I put numbers from the past 6 years into a spreadsheet to do some analyzing. The last 5 winners had an E/P running style, 4 of them had an early speed points of 7 and the other one had a 5.
2018 Justify E/P 7
2017 Always Dreaming E/P 7
2016 Nyquist E/P 5
2015 American Pharoah E/P 7
2014 California Chrome E/P 7
2013 Orb P 2
4 of the last 6 winners had a top 2 Prime Power Rank.
2018 Justify 153.1 2
2017 Always Dreaming 142.1 14
2016 Nyquist 148.7 2
2015 American Pharoah 154.4 2
2014 California Chrome 153.1 1
2013 Orb 147.1 7
Looking for similar horses:
Vekoma has #1 Prime Power Rank and an E/P 6 running style.
Game Winner has #2 Prime Power Rank and E/P 2 running style.
Maximum Security has #10 Prime Power Rank and E/P 7 running style.
Vekoma at 20+ to 1 odds seems to be a must play with a good post position. I really like Game Winner, but would like a better post position and a higher early speed points. Maximum Security has the right running style, but is he good enough? He is another with a good post position.