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gmr548

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Everything posted by gmr548

  1. gmr548
    To be fair, this is a two-way phenomenon, though it's always been notably stronger on the Republican side. Just really dumb.
  2. gmr548
    @PRONG HORN maybe the Power Lesbians, whatever that is, are coming for you next. Maybe you should flee the country and never post on Surly again. You know, for your safety.
  3. gmr548
    I don't think I've gotten these (didn't give money to the presidential campaign) but I do keep getting emails from Bob Casey's campaign (didn't give there either) asking for money. Bro. You're down 30k votes. You've been down 30k votes for a week. Every time the numbers change, you're down 30k votes. Your opponent has been invited to Senate freshman orientation. I don't know why the race isn't called. Fuck off.
  4. gmr548
    You are right, I should have included Ohio for one specific reason: Sherrod Brown has a good shot at getting back into the Senate in a special election for Vance's seat in 2026. If he's up for it, Democrats would be monumentally stupid to run anyone else.
  5. gmr548
    Democrats control the election infrastructure in most swing states and at least have enough power to stop any un-lower case "d" democratic legislation in all of them but Georgia. Democrats are going to have strong midterms in 2026. Elections are going to happen. The country may or may not be irreparably broken by 2028 but there will be an election.
  6. gmr548
    Yep. And the Democrat that gets elected in 2028 is going to inherit an ungovernable situation and motivated red state resistance. This country is officially an actively failing state.
  7. gmr548
    Polis is high on the names to watch for 2028 for me.
  8. gmr548
    Yeah I don't know what I thought you were referring to, but it wasn't the vitamin lol. So I've heard, though.
  9. gmr548
    I honest to god thought this would be the pick.
  10. gmr548
    Appreciate it. SIL/BIL lived here already so it's nice to have our people to show us the ropes. Ain't paying no $80/day in rent or whatever it is to hang out inside like I still live in Houston, that's for sure. Summer was great and fall's been surprisingly lovely, actually. A little worried about the dead of winter in Jan-March when fall color and holidays are over, football winds down, and it's been dark for a couple months with plenty more to go, but cross that bridge when we get there. D3? Educate my rube Texpat mind.
  11. gmr548
    This is funny because "enjoying myself and laughing at you losers" is basically by reaction to the Gaetz AG pick and the TV host SecDef guy whose name I don't even remember. Why are you excited? These are big unforced errors for important roles, whose Senate confirmations are legitimately in doubt and even if confirmed lack the competence to execute the plans you have such a weird little chub over. Trump and team are setting back their own agenda before they even arrive. A week in and it sure seems to me Trump is just in this to pardon himself, play golf on the public dime, and continue to grift people like you while not really giving a fuck. I don't know what they told you at fish camp but aggy is not in this club.
  12. gmr548
    Wife's had some bouts of homesickness after relocating out of TX earlier this year. On election night, in the window where it was pretty clear Harris was going to come up short in the Sun Belt but there was some hope to hold out for the Blue Wall, I remarked on the returns in Texas and Florida (Trump +9 in TX and +13 in FL at the time). "We are never fucking moving back." It was a really sad moment. I'm more or less with you. No interest in riding out a second Trump term in TX. WA is a state that's grown a lot over the last 10-20 years and is only going to be more attractive to those looking to get out of red states - to say nothing of climate change - in the coming years. I feel like the most productive thing I can do is lean into building community here and trying to contribute to making things better at the local/state level. And Canada's only a couple hours away.
  13. gmr548
    Would that be for all marriage/the default option, or would that just allow nutjobs to enter into a more stringent arrangement if they both consent? I mean, I know it's a slippery slope either way but there is a distinction.
  14. gmr548
    I don't even know the "Trump dance" bit and there's decent odds that this is just a couple white boys that can't dance, but if it's indeed a thing... Shouldn't your reaction be ShUt Up AnD dRiBbLe!1!1!1
  15. gmr548
    This is the caliber of troll I aspire to be. Darren Woods out here with the greatest IRL shitpost of all time.
  16. gmr548
    I have to admit I didn't think I could be surprised by a Trump cabinet pick but lmao Trump is really nominating a FOX News host for SecDef. This is the dumbest apocalypse.
  17. gmr548
    When you're down a couple of scores in the fourth quarter, as one could argue this situation represents? Reuben Gallego could be a name to watch.
  18. gmr548
    That's what would make Texas look incompetent?
  19. gmr548
    That's what I'm getting at. I don't think Congress will necessarily get jealous and act as a check. Maybe an impediment to the agenda through dysfunction, sure, but an active check? Nah.
  20. gmr548
    Not when said power is being yielded in a way Congress would like to but can't because they don't have the votes or fear the electoral blowback.
  21. gmr548
    Post-2012 Republicans had no idea how they were going to compete because they couldn't breakthrough with Latinos. Weird shit happens and in a two party system the opposition has an advantage with the incumbent party is unpopular as they almost certainly will be after a year or two.
  22. gmr548
    The House will be an issue too. The GOP is much more MAGA than in 2016, but their House majority is a fraction of that. It's unlikely to expand significantly if at all. It's been very dysfunctional over the past two years. Maybe they all fall in line with daddy but 4-5 defections is going to stall legislation, and it's going to continue to be really hard to square the interests of swing district reps with MAGA purists with a likely Democratic-leaning midterm on the horizon.
  23. gmr548
    His very lucrative job depends on winning football games. Would you swap out Missouri or aggy for Texas on your schedule with that goal in mind?
  24. gmr548
    Maybe CBP staff will tell recruits to go work for the cartels or something
  25. gmr548
    But I think Bozo is closer to correct here, though on a more drawn out than analogous decades. The social contract has been gradually unraveling since at least the Great Recession, maybe earlier. If I were to give an actual analogous decade I'd go back to the 1870's; the start of Gilded Age. Deeply divided nation; patronage, corruption, and an enormous partisan gulf in government thtat doesn't accomplish much of note for the people. A clawback of social progress in the south - today it's less geographically stark but the cultural divide stems from the grievances of the south from the civil war era. Rapid economic growth driven by technological advancement, staggering wealth inequality. I think we're basically on the early end of a second Gilded Age.

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