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gmr548

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Everything posted by gmr548

  1. New/2020 non-voters and simple high turnout can mean different things in this election, and we won't really know what until after the fact when data is available. This one, though. This is good.
  2. Honestly, no one cares. It's good for the lolz I guess but no one cares.
  3. I honestly can't even listen to what he's saying because the contrast between his face and hands is so overwhelmingly impossible to ignore.
  4. There are definitely some funny AI Bidens but you managed to find this Texags-grade fail
  5. Don't hold your breath.
  6. I mean, it's there in the polling. My point was to illustrate how you'd see Trump perform better in the national popular vote without an EC victory. We'll see if it pans out in a few weeks. I tend to agree Harris won't lose too much of the black vote, maybe a few percentage points relative to Biden due to churn in the electorate and the peeling off of younger men, but that's not really racially specific.
  7. I'd defend Majors here because he was always a long-term S&C project. That he was on the field as a RS FR in 2021 when he was clearly not ready for Power 5 football is an indictment of where the OL group was, not him personally. He was always going to need 2-3 years. I absolutely do credit this staff for his development because I'm not at all confident the prior staff would have him where he is now. Similarly, Sorrell was an unheralded recruit but flashed as a freshman an has shown a more or less linear development arc. Again, credit to the staff for seeing his development through but if anyone ever wrote him off as a JAG that would have been dumb. The really exciting thing is they're showing the ability to eval and develop their own guys too. As recently as last year the success stories on the OL and front seven were nearly all Herman recruits - Ford, Gbenda, Ojomo, Coburn, Sweat, Murphy, Broughton, Collins, Sorrell, Connor, Majors, Jones - all of those guys were Herman evals that they developed - some of them they very much changed the trajectory on. Now we see the next wave with their own guys - some of them like Hill, Simmons, Banks, and Campbell were obviously super high end, can't miss prospects but guys like Hill and Campbell did have some development needed and they've managed that impressively. And there are more like Lefau, Williams, Burke, etc. that they have brought along nicely. Real, sustainable evaluation and development of high level athletes on the LOS is a foolproof method for being consistently competitive on a national level and this staff has shown exactly that. Feels good man.
  8. It's less about migration and more about where Trump has made gains in polling - a major driver of that is people of color. Most of the larger, noncompetitive states on both sides are significantly less white than the nation as a whole - CA, TX, FL, NY, IL, NJ, etc. It's plausible, perhaps even the base case if you lean into polling, that Trump could see a boost in the national popular vote but see his relative EC advantage eroded because Harris has held up better among whites - WI, MI, PA, and NE-2 are the first path to 270 and all notably whiter than the nation overall. Side note, I think New Mexico could use more polling because of this. It hasn't been polled in a month. Harris has held a decent lead in the polls that do exist so I'm not saying it's going to flip or anything but it would be nice to get a poll or two to see where it stands now.
  9. Aside form Biden being 119 years old and more conservative on some social issues, do you know how laws are passed in this country?
  10. I mean, isn't that basically the state in a nutshell?
  11. This. Not only were guys open, he found them even early. He just missed on several occasions.
  12. Do you exclusively associate with males age 16-35 or so? Beyond that, even accepting your premise for sake of argument, is that not then Rogan validating her?
  13. Well, you got what you wanted. Happy now?
  14. I... Wasn't aware they need convincing?
  15. Oh I cannot wait for the Democratic handwringing on this one
  16. lol y'all responding to BOW
  17. I'd actually push back on the uncalled for bit a little bit. Venables elected to go for it on 4th down well inside OU's own territory, down 24 in a game that was very much decided and where his offense had accomplished less than jack shit. Put the ball there and I'm happy to hand the ball off to a backup RB three times. Honest to god they had a better chance of scoring through punting and trying to strip the ball on defense. You want to call the game like the outcome is still in doubt? You want me to risk injury with Georgia looming next week in keeping my defense - a unit that has thoroughly detonated your offense - out not only for another play but potentially at least 3 more if you convert? Fuck you then, I'll remind you the outcome is not in doubt. I agree the actual playcall was hilariously disrespectful given what Golden did with it earlier. I'm sure he was begging for another chance. I think the football gods agree with me on the last paragraph though seeing as Helm made a pretty improbable catch with multiple OU defenders actually ID'ing the play that time.
  18. We aren't that far removed from a decade-plus stretch where I'd start to check out after the OU game because it was obvious the season wasn't going anywhere interesting or fun. To some extent being in the position the program has been in the past 2-3 years feels like playing with house money. It's nice. I mean, yeah obviously I want the Georgia win in a big way but even if Texas loses they are still sitting at 6-1, probably in the top 5 and certainly in the top 10, every goal in front of them with a dominant OU win in hand, and November road games at Arkansas and A&M.
