfectly fine to doubt that his comment there means anything now, but to apply the logic that if he wanted to coach in the NFL, then he would be doing so makes no sense as it's a completely irrelevant and frankly illogical counter to his specific question. I would never try to read someone's mind, and of course what one person thinks at a given time can also change. So even his statement on that show - or any other prior statement over many years and examples - doesn't necessarily mean anything because people aren't static that way. How he feels right now - or even in one month, or six months - may change. I'm not speaking to anything specific about Texas and UM at all, but I'm very confident that in the past (which frankly may mean nothing now in regards to Texas), UM was at least open to the Cowboys job and the Cowboys were not open to him being their coach. (Jimmy Johnson/Jerry Jones history probably explains a lot of it in my mind)

Dallas didn't want him. They wanted who they have now. (foolishly)

Did we win the battle but lose the war?