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Gap03

Certifiably Surly
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Everything posted by Gap03

  1. It's gonna take a packed USSC to unwind Citizens United, so just another reason to get on that right away. I'm totally on board with a reinstituted Fairness Doctrine to rein in the neverending onslaught of stupid from Fox News, OAN and their successors.
  2. Think that's what he's saying - SNAP and their nudes (Allies) vs. Facebook (Germany) / Twitter (Italy).
  3. Until the Rs prove that they can behave like grown-ups, I'm fine with going scorched earth. Maybe there is a fallback to a Buttigieg-style reform (5 Ds, 5 Rs, 5 appointed by sitting members) in an effort to unify the country at some point, but a point needs to be made now. The Rs have been fucking around for far too long, and now it's time for them to find out. #FAFO2021
  4. If I were a SC justice, I'd be asking for a bit of extra security these days. Shit is crazy right now, and while the Dems don't have the sheer number of loons that the Rs have, it doesn't take an army. Shit, I wouldn't put it past Putin to put a false flag "Dem assassination attempt" in place to dial the madness up to 13. Can you imagine the Fox / OAN coverage? /Tin foil hat off/
  5. Romney was never going to give up the chance to try to cement the corporate personhood caselaw. He and his PE buddies need to be able to buy political influence for all time.
  6. Just full-blown propaganda from Kudlow and Navarro these days ...
  7. Don't know anything about this pollster, but fascinating shift in the polls in Mississippi - from R-+26 in March to R+1 in August. I WANT to believe - giving that old racist clown the boot would be spectacular.
  8. MeidasTouch with the smackdown ...
  9. This mashup makes me all sorts of ragey. Fuck every one of these motherfuckers.
  10. ** As long as you're hurting the right people!
  11. A related question is whether having enough vaccine available for everyone is going to solve the problem. If the vaccines that are approved end up being only 50-60% effective (possible) and only 50% of people are willing to take the vaccine because of "MiCrOChiPs iN mY BlOOD!" and the Trump admin fucking over all trust in science / CDC / et al. (pretty damn likely), it will only end up slowing the spread. In that case, we'll still be fighting through lingering community spread and the legacy of "YOU CAN'T MAKE ME WEAR A MASK!1!! Muh freedumbs!", so I question whether other countries are going to let Americans come visiting ... unless maybe Biden wins and can Jedi mindtrick the Trumptards into following a universal mask mandate. Yeah, I'm not planning on being able to leave the country any time soon.
  12. To recap, as things in the Midwest (MN, WI, and MI) continue to solidify in favor of Biden, things look increasingly bad for Trump. With those three states, Biden has 258 EVs, so he'd need only 12 more to win, with the following options: PA (20) (D+5) FL (29) (D+2) NC (15) (D+1) GA (15) (D-2) TX (38) (D-2) OH (18) (D-2) AZ (11) (D+5) + ME-2 (D+2ish) or NE-2 (D+?) Ideally he'd win two of the bigger states. If the win involves just 1 state or the AZ route, all hell will probably break loose in the weeks after Nov. 3.
  13. And the ladybug chronicles may have pointed out to some of his constituents that he's gay, which may cause some of them to stay home, lest he attract more hurricanes to SC ...
  14. The constant barrage of that anti-Wendy ad ("... just another self-serving politician ...") here in Austin is pushing me close to the edge. I swear, if I ever run into Chip, I'm gonna go Talladega Nights on his ass ...
  15. Another high quality poll showing Biden with a steady lead. Interesting breakout here. Fucking white evangelicals ...
  16. Everyone that can should send Jaime some cash. Why? Because fuck this guy ...
  17. Cross-posting. Gideon looking good among recent quality polls. The Monmouth poll had me a bit nervous about Kelly, but he's been consistently at 50%, so I think he'll hold on. The undecideds in North Carolina (12-18% in recent polls) make me nervous - not sure how that one is going to shake out.
  18. "Herd immunity ... It's herd mentality ..."
  19. Sir, this is an Arby's ...
  20. Am I the only one that thinks this is incredibly stupid timing? I expect the impact of the schools re-opening here in Texas to start hitting in earnest about a month after the schools open. Much like what we saw in Florida, many of the younger folks (party folks in Florida, students here in Texas) will end up being asymptomatic, so while we'll see a modest uptick in positive cases initially, it will take 3-4 weeks for the parents and older people to start catching it, at which point the cases will really start to tick up. Hopefully increased mask-wearing will keep it from being June / July all over again, but letting people cram into restaurants / offices seems like pouring gas on a small brush fire. If you look at the graphs at 91-divoc.com, you'll see that we're already starting to see things ramping up over the last few days - the weekly average cases/day had bottomed out at 2,682 three days ago, but has ramped up to 4,187 since. Perhaps just a blip in the data, but I just don't understand the timing of this move.
  21. I agree with Sydney. Regaining control of the Senate will be essential so that we can start to unfuck the federal judiciary, and there are a few races where money is likely to help - namely: SC (where Harrison seems to be surging), NC (where Cunningham is hoping to hold onto his lead and where we know the Rs will be up to some shenanigans), and ME (because we know that Mitch will likely continue to throw a lot of cash to protect his favorite pet, even though Gideon seems to have a significant lead). IA still seems to be a bit of tossup, but I'm not sure money helps there as much, and MT is still fairly close, but Bullock is already well known so I'm not sure that advertising (while cheap) is going to help him climb out of the whole he seems to be in.
  22. With MI, MN and WI all trending away from Trump (D+7 or better in each) and Biden's polling average above 50% in each, it seems increasingly unlikely that he wins any of those states. That means that Trump HAS to win FL and PA - AZ won't help. I agree that you just can't rely on FL, with DeSantis and his SOS, no matter what the polls say. It really boils down to PA. Marist (A+ poll) had Biden up +9 among likely voters, and the 538 polling average has had Biden at 50% +/- 1% since June, so I feel pretty good about that. If there are going to be shenanigans by Barr and co., they're going to be aimed at PA voters because the state officials in PA aren't going to be helping Trump.
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