gmr548

Zero, she's criticized him. SD Governor is your female VP nominee if they go that route.

I think the lege and those that choose to work for the kind of people that write these bills are just too stupid to craft something that would hold up.

Okay, I'm convinced. This is really the master race.

If Trump were to die before the election his base would think the deep state killed him and I have no idea what they would do beyond get grifted by Don Jr and crew. I don't mean that in only terms of voting, I mean there would be tens of millions of loose cannons, cult members without a leader. I would expect violence. I think you're way too in the box here. Electorally, who knows. The timing would be really important given the logistics of getting other names on the ballot. Rs might suffer depressed turnout on the MAGA side but Haley could pull center right voters from the Biden coalition. It's a low probability event so not going to waste a ton of time on in.

I am with @Wulaw Horn. My bet is the direction is upward prices. The demand suppression from rates is transitory (and people tend to adjust to the new normal if it stays in place long enough anyway). There is a structural supply/demand imbalance.

We'll see. There's a path to victory and I certainly think the presumption that it will be Trump is very premature. 10 months is an eternity though and there is a real antipathy to Biden, justified or not. Honestly it'll probably come down to a five figure margin across a couple different states as the past two have. Any time you're talking about margins that narrow at the tipping point it is basically a toss up.

Consumer sentiment just took the biggest two-month upward jump in my lifetime. There's still a ways to go for people's perception to catch up to reality, there are of course legitimate structural economic issues to address, and the economy needs to hold up for 10 more months... But with all those caveats that's probably the best news the Biden 2024campaign has received to date.

Know what you're getting to and don't pay $140 to pick a seat that is identical to all the rest?

No it wont. They will all come around, Ted Cruz style.

So he's staying put then, got it. Thanks.

But what you have to understand is FOX News said she is bad. And my uncle said so on Facebook too, right after he brilliantly protected his privacy by copy-pasting a paragraph about not taking his photos than had only two or three misspellings. While it depends on the market, in the current climate yes because there has been a surge in new supply. This has not really been the case for a while. If I were an operator would I be playing hardball on lease renewal increases and letting people walk in this environment, only to end up leasing the unit at a similar rate to what I could have renewed at after incurring turnover costs and loss of rental income? No, probably not, but it does seem to be the case that some are. Most of 2024 is likely going to be pretty flat in terms of rents as that supply surge carries into the new year but I expect rents to start increasing notably again by 2025. In a relative sense it's a pretty good time to be a renter, for once. Also CPI rent data sucks in general and is probably inflating (hehe) inflation numbers a bit, just as it likely undersold inflation on the up-slope.

Good for them. I hope they vote.

Well, other Americans are to blame. They voted for other people.

I desperately wanted this to be incorrect but this will be true of at least some 18 year old voters. Not really a "massive cohort" but really the point is I feel old as fuck.

If Texas had won this year it would have been with several starters (QB, WR, CB, off the top of my head) that "defected" from various schools. Not to mention Kelvin Banks, who basically fell into Texas's lap out of luck and decommitted from Oregon only after Mario Cristobal left Oregon. Worthy also had to ask for a NLI release from Michigan. Do you think Michigan didn't have key transfers? Georgia the past couple years? Washington? TCU? It's an essential part of the game now.

You are talking about trying to appease a group that thinks building s 1,900+ mile wall is a good idea and that the country on the other side will pay for it.

Really fascinating account of covering Trump campaign during the 2016 election cycle. He has written other books I want to get to and is a good follow on social media. @Brisketexan may live on the ledge, but he rents it from Sexton.

What gave that away?

Never really been a thing he's liked to do. 3-4 guys has typically been the limit, though it's worth noting Golden's got a track record of missing time to injury. They brought in Milton in 2022 and he barely played, Neyor barely played, Cain played in 22 but barely played this year when Mitchell came in. He sticks with his guys at WR, pretty much the anti Herman in that regard. I am excited to see who the 3-4 guys are after the spring. I assume it'll be Cook, Golden, Bond, with some Bolden gadgetry but there is a lot of young talent to push. Wingo's skillset and build is pretty unique too. It may cost them some talent but they should end up with a stacked WR room for Ewers this year, which had to be the priority. Texas reloading at WR was really one of major conditions for competing for a championship again.

I'm honestly surprised they took three portal receivers. Have to think that may drive a DeAndre Moore or a Ryan Niblett away after spring (hopefully not Wingo); but I agree reloading the WR room with the best talent available is the move with Ewers coming back.

Good luck to him, I'm sure there will be sour grape but I understand why he'd change his mind. Onto the portal and/or a late bloomer in the Feb cycle. Well, that and a position coach.

Weather or no weather, noncompetitive primaries/caucuses always have low turnout. Honestly, it can just as reasonably be framed as an accomplishment to get almost as many voters out as you did in 2016 in a negative 12 billion degree snowstorm to vote in a race that's already decided. I really would not spike the football over primary turnout.

It's also a noncompetitive race and everyone knows it. I wouldn't read too much into turnout.

https://www.heritage.org/judicialtracker https://www.acslaw.org/judicial-nominations/on-the-bench/ For most of his term Biden had been ahead of Trump and had confirmed the most judges since at least Reagan (as far back as this tracker goes). He has now fallen slightly behind Trump and Clinton. His admin remains more efficient than Trump in terms of getting hearings, cloture/roll call, etc. I am hoping the White House and Senate dems can see the writing on the wall for 2024, realize it's very unlikely they control both pieces of the equation after this year, and really prioritize confirmations this year. You can't really compete with Trump's 3 SCOTUS confirmations unfortunately but overall I think the Biden administration has been a plus with regard to the judiciary. They've played the hand they were dealt pretty well.

Beyond HVAC and water heating, anything like a coffee maker, toaster, space heater, etc uses a ton of energy. At a fundamental level, generating heat is very energy intensive, though modern heat pumps are getting really good (we as a state refuse to incentivize these).