Jump to content

Zonahorn

Certifiably Surly
  • Posts

    3166
  • Joined

  • Last visited

  • Days Won

    3

Everything posted by Zonahorn

  1. This will help a lot in Arizona
  2. If you need reassurance, go read the Twitter feed of the Florida GOP chair. It's a lot of cope.
  3. Harris needs massive margins from registered NPA voters and Republican defections to win. The available data from Florida is pointing to this playing out.
  4. Even TrafLOLger can't get Trump above 47%
  5. The echelonInsight poll JS1 beat me to.
  6. My ballot gets mailed out in a couple weeks, looking forward to casting it
  7. Even down from 2020, that's still a 600,000-vote firewall
  8. Yes, I've been saying it last year: The only piece of data that looks good for Donald Trump is polling.
  9. The narrative that Harris and the Democratic party are slipping among youth or black voters is media driven bullshit.
  10. That is about what I would expect for Arizona. I would also expect Ciscomani/Schweikert to go down and Democrats to flip the state legislature for the trifecta. And of course, Kari Lake is going to lose by a lot.
  11. The uncommitted came home
  12. Posted this in the house thread, but a result like that for Harris would be huge.
  13. Internal, but top line is the same as Selzer.
  14. Florida is in play, and Texas is also in play. Democrats need to stop dooming about R+3 Florida and R+5 Texas. Trump has a hard ceiling and isn’t gaining support, and both states are way too big of a prize to just write off.
  15. https://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopic.php?f=88&t=120023&start=20 They're weren't forecasting a category 5/ Hurricane Gilbert redux. The fact its a possibility is very alarming
  16. The potential is certainly there. I can’t remember the last time model intensity guidance was this aggressive.
×
×
  • Create New...