gmr548

... This would be news to me But it is a flashing bright red light that you will get routed in WI/MI/PA But also this. Remember how quickly this turned. It can turn back.

How many abortions do we think come out of the night of MAGA camping? What will the total economic impact on New Mexico and Colorado be from associated travel?

Senate's definitely a GOP lean. Would not be shocked to see Dems eek out a 50-50 senate if Kamala wins, either through Tester holding on or picking off Rick Scott. Allred is unfortunately dead in the water.

This is the moment Max Merril has been waiting for.

lol god damn it I'm never not going refer to Taaffe as this now Jaray Bledsoe played tailback in HS. If we're going to go all Ian Boyd let's at least have fun with it.

2018 is probably not the cycle I'd use to make that case.

I need to rewatch Veep. I heard this via some in the weeds election podcast at some point in the last couple months, so no link, but evidently there is some research that indicates that outside of specific circumstances - mainly, holding rallies in competitive/purple areas - there actually isn't much polling/electoral performance impact. But in general I agree with you. MAGA is melting down. Rallies are far from glorious at this point and Trump has had a lot more time to sit around think about the attempt on his life than when he had to turn right around into the convention.

"Immediately, if not sooner" is really flying under the radar but is an absolute gem of mush-brained Trump lines.

You are telling on yourself, Galaxy Brain. If it walks like an aggy, talks like an aggy, thinks like an aggy... I don't hate aggy. Y'all are weirdos but no reason to hate . It's not that serious. You are however doing an excellent job demonstrating why the rest of the world knows them primarily for stupidity. I am sure you had a roommate at some point in life that went to Texas. You, however, very obviously did not.

That aggy would be very upset with you if he could read

Take your own advice and stop coming to Surly to post Texags nonsense.

Says the dumbfuck crying about being persecuted. I know you probably expected a different reaction because victim complexes like yours get mad love back on Texags. Maybe fuck off and stay over there from now until the end of the internet.

Literally nothing happened to you, you stupid snowflake aggy bitch

I don't think any of you are necessarily wrong, but this discussion is illustrative of just how far to the right the Overton Window drifted in this country.

Should obviously tap the breaks a bit on the Baxter injury meltdown - false alarms happen every year - but if there is a room that can sustain that, it's the RB room. I have no aprehension about Jaydon Blue spelled by Wisner/Gibson/Clark while Baxter recovers.

I don't disagree but I think you either meant to respond to another post or misunderstood mine? I was saying that I, personally, am ambivalent to Harris as a candidate. Of course, that's in a vacuum. I'm 100% voting for her and 99% sure I'll vote for her in 2028 if she wins, because of who she'll be running against. Asking the important questions here. One thing to add re: the bolded; look at where the situation in the Middle East is trending. Having a historically, strongly pro-Israel candidate on the ticket actually could be a problem in Michigan.

Not just a blue Texas at the presidential level, but a monstrous blue wave that would transform Texas politics overnight. Allred would win. The Texas House would flip. I don't know what Texas Senate seats are up this year but Democrats would make major gains and potentially flip it if the right seats are up. Three Dems on the SCOTX. Local level government and judicial sweeps across the metro counties that hold 70% of the state population. I assume you don't realize how red Montgomery County is. Suffice to say, that isn't going to happen. Deepest red/largest margin Republican county in the country. GOP losing there would be like aggy losing an online poll (there is, uh, a lot of voter overlap there). A world where Montgomery County flips is a complete implosion of the Texas GOP. The aggregate Collin/Denton county vote is a decent bellwether for the state though.

Man, I have historically been pretty unenthused and continue to hold mixed feelings about the prospect of a Kamala Harris presidency. However, one thing I do know without a shadow of a doubt is that you consistently excel when given the opportunity to prove you are one of, if not the dumbest poster in the history of this board. From football to the CR and everything in between, you have set a standard that the rest of us are in awe of. Given that track record, and this latest addition that may as well have been copy-pasted straight from Texags, maybe I should be more excited.

MAGA is going to linger like a cancer in American politics and society for the rest of my life. The power vacuum post-Trump may cause them to fracture and cede control of the GOP something resembling what we'd historically think of as the establishment or never Trumpers; but the ideas, the hate, the radicalization will all still be out there. At a minimum I expect a long term, low grade outburst of violence if/when MAGA no longer wields the controls of a major political party. Brian Kemp is still a guy that signed a 6-week abortion ban. Most Trump antagonistic Republicans are still with the party for a specific reason. Higher profile officials like Kemp can just win on personal brand. Maybe it'll happen with no name state legislators or something but I think "former Trump-era Republican" would be pretty damning in a Democratic primary in all but the most purple of districts. Don't know what he has or hasn't said on the prisoners, but he absolutely congratulated Putin. I believe the angle he was taking was sarcastically congratulating Putin for getting the better of Biden; you know, since bringing those folks home was such a low value achievement and all.

I'd donate $100 if Kamala came out and said she wanted to pass legislation banning Ted Cruz from eating steaks and cheeseburgers. Kemp and Raffensperger are definitely voting for Harris lol

Trump's team also chose JD Vance.

I've more or less landed on Walz as the VP pick if I were in charge. Very little downside, both legislative and executive experience to govern, can no doubt connect on the campaign trail in the Rust Belt and in the suburbs. But every serious contender is fine, certainly passable and a strong contrast against JD Vance lol.

Part of the benefit of running Harris is that she does poll better nationally, even if she is ultimately a point worse than Biden in terms of structural EC deficit, and that is correlated with success in the House. If Democrats can't win the WH, they have to get the House. I think it's the correct strategic view.

Biden's legacy rides on this election. If Trump wins he is the guy who could have stabilized the country but held on too long and acquiesced to a new dark age. If Harris wins, he is the most legislatively accomplished POTUS in generations, put up multiple major foreign policy wins (Israel is and will be even more of a red flag with the benefit of hindsight to be fair), and the guy who swallowed his pride and passed the torch to his VP to ensure the continued viability of the republic.