gmr548

"COVID was a rerun of AIDS" is a take

Unless the city worker is underage he's a RINO.

Absolutely temporary. These things go in cycles, just looking at the short to mid-term future under the current paradigm. If it isn't something else beforehand, climate-induced migration will absolutely lead to a new alignment.

Makes sense. Clearly the Iowa economy would be unleashed if only the low-paid immigrants in agriculture, construction, and food processing could just be removed. I mean, there are so many Americans lining up to take those jobs that Iowa has reduced child labor standards. Yep, no labor shortage in Iowa, just mass out of control immigration.

If the realignment sparked by Trump holds, there is ultimately going to be a new blue wall formed in the Sun Belt. NV, AZ, NM, CO, GA, and NC. I'm bearish on it but there's an argument to throw Texas in there at least as a competitive state (wouldn't it be ironic if Trump's border wall was 110 Democratic EVs from CA to TX). Regardless, Republicans could sweep WI-MI-PA (I am not high on GOP prospects in PA long term) and still not get over the line if they continue to bleed suburban voters in these key states.

My renewal is actually a lower per game price this year. Thanks Biden.

Democrats with strong enough partisan lean and politcal engagement to vote in a Special Election are going to vote for Biden, news at 11.

This will be forgotten by the start of next week but if anything it will help Biden. MAGA election denying has been a huge loser in AZ. The more discussed it is the better. It's also a non-binding resolution that has no teeth, likely would not get through AZ's very closely divided legislature (31-29 House, 16-14 Senate), and is DOA on the Governor's desk. Beyond the actual substance of the election integrity issue, it's easy to point to this and remind voters the GOP is wasting their time on pointless nonsense instead of sending Hobbsbills that might actually accomplish something. They are spooked because AZ has continued to import young people and middle class families priced out of SoCal and they've started losing elections. The state is at the tossup stop right now given the political environment but it's obvious AZ is on the same bus line as Nevada and Colorado were in the 2000's.

Guys, it's a comedy show with an audience that skews younger, better informed, and more liberal than cable news. It's going to be okay, and it was funny. Also a big part of the bit was pointing out Biden gave these answers under deposition and comparing them to even more ridiculous memory lapses from the Trumps in the same situation. Touch some grass.

Honestly if anything I was rooting for the 49ers because I like Shanahan is a Texas Ex and I like the way they're built. And despite the Vegas line they certainly felt like the underdog. Shanahan kind of Sarked it but oh well. NFl playoffs have been a really good product the past few years. Also didn't think Romo was bad at all. I'm pretty neutral on the whole Taylor Swift thing aside from enjoying watching people get so irrationally riled up. I did enjoy MAGA being caught between the weird Taylor Swift conspiracies and having to root for San Francisco, knowing that absent the whole Swift saga most of them would openly root for KC to own the libs of SF, as if that has any bearing on professional sports (and as if KC is not a liberal city). Not to mention the while kneeling for the anthem thing (I was told they were not watching the NFL anymore in the first place?) originated there.

I actually agree with this, though probably not for the same reasons. It's low effort pandering and if anything gives fuel to the idea that the POTUS has an real control over consumer prices. But, yeah, this. Maybe the stupid is the point. Seems to work pretty well for Republican messaging.

That is absolutely my takeaway from the past week or two in the news cycle. I mean, in reality the truth has been evident for a while but the way Biden and Trump have been covered in recent weeks really lays it bare. I mean, for fuck's sake, Trump justsaid he would encourage Russia to attack NATO allies and it is barely news. The establishment "liberal" media are happy to prop Trump up for eyeballs, that is their real allegiance. Don't Football Board the CR.

To @David Dennison's point on Millennials, I disagree. I think that bloc saw the margin thin between 2012 and 2022 because a lot more 26-41 year olds participate than do 18-30 year olds, and Trump in particular has activated a previously non-engaged segment of the electorate for the GOP. 2022 vs 2012 generic ballot also isn't the best apples to apples comparison given the presidential vs midterm and party-in-power dynamics. Long term, Millennials came of age as GWB's popularity tanked post-Iraq and Katrina, and the economy followed; saw Obama get elected and lead the recovery only for the GOP to completely meltdown, and have watched the MAGA movement grow as they enter their prime earning and family-rearing years. The Republican brand is probably going to be toxic to Millennials in aggregate as long as it remotely resembles what it does today.

Yep. Gen X has consistently been the most pro-GOP generation over the past 8 years. It makes sense. The first Gen X'ers came of age as Carter's presidency was falling apart, most of them came of age under the Reagan Revolution. That was followed up by the 90's, a pretty conservative decade politically despite having a Democrat in the White House for most of the decade. The Democratic platform has moved to the left since then, no doubt about it. Of course, while Democrats have moved the the left, Republicans have gone even further right; so far they've fallen off the rails and into fascism entirely. But Gen X didn't come up with fascism as the boogeyman, it was communism and socialism. I don't think Gen X has gotten more conservative. I think they have always been conservative and the low effort "SoCiAlIsM!1!1" cries from the GOP that we clown on Boomers and Silents for falling for also probably work on Gen X because the environment in which they came of age.

I've gotten more practical in my progressivism now in my 30's vs 10-15 years ago at UT, more willing to see the virtue of incremental progress or compromise. My core views have not changed and if anything I feel stronger that the vast majority of this country is getting turbofucked by the system in place having really gotten in on the fun myself. If anything my biggest policy shifts are predominantly in realizing there are places where major change is needed that I hadn't really considered when I was younger (land use, policing, etc).

Honestly I think it is the opposite. The complete inability to think critically about how the common good and the individual interest can be aligned is almost exclusively a trait of older folks in my experience. At some point your views are just too hardened. Of course, that is anecdotal.

aggy, I guarantee it

lol I love these shitty housing takes. Do you get these from Facebook or TikToK? Housing has spiked because it was significantly underbuilt after the late 2000's financial crisis. It is simple supply and demand.

The narrative if Biden were to step back and not run for reelection would be a Democratic party in shambles, and all of the campaign/white house infrastructure built over the past four years ceases to matter. Democrats would be campaigning on Trump being such a threat to democracy that... an incumbent POTUS with < 4% unemployment won't even bother trying?

Disagree, Biden should make a point to be out and about on the campaign trail both as a counter to the age/fitness piece and to tout investments in infrastructure, manufacturing, and energy made possible by legislation he passed; many of which are located in purple states.

They were considered losses by Trump by huge margins in public polling in both 2020 and 2016. My contention is that means fuck all.

lmao this is awesome

I mean, that's true of both of them. Against any other candidate he would be a liability but against Donald Trump it's a layup. I have little doubt Biden would be considered a decisive winner in public polls and in media analysis just as he was in 2020, but debates have been definitively proven to not matter at all anyway. They are poo flinging contests.

Larry Hogan is running in MD. https://www.politico.com/live-updates/2024/02/09/congress/hogan-running-for-senate-00140681 Still probably a slight underdog in a solid blue state with Trump on the top of the ticket, but certainly puts a previously safe Democratic seat in play.

Is that not what he did?