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gmr548

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Everything posted by gmr548

  1. Me saying the 2023 Texas defense is not the best defense the program has fielded in 40 years because of their deficiencies against the pass is not me saying they aren’t good. You are stupid and weird.
  2. In October and November Texas has one 14+ point win, BYU. Houston, K State, TCU, and Iowa State all got within the 13.5 points. And of course there is the OU loss. Put a 3-6 point adjustment on those as needed for site of the game and only Iowa State changes. Texas just isn’t winning games by large margins and I wouldn’t touch a line that suggests they will, particularly in an emotionally charged game like this.
  3. You can't post this... ... And then this, without noting that third string Jake Strong threw 28 passes (3 INTs) against K State. Tech was down 17-14 at half and actually took a 21-17 lead before turnoverpalooza started. They've shown to be right there with the teams that have beaten or very nearly beaten Texas this year. I wouldn't be surprised if Texas smoked them but a two TD baseline just seems high.
  4. Tech is better than their record suggests. They played a few games with a third string QB, and against Wyoming in the opener I think they got caught taking a decent opponent with a real home field advantage (at altitude) lightly. This is a 6-5 team that could easily be in that 8-3/9-2 realm along with KSU, Kansas, OSU, and OU - I think they are in that second tier of the conference when they've got a QB. They are probably going to fuck another P5 also ran up in a bowl game. Their defense is pretty solid and Brooks is a stud RB. Their offense relies heavily on Brooks, it will be interesting to see if they insist on trying to give him 30 carries or if they take a pass-first approach on offense. The former probably leads to a long night for Tech. Texas is favored for a reason but I think two TD's is a pretty wack number for the line. Tech is going to come and play their best game of the year and Texas needs to bring the preparation and energy to match, otherwise losing is very much on the table. The flip side of this coin is that I honestly think a resounding win, should Texas do that, would be a lot more impressive than it normally would be against a 6-6 team.
  5. Incredible that you've apparently watched ten Texas games and not seen them play pass defense.
  6. I mean no one has been on the outright fire Sark train. Even the most adamant “this guy ain’t it” believers such as myself plainly stated they expected him to last several seasons. Frankly Texas ended up with him because there wasn’t an obvious home run candidate.
  7. Interesting. Hopefully it’s just the first one on Friday and the rest is moot
  8. But this would also involve ties with OSU and/or KSU and head to head isn’t applied between teams that didn’t all play one another. If both KSU and OSU lose then it would just be Texas and OU at 7-2.
  9. I’m pretty sure Texas has clinched the CCG but it’s not being widely reported like it usually would be. Is that a function of tie breakers being difficult to understand or is there a scenario where Texas still misses out?
  10. But they couldn’t and they aren’t.
  11. Can’t believe Texas lost to this team. I talked myself into thinking maybe they were actually just a legitimately good team. Nope, they are what we thought they were.
  12. This is one of the reasons the preemptive crying about officials here has gotten more annoying every week. At some point you’re getting into saying the conference wants to cost itself several million in revenue. Okay then.
  13. I just fly whatever airline (excl. ultra low cost carriers) has the most cost effective and conveniently scheduled non-stop flight to my destination. Flying sucks so I try to minimize the travel time. Living in Houston, roughly equidistant from IAH and Hobby, it is almost always United or Southwest. Tie goes to Southwest because Hobby is the better airport. I don't know why some people still thinking of Southwest is a discount carrier. Their prices along with United, American, and Delta all tend to track one another outside of a given carrier doing a sale. Delta is the only airline I would say I've perceived as having a better experience than the rest but I haven't really flown them post-COVID since moving here. I have no idea if that is still true.
  14. This. We've been sitting here watching this team play down to competition for the past month and a half but remember they also tend to play up to it as well. And the schematic tendencies that end up letting beaten opponents back in games don't really come out when you never go up by 20. It's all just hypotheticals. In reality the Oregon-Texas-Bama comparison that is the flavor of the month discussion right now is unlikely to even be relevant at the end. Oregon has a heated rivalry game against a really solid Oregon State team and a rematch with Washington to get through. Alabama has to go play at Auburn and then beat Georgia. Texas's remaining regular season opponents don't scare anyone but they have been trying to lose lately, and then there's a Big 12 championship game. Odds are there's a L, or multiple, for that group in there somewhere that renders the whole discussion moot.
  15. Always, always look both ways on green when in Houston.
  16. gmr548

    9-1

    Team A lost by 4 as a 7 point favorite to a team ranked 9 spots below them on a neutral site, while committing three turnovers. They managed to take a late lead as their opponent's offense struggled with miscues in the second half, only to offer absolutely no resistance against their time out-less opponent as they marched down for the win. Team B lost by 3 as a 3 point road underdog to a team ranked one spot higher than them' i.e. the assessment of them essentially being equal played out. They were +1 in the TO margin, with 0 turnovers, and +10 mins in TOP. Their coach elected to pass on taking a FG a couple of times, opting to try to win the game on fourth down. It didn't work and they still drove the field and were in a position to win; it came down to a barely missed field goal. Are these comparable situations?
  17. Iowa State is not very good and popping off with board material was not very smart. They will find themselves down a lot early. They will also be let back into the game in the second half because that’s what Texas does, but it is hard to see them doing better than 21-24 points against Texas, which just won’t be enough. Texas: 30 Iowa State: 24 Texas yardage: 387
  18. On the one hand, the best decision for Ewers’s long term development and earning potential is pretty clearly to return to school. Logically the story checks out. The wild card in this scenario for Texas is what the reaction is from the Manning camp and whether he would sit for another year. On the other hand, Orangebloods. Of course I said that when they called Ewers starting last week. Maybe they’ve got a reliable source in the Ewers orbit. Suppose we’ll find out soon enough.
  19. They know Iowa State isn’t that good and set the line where it is because of Texas’s tendency to opponents back in games, not in spite of it.
  20. So we can reasonably infer Texas we hold them to 10 or less… through three quarters
  21. Fuck OU I hope they lose both of their remaining games
  22. Well I’m sure the program was going to just take the week off and wing it before you posted this, so thank you for your service
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