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Zonahorn

Certifiably Surly
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Everything posted by Zonahorn

  1. That is about what I would expect for Arizona. I would also expect Ciscomani/Schweikert to go down and Democrats to flip the state legislature for the trifecta. And of course, Kari Lake is going to lose by a lot.
  2. The uncommitted came home
  3. Posted this in the house thread, but a result like that for Harris would be huge.
  4. Internal, but top line is the same as Selzer.
  5. Florida is in play, and Texas is also in play. Democrats need to stop dooming about R+3 Florida and R+5 Texas. Trump has a hard ceiling and isn’t gaining support, and both states are way too big of a prize to just write off.
  6. https://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopic.php?f=88&t=120023&start=20 They're weren't forecasting a category 5/ Hurricane Gilbert redux. The fact its a possibility is very alarming
  7. The potential is certainly there. I can’t remember the last time model intensity guidance was this aggressive.
  8. Republican stronghold Tucson is quite the take
  9. https://apnews.com/article/trump-political-action-committees-voter-canvassing-musk-0c1c095a6516b7bcbc80bf94fe0fe45a Oh that’s too bad
  10. I’d like some of what NYT is smoking
  11. An error that primarily affected voters registered prior to 1998. It’s mostly older Republicans. Fontes did the right thing and made sure their votes would get counted. If MAGA want to challenge the result, they will disqualify tens of thousands of their own voters.
  12. They did: https://www.cnn.com/2021/09/24/politics/arizona-election-review-results/index.html Biden won by more
  13. putrid numbers for a Republican nominee. If those hold through Election Day Trump will lose in a landslide. The kind that means he and his party lose Texas
  14. The number of Harris/Walz and Engel signs has exploded in northern Tucson. I’ve seen a grand total of 3 Trump signs so far this year as well. (Seen a ton of Ciscomani signs, but Engel is finally up with her signs). In 2020 I saw a tiny handful, but you could tell based on who was or was not wearing a mask.
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