I agree that Aemond didn’t mean to murder Lucerys but it’s still his fault and I don’t think it changes anything from the book. Aemond has three choices when he returns to King’s Landing - 1 - Lie and completely deny he had anything to do with Luke’s death. 2 - Tell the truth - he killed him but he didn’t intend to and confirm it was an accident. 3 - Lie and claim the kill as intentional and brag about loud and proud and let the story spread to inspire fear. Number one won’t work - too many witnesses from Storm’s End and Borros Baratheon will completely tell anyone who will listen what happened to save his own ass. Number two might work but he’ll be seen as incompetent by everyone on Team Green and Team Black won’t care that he says it was accidental - they won’t believe him and they’ll still be coming for his head. So, that leaves three. Aemond will still be Enemy Number One for Team Black, Otto and Alicent will still be furious. But this option will allow him to keep his pride and won’t expose his failure. And thus, we end up with the “true” history from the Maester, the Septon, and Mushroom - Aemond and Vhagar murdered Lucerys and Arrax over Shipbreaker Bay. As for Blood & Cheese, I think they’ll absolutely do it and I think it will be in episode one of season two. I think they’ll change it up a bit. Mysaria will probably find out Larys - on Alicent’s approval - was responsible for burning down her home. And she probably lost people important to her in the fire. She’ll come to Daemon and offer her services. I don’t know if they’ll have Daemon explicitly ask for the murder of Aegon and Helaena’s son or if he’ll want Aemond or Aegon’s head when he says “A son for a son”. (Daemon is the only character the writers have attributed bad acts to that weren’t confirmed in F&B - Rhea’s murder, strangling Rhaenerya - and they’ve softened everyone else.) Rhaenerya definitely won’t be in on it. I’m leaning towards Daemon wanting Aemond dead and asking Mysaria to carry out the deed. Mysaria hires Blood and Cheese and tells them that Aemond is the target but if they can’t get him, then murder any Hightower son or grandson they can find. I can’t wait for season two! I wonder if they’ll end it with Rook’s Rest? That, Battle of the Gullet and - of course - Battle Above the God’s Eye are going to be awesome. I’m also curious to see what they choose as the end. I’m thinking The Hour of the Wolf and the marriage of Aegon III and Jaehaera and their ascension to the Iron Throne.