  19. Texas: 31 Dee-Dubya-Eye University: 27 Georgia Total Yards: 424 Texas offense has some early success, scoring 10-14 points in their first three possessions (we have to account for the obligatory stupid early turnover this team loves to commit). In addition to said turnover, Georgia will move the ball well between the 20s for the most part, but have to settle for a couple of FGs. Texas is up 24-13 at half but we do get a vintage do-nothing third quarter out of the offense, on which Georgia capitalizes with a couple scores to take a 27-24 lead by the early fourth quarter. Ewers and Sark conjure a masterful mid-fourth quarter TD drive get the lead back. Georgia moves down the field in response but with the clock down inside 3-4 mins, elects to go for it on fourth down in FG range and is denied. Texas converts a couple first downs and punts it back to Georgia with < 30 seconds left. A nice punt return puckers some assholes and a couple of quick short routes give Georgia a doable endzone shot or two from the fringes of Texas territory; but the Texas defense holds.
  20. Well, Oklahoma is a joke so this makes sense.
  21. It was even worse in person lmao. Completely cooked. Idk what that other safety over the top was doing either.
  22. Georgia and Texas are in the top 10 for both offensive and defensive FEI and SP+, this may be the first (only?) such game all year. It will likely come down to who plays cleaner - taking care of the ball, avoiding penalties, establishing field position on special teams (Georgia has a clear advantage on ST per analytics, FWIW), etc. Real hot take, I know. Looking forward to seeing what DKR has in store. The last home game I can remember that even approached this level of anticipation is 2019 LSU, which was rocking, and this is a better team coming off a throttling of Oklahoma with more on the line in a conference game. The interesting thing about Georgia is that despite being the big bad wolf for three years running they don't have a ton of experience with playing strong opponents on the road thanks to living in the SEC East until now. I do think the Bama game this year probably got that shock to their system out of the way and I would expect them to have a much better start than they did in Tuscaloosa. Georgia also has less margin for error with regard to an SEC championship and playoff appearance than Texas does thanks to that Bama L. But home field advantage is real in football and Texas, by most metrics, grades out as a slightly better team. Key matchup is the Texas DL vs the Georgia OL. I don't think the Georgia defense will present a significantly higher level challenge to the Texas offense than Michigan or Oklahoma did. Texas will go as far as Ewers takes them on offense. There will no doubt be some give and take but Texas will find its points, I'm pretty confident in that. On defense, though, Texas has not seen an offense of this caliber, especially in the passing game. If Texas is having to commit numbers to run or blitzing is the only way to manufacture a pass rush the Georgia can have their way. Again, real hot take - win the LOS to win the game. It's going to be fun. If you've got tickets to sell, make sure they go to Texas fans. Georgia is known to travel.
  23. To start a game next week? Obviously not. As a draft prospect? Yes. His physical talent is what it is, and physical mistakes - flat out missing on throws - were his primary flaw yesterday. He's demonstrated to learn, protect the ball, and execute a pro style offense at a high level. If you like his physical profile as an NFL team, the rest is there. I don't think Ewers will come back because he'll get a first or high second round grade and that'll be good enough for him. Probably better for his development that he go to a team that's picking in the late first as opposed to the Raiders or Panthers or something. I don't think this has much to do with it. Ewers is going to end up a top 3-4 QB off the board. He leaves this year because he came back to solidify his draft stock and his body of work this season will do that.
  24. Attended in person. Watching a replay and looking at stats today it is really starting to set in what a thorough ass kicking that was. I mean, obviously that was evident to a major extent yesterday but taking a step back and having less beer in the system brings some clarity. That was the best performance by a Texas defense I have seen in a very long time. OU obviously cooperated with that seeing as they are refried ass on offense, but those two units did not belong on the same field. Awesome to watch them just tee off on Oklahoma. In hindsight, the offense played a better game than I realized at the time. Honestly, Quinn Ewers was the weak link for Texas. He did get better later on in the game but never really got it going. Without his several somewhat inexplicable misses Texas could have set a new record for victory margin in the series. Here's hoping that gets cleaned up this coming week and we get a great performance back home vs Georgia. I started at UT in 2010 and haven't seen a ton of Ws in this series. I'm really optimistic Texas is going to rack up some wins over the rest of the 2020s, and that's exciting as hell. OU sucks.
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