suddenly shaggy

Ohhhhh burn. You have wounded me to the quick. You are the one trying to pull the banana in the tailpipe trick on the rest of the board by trying to pass off a piece of shit opinion piece written by a philosophy graduate from Ohio State. I'll trust his opinions on the Tau of burning couches. That's more than I'd trust your gaslighting ass on. If you think their study is flawed, there's nothing stopping you from writing a rebuttal. I'm sure the editors could use a good laugh. Such a revolutionary idea you have that there might be confounding variables. Oh wait, they actually talk about it and control for the most likely confounding variable in the paper you must not have read.

Actually I did and a few minutes on google show that the washington post article you posted is full of shit. Maybe it's just everyone else except you and the rest of the Trumpkin Dumbkins, but a peer-reviewed article written by 4 academics from the University of Tennessee, including a postdoc and a Department chair has a wee bit more credibility than Phillip Bump and his undergrad philosophy degree from Ohio State. Like you, Bump has attempted to minimize the impact of Russian GRU interference in the election in the past and is looking only for data that confirms what he already believes. Bump's article is a lot of words, but is actually garbage. For instance, Bump never even mentions the main method the authors used in the paper, vector autoregression. He also doesn't mention ANY of the significance tests the authors used in the study. The authors calculate statistical significance using a Granger causality test and their results were statistically significant. It's clear Bump doesn't even know vector autoregression, or Granger causality are. That's cool, I didn't either, until I googled it. Bump didn't even bother to do that before writing an article about statistics he doesn't understand. Bump does try to make a big deal out of an R-squared value he claims is 0.27. This is interesting for 2 reasons. 1) The authors never report an R-squared value anywhere in either the paper, or the article in The Conversation that Bump also mentions. Since he doesn't understand vector autoregression or Granger causality, Bump appears to have attempted to calculate an R-squared value himself from one of the graphs in the Conversation article. https://datawrapper.dwcdn.net/zmNad/3/ Note that the graph he's pulling the numbers from isn't precise enough to get exact numbers, but that doesn't seem to have stopped him. 2) Bump is incorrect when he says a value of 0.27 means the correlation isn't that strong. Again, I learned that from google and if he'd bothered to google the phrase "R squared good value", he'd have found that R-squared is the amount of total variation that is accounted for and explained by their model. He would also have found on the first page of google search results that for social sciences, explaining 27% of all the variation is actually pretty good. Given that you claim to do so much peer-review, I would have thought you would have known these things and picked it up as odd from his article. Since you don't appear to know it either, I'll google that for both of you. First, the quote from Bump's article. Now the google results which show that he is completely full of shit. https://lmgtfy.com/?q=good+r+squared+value Here's a quote from the first result, a page made by a statistics program company called minitab. The entire first page of results essentially repeats this in different wordings. I think that's probably enough statistics talk for the day on this thread. Next time you try to obfuscate, try to find an article by someone that can identify which hole is their ass and which one is a hole in the ground, or at least someone that knows how to use google.

Awww, someone seems awfully butthurt now that his favorite lie has been exposed. I think I'll pass on your "analysis", since you've shown yourself to be an intellectually dishonest piece of shit on this thread repeatedly. I have zero interest in your "analysis" of this article and I doubt anyone besides Zavala, Onboard and Chrispy is interested in it either. How about this, if you think the study is flawed, write a rebuttal and send it to the journal for peer review like the authors of this article did. Or, since you're also criticizing the journal, maybe send it to one you like. I bet the Journal of CVS Pharmacists That Like To Pretend They Are Scientists is accepting articles. Make sure to include your obligatory Jesus arm wrestling Satan image so they know you are super cereal. Otherwise, go fuck yourself and enjoy watching Trump turn the 4th of July into a mockery of everything the United States stands for, just like he's done for everything else.

In news that will shock no-one, except the right wing gaslighters, Russia's interference had a measurable and statistically significant effect on the election. Russian trolls working for the GRU raised public opinion of Trump and shaped the narratives for him. Russian GRU troll posts had a stronger influence on Donald Trump's poll numbers than Trump's own tweets had. This should finally put to rest the lie that Russian interference was just a few facebook posts and pictures of Jesus arm wrestling Satan, but I'm sure Anastasis will find some way to both sides it.

It's far too late for you to take your own advice.

Narrator: She didn't.

That $2.5 million dollars Trump is pilfering from the National Parks would be much better spent raking the forests.

You are not going to save this as long as Fox, Limbaugh, Hannity, Levin etc are pushing lies and victimhood 24/7. Their listeners and viewers have been told for 30 years that the Democrats are crooked and getting away with murder. They honestly believe that the Dems and mainstream media have run rampant over the GOP for decades and they view Trump as their revenge. Finally, someone is fighting back for them. They will support him to the grave because he stood up to the libs. It doesn't matter what he does. They'll excuse it as long as he attacks their enemy. If you are talking to someone that mainlines right wing media, whatever amount of time you spend trying to counter it will be dwarfed by the countless hours of indoctrination that preceded you and will come after your conversation. It sucks, but it's the reality. You might reach some of them, but not anyone that choses that poison willingly.

