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gmr548

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Everything posted by gmr548

  1. That this is the best Texags can muster is really sad.
  2. I'm gonna be honest, when I saw people lampooning MAGA using the word "colored" I didn't think they were being literal. Perhaps that reflects more on me than anything else, because I should have known...
  3. We're back in tossup territory bois
  4. One visit was for a national teacher's union conference likely scheduled well in advance, and now she is there for SJL services. Texas is a legitimate campaign stop as a Democratic presidential candidate to hit the ATM and try to drum up enthusiasm that might help in down ballot races, but I would not read anything into it beyond that.
  5. In the abstract I agree with you and @SydneyCarton - I am worried about violence though. I don't want to see people get hurt because MAGA is lashing out. I know that's part of who they are anyway but I have a feeling that is about to turn up to 11.
  6. The other - wait for it - weird thing about the MAGA bit here is that Harris has been pretty open about her mixed heritage, at least since she's come onto the national stage. Mixed race individuals and families are plenty common in the US in 2024. This idea that Kamala Harris can't be Indian and black is going to fall flat against most people's day to day experience. They are really showing heir ass here.
  7. Being actively antagonistic to black voters is such a fucking weird strategy for team Trump. I don't know if the Turmp campaign really believed they were going to have some generational breakthrough with black voters - I certainly didn't - but even just continuing the trend of a picking up a couple more percentage points and maybe benefitting from slightly lower turnout would more or less secure GA and make the rust belt trio that much heavier of a lift for Democrats. Now they are out here supercharging black enthusiasm for Harris and self sabotaging in five key swing states. If they piss off the black community to the point of losing GA and NC, the election is called as soon as polls close on the west coast. Just phenomenally dumb.
  8. To Donald Trump? There's like 9 years of evidence to the contrary but okay. Or at least that they only stick in that he does not expand his support.
  9. I didn't say they should feel good lol. Just saying it's a little early to be discussing the idea of Trump winning as borderline inconceivable.
  10. Everything in politics is fleeting. I have no idea what the news cycle will look like a month, two months from now, aside from the fact that it won't look like it does now. We've been watching novel, modern history-making events unfold for like a month straight so to assume the landscape won't significantly change is probably a bad idea. I don't know the last time I said this, but if the election were held tomorrow it'd be a complete coin flip and I might even favor Harris. It's not held tomorrow though; at the moment that uncertainty is potential upside for Trump much as it was for Democrats when trying to get Biden to step aside. People's opinions of Trump are hardened. Partisanship is a bitch. I doubt he wins any new supports but I doubt he loses many relative to 2016 or 2020 either. You can be reasonably sure of him getting his ~46% nationally and + 2%-3% on that in swing states that generally lean slightly right of the nation.
  11. July is typically too early for aggy tears but you're goodamn right I'm here for this.
  12. In this same vein, unfortunately I see the same thing shaping up. I am scared this is going to get really, really ugly.
  13. The right is getting better at comedy and the left is terrified! I bet this landed better on Texags huh?
  14. I'm not giving him a pass at all. It's a phenomenally twisted, apparently at least somewhat sincerely held stance - which seems to be an outlier for him - that also fails to withstand even basic logical scrutiny.
  15. The overarching theme of this stuff, whether it was the "childless cat ladies" soundbite, his attempt at clarifying that, or this new one, is that JD Vance seems to think he is the first person to ever have children or have children that they care about in their life. Major "tech bro discovers parenthood" vibes. I don't know how this guy hasn't died of asphyxiation from the enormous volume of his own farts he seems to have huffed.
  16. Reminder that 25th-ing Biden wouldn't have done anything to his status as the presumptive nominee and would have served essentially no purpose but to sew further chaos. If it looks like bullshit, smells like bullshit...
  17. Fun fact: Walz and Harris are the same age, born six months apart. Harris polling a point, maybe two, better than Biden and taking the conversation to flipping Texas is Surly coaching search thread energy for sure lol
  18. Uh, you might have heard that one "side" just pushed the incumbent POTUS out of the race - unprecedented in modern history - because it was made abundantly clear to the electorate (who have in turn made themselves clear through polling) and eventually the rank and file of the party that he was not up to mounting the kind of campaign needed to win, or to governing for four more years, despite a relatively strong record in his first term. Unless you are just being intentionally disingenuous or are extremely stupid, you surely recognize that such a reckoning is unfathomable in the cult of personality known as the Republican Party. This is such a load of horseshit lol. I get you want to feel smart, edgy, above the fray, etc. but when you are consistently grading one party on a vastly different curve than the other - which is the only way to arrive at the "both sides are the same" conclusion - you've already tacitly admitted they are not in fact the same.
  19. I mean if that has any kind of staying power and Harris can maintain something close to net neutral, the election is over. That's a pretty remarkable swing coming on the scene.
  20. If it goes to the House, the popular vote becomes irrelevant.
  21. This is paywalled for me but I think I miscounted anyway. 26-22-2, not 25-23-2. Nevermind then. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/118th_United_States_Congress#/media/File:118th_US_Congress_House.svg Incoming I believe, but all there is to go on right now is the current.
  22. This is way down the rabbit hole, but currently the state delegations in the House are 25R-23D-2 Ties. What, pray tell, happens if that becomes 25 votes for Trump and 25 for Harris in the House? NC and MN are the ties FWIW.
  23. This. Being a HC at Texas or a similar program is all-consuming. She's, what 10-20 years younger than him(?) and wants to pursue the fashion angle. I can see how things wear thin there. Hopefully it's amicable; sad, obviously, but not toxic. She will get a nice chunk of change obviously but he wasn't (or shouldn't have been) broke going into the marriage four years ago and obviously has quite a bit of guaranteed cash coming to him from UT over the next several years. Also no child support. Somehow I think he'll keep the lights on.
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