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gmr548

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Everything posted by gmr548

  1. I have no awareness of what this stems from, but assuming it's true for argument's sake - males from generationally wealthy southern white families are pretty likely to be Republican (to the extent they are politically engaged at all as 20-somethings). That's just demographic reality. It would be a bigger surprise if they were Democrats.
  2. Dude's definitely read Surly game threads
  3. Thanks for dropping this. I have a few clarifying questions I don't have time to lay out right now (about to log off) but I'll come back to it. Of course I think there's a good bit of bad policy in here but genuinely, I really am interested in having an agreed-upon rubric of what is, and notably, isn't - there's nothing in here on trade and the immigration point is quite backtracked from Trump's own rhetoric - something we should expect or hold Trump to. I think we all benefit from clarity there.
  4. I mean, I know that's probably true but I'd love to have a framework we can look back on. And if our resident Trump voters instead just troll and don't engage then I guess that's all you need to know.
  5. Nah, I really do want to know. If we're to accept the premise that we're not supposed to believe what Trump has said or promised - and candidly I can buy that to some degree, history has shown his word is worth roughly one Ruble - I want to know what the right set of expectations is.
  6. Moving EPA headquarters. Got it. Anything else?
  7. What campaign promises do you believe Trump should be held to?
  8. Oh, you mean America in a nutshell?
  9. Co-signed. I'd love to hear what @Frank Drebin @Incredulity @ulukinatme etc. actually expect. What do we see on trade/tariffs? Immigration? Does the GOP trifecta go for a federal abortion ban or some other rescinding of existing rights? How much of the Biden legislative agenda - IRA, CHIPS, etc - is rolled back? Are they still going after Obamacare or has that ship sailed? I think it would be great to have a sort of rubric we can look back on. The only thing I am reasonably sure of is additional wealth redistribution toward the very top. You think it's great, I think it sucks, but I think everyone agrees it will happen. I also think the economy is set up well for a pretty good 2025 and it will be hard for anything the federal government does to steer it off that path unless it is just hilariously bad policy. Beyond that, I don't really know what I expect if I'm being honest. So I'd love it if you set the record straight for us TDS-riddled libtards; that way we all have something to point to and say "XYZ did/didn't happen."
  10. May just be in the public sector, but when my wife was looking for work outside of TX, many Colorado jobs would explicitly only consider applicants that were current CO residents.
  11. If you honest to God can't see the very obvious disconnect in what I pointed out in your posts then that about says it all.
  12. Texas: 41 Florida: 7 Florida total offense: 232 Florida just gets nothing going on offense and Texas, after a panic-inducing offensive start, eventually breaks the game open with turnovers and attrition. Kind of uneventful.
  13. I haven't really been getting into it with Trump voters, on here or in reality. Election's over so there's not really a ton of good that comes from beating that dead horse. The world ultimately keeps spinning. But I have to say, in one breath praising the Trump tax cuts, a structural increase of the US Government deficit that served primarily as a wealth redistribution mechanism to funnel money to the top, and in the next decrying reckless government spending is just hysterical. I mean, lol come on man. Your team won. No one is disputing that. The libs are owned. Why be a bad faith troll?
  14. I like Pete. I do. He's obviously a very smart guy and seems to have a big heart. But in light of the complete faceplant in the CR with such confidence in Harris, the board's thirsting for Pete as a candidate gives me pause.
  15. This is the only post I have negged of any of the texaggy crowd making the rounds in the CR and the only one I will. You almost stumbled into a point but just couldn't the resist the call to be as cunty as possible. It's hilarious to me that this old man behind a keyboard who hasn't been called "young" by anyone in decades is waxing on about young single men and women like you know shit about the real world outside your bubble. I am actually really glad that you were born into generational wealth and your wife decided that was worth the trade off of living life with you. We both know you'd have shot up a school or a Taylor Swift concert or something by now if that wasn't the case. She's a literal life saver.
  16. 2026 midterms are going to look a lot like 2018 because it's the same map, same unpopular president, and same political alignments. Republicans just won't pick up low hanging fruit in the Senate because there isn't any for them. Democrats will pick up two Senate seats tops in 2026. I don't think Iowa is realistic but they could get ME and NC to potentially have a shot at a majority in 2028 (WI and NC).
  17. Didn't know you were into that sort of thing.
  18. Trending R by just a couple seats but it's going to be a week or two as final results are tallied out west and in extremely close races all around. There is still an avenue, though I wouldn't hold your breath. It's honestly pretty odd; the shift at the presidential level is significant by today's polarized standards. Senate results have mostly converged within a point. And yet Democrats appear to have fought to more or less a stalemate in the House. Population trends over the rest of the decade are unlikely to simply be extrapolated 2021-23 trends. Similar directionally, sure, but not as extreme. Also GA and NC should not be called res states. Yes, they went GOP this round but their margins are in line with the Rust Belt and confirm battleground status.
  19. You've only got to go back 50-60 years to get to a point where no fault divorce was illegal, women could not have independent banking or credit accounts, there were no protections or rights with regard to reproductive healthcare, and public universities were male-only (whoop!). I guess I don't know whether you'd define that as sexual enslavement but it's certainly second class citizenship, and it's very obviously the goal. The edgy ones in the GOP sphere don't eve bother talking around it anymore.
  20. There's still a legitimate path to a Democratic House, but either way Democrats are going to dominate the 2026 midterms. I can tell you that right now just because we know that 1.) The midterm electorate favors Democrats now in the way it used to favor Republicans; and 2.) Trump will be an unpopular President. It basically won't matter what they trot out there. Democrats will have a major House majority after 2026. The Senate map is unfriendly and they'll net two seats, tops (NC and ME). That will put a check on the most batshit legislation but won't stop anything when it comes to establishing an extremely right-wing judiciary.
  21. I'm not sure I buy that another milquetoast, Republican lite appeal is the play after several cycles of underperformance and defeat with that approach. We're not going to out-Republican them and that's not even a goal really worth winning for. There has to be a clear moral contrast and a push for structural reform. Trump is a symptom, not a disease. Harris was a good candidate in the context. She was dealt a tough hand, unprecedented in modern history. Hell, she was the only choice with Biden stepping aside when he did. If Biden was going to step aside, 2023 was the time. That's on him and the Democratic Party more so than Harris. @aggie08 was correct in his assessment that Biden's legacy is going to go down the toilet. To be fair, the Democratic apparatus owns some blame there too. Biden would have won in 2016, but I don't know that the party was keen on him running.
  22. I just want be fair after clowning on you earlier - this is a good, insightful post.
  23. lol I'm sorry do you think this is this some kind of gotcha?
  24. Y'all are negging this but there is some truth to it. That doesn't necessarily excuse ignorance or worse at the individual level, but Dems got caught holding the post-COVID inflation bag and weren't able to competently message their way out of it. There's not really a reason to worry about any of them more than the other. Trump is going 7-7. I have not had a burning desire to move back to TX but it's pretty sad to know moving home is functionally off the table as a 30-something considering having children. Cult 45 and running a black woman in the south. Sure hope so. Really need Democrats to flip the House. They are holding up okay so far. At an absolute minimum, Ukraine and the judiciary are fucked, and whatever Biden was able to get Israel to hold off on is now on the table. I do have a feeling we just cemented our fate as a dysfunctional failed state for the rest of my life.
  25. For the record I don't think she's done in PA specifically but the path to 270 is extremely narrow from this vantage point.
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