It is a false assumption to assume that undecideds in this election will break like other ones. Never before has the party in power had a major media outlet pushing outright lies 24/7 and demonizing the other side. Never before has the party in power had other countries interfere massively to support them, hacking voter registrations and using a bot army to push their agenda. This election represents an existential crisis for the GOP, Fox and the Russians. All of them will get their comeuppance if Trump loses and the GOP doesn't keep the Senate. Putin will do everything in his power to prevent the Democrats from winning. The Saudis and UAE will be all in as well. Democrats will need a landslide to overcome this.

I'm not going to waste my time, or anyone else's digging through and rehashing your posting history, because everyone on this board recognizes you for the disingenuous piece of shit you are. It's been several years and we can recognize a pattern. I'm not going to post every time you've lied about the FBI abusing the FISA application process, every time you've lied and claimed the dossier was what started the Trump investigation, every time you've lied and claimed that Mifsud was a western asset that entrapped Papadopolous, or any of the other myriad of Fox and Brietbart talking points you smear this board with on a regular basis. I try to be truthful in all of my posts and I'm perfectly happy leaving the board to decide who is the liar and who isn't.

That's on Schumer. Both Schumer and Pelosi need to be replaced with people that can actually lead.

People have done it dozens of times, you just deflect. I'm not wasting anymore of my Saturday on you. Feel free to gloat and think you've proved something. The rest of the readers of this thread already know who you are.

Unfortunately, the shag has done a poor job of calling out habitual liars like you until relatively recently.

That bill had already passed the House. McConnell refused to bring it up for a vote and forced Pelosi to cave instead. https://www.apnews.com/1da70ca1789149a5a2aaf49a869c985c

Trump is "Individual 1" in the Cohen case. He is currently an unindicted co-conspirator. If he wasn't President, he'd be in prison right now. The state of New York is also going to go in dry on him for tax evasion and using the Trump Foundation as his personal piggy bank. They will charge him the second he is out of office and a federal pardon will not save him. Both the feds and the state of NY have recordings and documents seized from Cohen. Trump has repeatedly "joked" about staying in office for 10-14 years and even "joked" about staying President for life, like Xi in China. His supporters have also "joked" about it. Those things are all facts and have been discussed thoroughly on this thread. You are fully aware of them. Equating that with the bullshit Mensch stuff on Hatch and the DNS logs is massively intellectually dishonest, even for you.

You're going to look like this.

You are consistently one of the most vapid posters on this board and a good political barometer would be to do the opposite of just about everything you suggest.

Did you miss the part where I said don't put it up for a vote? McConnell showed her the template, but she wanted the easy path and her vacation.

I'm comparing their districts and you vastly underestimate how angry Democrats will be over this decision. Pelosi is failing miserably. She cares more about keeping HER power than she does anything else. All she had to do was the exact same thing McConnell did, don't bring it up for a vote. Tell the Senate to pass the House bill and go on a media blitz. It's a winning issue and she caved, just like she always does. Regarding the dissenting moderates, if they can't stand up to the GOP and Trump putting kids in concentration camps under barbaric conditions, they deserve to lose and they will anyway because they are fucking cowards. Any competent campaign should have a field day making ads of the Trump lawyer defending not giving kids toothbrushes and soap, while making them sleep on concrete floors with a mylar blanket. It's a fucking layup and the Democrats are acting like a vintage Rick Barnes team, scared and bouncing it off the rim.

I get that, I remember the discussion. I took the position that he could and should disregard the policy. Starr and Jaworski both believed they had the authority to indict. This OLC opinion came down after Starr, but it shouldn't change anything for egregious cases like this. I think Mueller thought Barr was a straight shooter based on their past interactions. Mueller also thought Congress would do their job and didn't account for Mitch McConnell. The OLC policy is reckless and dangerous. It's the dictator's dilemma. If you can't charge a criminal President until after he leaves office, you've given him a MASSIVE incentive to commit wholesale voter fraud, or try to delay/prevent an election. Trump will not step down willingly whether he loses 2020 or not. If he wins, he will try to extend his term, just like he has repeatedly "joked" about doing.

That's what everyone said about Joe Crowley and he lost to someone that actually gives a fuck. Let Pelosi keep refusing to impeach Trump and keep taking it up the ass from McConnell and see what happens. Pelosi is worse than worthless and this is political malpractice.

Fuck Pelosi, she needs a primary challenger.

Fair enough. That was my reading of him repeatedly saying that there wasn't enough evidence to show willful intent, but I'm not a lawyer and you are, so I'll concede that point. Since Mueller could not charge Trump for any crime per OLC policy and Mueller is required to gloss over and overlook any evidence gathered unless he charges the person being investigated, the whole exercise seems rather pointless. It also puts to lie any statements that not even the President is above the law. He clearly is, because that policy does not apply to any other citizen of the United States. Still, Trump has acted guilty as fuck the entire time and I think Mueller would have found a lot more evidence against him if he hadn't been obstructed at every turn. Not that it would have mattered anyway apparently.

That thread is great. Definitely worth scrolling through.