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MuellerHorn

Burnt Ends
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Everything posted by MuellerHorn

  1. Nah, I believe a loss to Arkansas kills us. You can't be a three-loss team with two of those losses to teams with losing records and get in - unless there's a shit ton of other fuck ups that allow it to happen. That would be a crazy scenario though: beat UGA and A&M, have four wins over top-10 teams, but three losses, two of which are horrible.
  2. Spot on 100% agree. But our OL needs to keep that a point of improvement for UGA. Can't have a shitty OL game this week. From your fingers to the football Gods' ears, please. You know what I meant. If my assumptions end up being wrong, I will be glad I was wrong.
  3. Look, I agree with you that Wisner was a total differentiator in this game, especially receiving and getting YAC. I don't agree that our RB run game overall was effective. We did, however, fair better than other teams had up to that point against OU's run defense. RB rushes over three yards by quarter: 1st: 2 rushes, 8 & 4 yards 2nd: 1 rush, 37 yards 3rd: 4 rushes, 7, 9, 9, 5 4th: 3 rushes, 4, 5, 7 (by Niblett) Arch's rushes really helped our overall rushing effort too. We won the game because we didn't turn the ball over (and OU did three times), the defense played really well, we absolutely halted any OU running game, and we had a ST TD. We don't need to run this topic further. Overall, I am not optimistic about Texas' chances on Saturday, especially running the ball. In UGA's losses over the past couple of seasons, they got out rushed, and I do not believe we will do that. However, I will gladly be wrong if I end up being incorrect.
  4. There will be no good outcome to this. If the B1G does it, other conferences will be forced to follow suit. It then will escalate until PE has controlling shares of all conferences; at which point, they do what PE does and erode all differentiation, culture, and client experience at the expense of operating and profit margin to drive returns for a select few large equity holders. Oh, all while piling on massive debt to the operating model to amplify equity returns. This is such a shitty path to go down for college sports.
  5. I'm not sure whether it materially has, meaning that schools are getting their shit together with collectives and the money is actually flowing, or if it's simply based on future assumptions and promises made due to the new revenue sharing model. It's likely some combination of both, especially given schools can allocate rev sharing how they see fit. Some will spend most of it on football, while others will distribute it more evenly among all athletes (even if football and basketball still receive the lion's share). With USC, it seems like much of it is based on future promises with some level of current payments to keep recruits from decommitting. At least that's what I've seen said.
  6. Nice dig, but that doesn't mean the outlier driving your statistical analysis make your point. While you're right that Wisner was effective in the later stages of the game, the run game was nonexistent and extremely poor in the first half. Overall, the average outside of one play was shit. Average can be, and was in this particular game, a false expectation of what would happen we Texas tried to run the ball. That is all true. So, while the average figure you presented was correct, it did not at all reflect what the run game looked like on the majority of carries and it's not why Texas won the game, overall. Also, I might be wrong in this assumption, but one offensive TDs and three FGs will get us beat by UGA. If it ends up being wrong, I'll eat crow hard and admit it.
  7. That's all far. Texas has been much too inconsistent of a team (especially on offense at all positions) to simply use stats to predict outcome here. However, the big predictor in my mind is I trust Kirby over Sark to scheme well and adjust over the course of the game. Throw in it's a road game for Texas and I think we lose. However, we certainly have the talent and potential to win.
  8. Monday - Bobby Notes on: injury progession (seems good) OL construction (and why we should cut the coaching staff slack - meh) UGA (they don't have any holes as a team and are more efficient than super effective this season) Strategic factors for Texas that will decide the game (limit the run on early downs, force negative plays and TOs. Things UGA has been good at exploiting and not allowing in wins)
  9. Average is a shitty stat. Wisner ran for 57 yards on 21 carries (2.71 per) if you take away the one long carry of 37 yards. Our rushing attack from the RBs was terrible and ineffective most of the game. Wisner caught fire in the fourth quarter, especially catching the ball. OU is not comparable to UGA, especially on offense and running the ball, where UGA has been extremely effective. OU's offense sucked and Texas scored only one offensive TD, a ST TD, and went 3/5 on FGs. If we play like we did against OU against UGA, especially on offense, we'll lose.
  10. He's also a 2027 recruit from CA and USC is going hog wild with NIL offers and early money. Gerry talks about NIL pressure from USC, OSU, Florida, and LSU below. Shit, even schools like UNC can throw disproportionate offers (compared to Texas) at guys like Thomas and beat us. Recruiting: Who is Texas battling down the stretch? - Gerry
  11. No, it's not weird. This is not the first time BYU has done this in the past two years. Also, when has Texas ever prioritized basketball to the extent of those teams you listed? Never... Correct. BYU has gone all in on basketball. Their NIL is currently top-five, maybe top-three. They have unique (to say the least) fundraising mechanisms, as well. Trying to build and maintain top-tier NIL collectives across all major sports is going to dilute some purchasing power somewhere. It just will. Texas is massively competitive in football, baseball, and just about every non-revenue sport. However, in Men's Basketball, we're not even top 10. Shit, we've been in the middle to upper tier of the second third just in the SEC. We're not "The Joneses," and especially not in basketball. If we were, we'd have more than one modern-day FF banner. NIL has allowed more competition and parity among "The Joneses." BYU has targeted basketball. Tech has targeted football and softball. Texas is trying to sustainability set up every single sport NIL wise. It's happening, but it takes time.
