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The Hot Dog Buffet

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Everything posted by The Hot Dog Buffet

  1. Last year's Big 12 championship game (Baylor vs. OSU) outdrew the ACC and Pac championship games combined. The AAC championship game (Houston vs. Cincinnati) outdrew the ACC championship game. I think the idea that ESPN or any network would place more value on the Pac than the Big 12 is ludicrous. The Big 12 will continue to be the third best conference competitively and monetarily until the B1G and SEC break apart from the NCAA.
  2. The interesting thing about all of this to me is that I don't think the SEC would ever even consider Maryland or Rutgers. The product on the field seems to at least matter a little bit to them.
  3. I think it will be interesting to see how playoff bids shake out once it gets expanded to 12 teams. The new Big 12 probably ends up doing pretty well from that end, despite making less money. And most of the remaining schools don't fund very many sports, anyway, so the money they do get goes further with football.
  4. Oh, yeah, everything about it sucks. It used to be harmless because people didn't even care enough about the national championship to make sure #1 played #2 at the end of the year, but those days are long gone and never coming back.
  5. Ten years ago, we all knew that this was headed to four 16 team super conferences. None of us really know a damned thing about what is going to happen other than it will suck.
  6. The "best 48 teams" aren't the best teams in the sense that they are the most competitive. Take a look at the preseason polls when they come out this year. You will find Texas and Nebraska ranked. Ask yourself if ISU could ever come off of a season like either of those teams just had and be ranked the following preseason. That would never happen, and that is what makes Nebraska and Texas better than you.
  7. Yeah, why hasn't anyone thought of that yet?
  8. I think there should be about 10 conferences, each with 8-10 schools, based on geographic region. That way the students can travel to all of the games on the weekend and watch their school try to win the conference championship.
  9. I don't think there's any doubt the SEC is superior to B1G. Yeah, the ACC is probably a better comparison. National championship-tier quality at the top, garbage at the bottom. The B1G is better, but the gulf is a lot narrower than B1G and SEC.
  10. It seems to me that the biggest problem the PAC has is that they have too much west coast inventory. They have programs with national relevance, but they can't put games on Oklahoma's 11 am time slot, and that really diminishes their value to a network. USC/UCLA are worth a lot more to a network in the B1G because all of their road games can kick off early if the network wants to put them there. It would work the same way for programs moving into the Big 12.
  11. I think you would end up taking some 8-4 teams if 8 at large schools come from two conferences. It's more realistic to expect 2-3 teams from each of the Big 12, B1G, and ACC, and 4-5 teams from the SEC.
  12. The tournament makes the money that it does because of the gambling element. Getting rid of the midmajors makes it a lot smaller and more predictable, and it also makes it lose just about all of its value.
  13. Honestly, I think it kind of depends on where everything is going to end up. The only schools left in the Big 12 and Pac that are very likely to end up in the B1G or SEC are Oregon and Washington. So if every other conference gets left out completely, I think the Big 12 is better off with whatever is left of the Pac staying intact and vice versa. If everyone stays in the NCAA and the playoffs get expanded, then the Big 12 has some regrets.
  14. Back when it looked like we were moving to four 16 school conferences, I thought OSU was a shoe-in. I just don't see it if there are only two.
  15. The problem they have is that the best 48 can't get in. Rutgers, Maryland, Purdue, Indiana, Illinois, Vanderbilt, Northwestern, Missouri, Kentucky, Mississippi State, and Minnesota are already there. So it's the best 37. And the B1G seems to be sticking to AAU status being a requirement, even though Nebraska got kicked out.
  16. I'm rooting for you.
  17. There should be a spot, but realistically the only spots are in the SEC and B1G. OSU is not going to the B1G and the SEC clearly is prioritizing ACC schools, or OSU would have been going with OU and Texas. So I don't think there is a spot.
  18. I expect both conferences to make a failed attempt at raiding each other before ending up where they started. The Big 12 has a much better chance at getting a few schools than the Pac 12 does, simply because it offers better national exposure with reasonable kickoff times for schools playing in the mountain time zone. So maybe 40% chance of Big 12 expanding, and 10% chance of Pac managing to get a Big 12 school.
  19. I think OSU ends up left out, sadly. The Pac isn't worth joining anymore and the ACC will be raided next. Maybe they get into the SEC if the SEC is willing to cut dead weight, but that's a big maybe.
  20. The Big 12, Pac, and ACC may have some mutual interest in keeping each other viable. Best case for all of them is to end up tier 2, anyway, and there is value in a league having conferences that have regional rivalries intact. I doubt they are going to be able to see it that way, but they could put out a quality product with a lot of viewers on a streaming service, played at a division between FCS and SEC.
  21. So far, most have trended down.
  22. I look forward to observing Stanford and Cal as San Diego State seeks membership.
  23. The SEC is the only conference that really seems to know what it's doing. They secure regional rivalries with schools that actually care about playing each other, and that draws television audiences. The Big 10 is more focused on getting coast to coast subscribers to its channel than it is on putting a quality product on the field, and I think it will eventually fall apart. USC makes sense from a quality perspective, but I really don't care about watching them play midwest teams. I'd be more inclined to tune into a game where they play Washington State than Wisconsin. Those types of games are fun out of conference because they don't happen often. They aren't going to be fun when they play every year.
  24. I think the number of people actually watching the game matters a lot more today than it did when the Big 10 added Rutgers. The old cable model is dying.
  25. I don't think the Big 10 really wants a Rutgers west. They will take Stanford if Notre Dame tells them to, but otherwise they could really use another school that is going to regularly be ranked. Stanford appears to be drifting toward where they were before Harbaugh.
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