  12. Vanderbilt won. They’re still very much in the CFP race. The CFP format is much better. I like the parity. Just mad Texas may have stepped on their own dick one too many times by season’s end to make it, even though they might have four very good wins.
  13. I admittedly don’t know anything about him since leaving CU. I was merely talking about his potential, athleticism, and production at CU. Now that I’m informed, I redact my excitement.
  14. No, we could use a WR on our roster to have that production. Which hasn’t happened yet due to horrible QB play, OL play, and injuries at the WR position, for much of this season. If BT was on our roster, he wouldn’t have his same stat line. He has a limited route tree, doesn’t give great effort as a blocker, and many of the same issues that led to him transferring in the first place would likely still apply.
  15. It's fucking wild Texas may end the season with four top-10 wins but not make the playoffs because we lost to fucking shitass Florida.
  16. Saturday - Two new offers - Bobby
  17. Recruiting 2026 class: News and notes from Sark and staff on the road - Gerry
  18. Arch Manning must keep thriving against pressure when Texas faces Georgia - Howe (OTF)
  19. Arch Manning must keep thriving against pressure when Texas faces Georgia - Howe (OTF) Ho-Lee-Fuk: "According to Pro Football Focus, Manning has been pressured 122 times through nine games, tying him with South Carolina’s LaNorris Sellers for the second-most pressures faced among FBS quarterbacks" At least Arch is adapting to it all. A "W" @ UGA would be massive for our CFP chances.
  20. Friday - Bobby Games to Monitor This Weekend (Friday AM) - Vogel
  21. Rest & Recovery Take Priority Over Texas Bye Week (Thursday 11:45 a.m.) - Vogel (OTF) Primary injuries notes from the article below: DB Michael Taaffe, barring any setbacks, is still on schedule to return to the field for the trip to Athens. DB Jelani McDonald is in protocol still. There is hope he will be cleared early next week, but it is no guarantee with brain bruises. WR Ryan Wingo is not expected to miss time according to Steve Sarkisian, but how impactful will he be? That remains to be seen. Thumbs are important for wide receivers. WR Daylan McCutcheon was in a sling after the game on Sunday, but is expected to be available for next week. McCutcheon ended up seeing time on the field in the 2nd half vs. Vanderbilt. DB Xavier Filsaime was dinged up at the conclusion of the game last Saturday. I do not have any new updates on Filsaime and his status. I believe it was a stinger to the shoulder, but will double check.
  22. There's also probably pressure on paying anything that has been paid back (at least verbally), unless it's explicitly stated in the contract (which I'm not sure is allowed, anyways).
  23. Texas is making strides in areas that matter down the stretch - Howe (OTF)
  24. Recruiting: Coaches on the road; 5-star visit update (Thurs. 5:30am CT) By Gerry Hamilton Recruiting: Coaches on the road; 5-star visit update Members of the Texas staff will be on the road starting today. Stops include LSU 4-star+ OT commit Brysten Martinez, 4-star defensive line commit Corey Wells, 4-star+ defensive line commit Vodney Cleveland various stops in the Lone Star State and likely a coach in the Sunshine State. OTF dives into the latest on the recruiting trail as the coaches begin their stops for the week. November 22-23 visitor list ... 5-star Richard Anderson, DL, New Orleans, La./Edna Karr - *LSU commit (maybe/likely) There were reports of Anderson possibly visiting for the Texas A&M game. That is not what OTF was told Wednesday night. It's the Arkansas game weekend that Texas is targeting, and had discussions about with Anderson and his circle yesterday. There is some pressure from those around LSU NIL to not make any visits. Texas coaches are expected by the school Friday. 4-star+ Brysten Martinez, OT, Gonzales, La./East Ascension - *LSU commit Texas had a very successful unofficial visit last weekend, and now are expected to receive and OV. Who and when LSU makes their hire looms large here. 4-star+ Dre Quinn, EDGE, Buford, Ga./High - Ohio State or Texas decision expected by the 6-4, 230-pounder. The Buckeyes may have the slight momentum edge currently. 3-star++ Toray Davis, DB, Boulder, Colo./Fairview - Washington very much in it after a recent OV. November 22-23 will be a first visit to Texas. Defensive line recruiting ... Four junior college prospects are being evaluated. Two at defensive tackle, and two at edge. More on that in the coming days. Texas continues to recruit 4-star+ DL and Florida pledge Kendall Guervil (Fort Myers, Fla./High). This is the first week that Guervil has been a little more shaky about coming in for a visit. Florida collective applying a lot of pressure right now to stick. Texas would accept a flip commitment from 4-star EDGE and Baylor pledge Jamarion Carlton (Temple, Texas/High). Texas is also staying in contact with 5-star LSU EDGE commit Trenton Henderson (Pensacola, Fla./Pine Forest).
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