Everything posted by The Hot Dog Buffet
-
Realignment talk not going away
The original Big 12 was the best when Nebraska, Colorado, and Kansas State were all consistently winning 10 games. That was pretty short-lived, though. OSU and Baylor stopped being doormats and the south was a whole lot better than the north by the end of things.
-
2022 Summer Season: Flavor-Aid (Strength: Prison Wine)
I think Texas probably has a 7-6 type year. Incremental improvement and a bowl game.
-
2022 Summer Season: Flavor-Aid (Strength: Prison Wine)
That seems about right to me.
-
Realignment talk not going away
All of the mismatches early in the year allow for the juggernaut games between undefeated and one loss teams at the end of the year, though. Take away the mismatches, and everyone will have more losses. Casual fans won't be nearly as interested in seeing 9-2 Alabama square off against 8-3 LSU for a chance to play in the SEC championship game.
-
Realignment talk not going away
I'd think the Big 12 would try to get VA Tech and Miami if they somehow don't get snatched up.
-
Left Behind: A Quick Dose Of Post Big 12 Reality
Football as a whole appears to be a dying sport, simply looking at youth participation over time and assuming people are more likely to be interested in sports they've actually played before. It's going to be a slow death, but I don't think it will be driving anything in 50 years. It kind of makes sense to cash in now and not worry about the long term consequences.
-
Realignment talk not going away
My understanding is that every Big 12 school has scheduled at least 1 P5 school for about a decade now. Is that not the case?
-
Realignment talk not going away
Last year's Big 12 championship game (Baylor vs. OSU) outdrew the ACC and Pac championship games combined. The AAC championship game (Houston vs. Cincinnati) outdrew the ACC championship game. I think the idea that ESPN or any network would place more value on the Pac than the Big 12 is ludicrous. The Big 12 will continue to be the third best conference competitively and monetarily until the B1G and SEC break apart from the NCAA.
-
Realignment talk not going away
The interesting thing about all of this to me is that I don't think the SEC would ever even consider Maryland or Rutgers. The product on the field seems to at least matter a little bit to them.
-
Realignment talk not going away
I think it will be interesting to see how playoff bids shake out once it gets expanded to 12 teams. The new Big 12 probably ends up doing pretty well from that end, despite making less money. And most of the remaining schools don't fund very many sports, anyway, so the money they do get goes further with football.
-
Realignment talk not going away
Oh, yeah, everything about it sucks. It used to be harmless because people didn't even care enough about the national championship to make sure #1 played #2 at the end of the year, but those days are long gone and never coming back.
-
Realignment talk not going away
Ten years ago, we all knew that this was headed to four 16 team super conferences. None of us really know a damned thing about what is going to happen other than it will suck.
-
Realignment talk not going away
The "best 48 teams" aren't the best teams in the sense that they are the most competitive. Take a look at the preseason polls when they come out this year. You will find Texas and Nebraska ranked. Ask yourself if ISU could ever come off of a season like either of those teams just had and be ranked the following preseason. That would never happen, and that is what makes Nebraska and Texas better than you.
-
Realignment talk not going away
Yeah, why hasn't anyone thought of that yet?
-
Realignment talk not going away
I think there should be about 10 conferences, each with 8-10 schools, based on geographic region. That way the students can travel to all of the games on the weekend and watch their school try to win the conference championship.
-
Left Behind: A Quick Dose Of Post Big 12 Reality
I don't think there's any doubt the SEC is superior to B1G. Yeah, the ACC is probably a better comparison. National championship-tier quality at the top, garbage at the bottom. The B1G is better, but the gulf is a lot narrower than B1G and SEC.
-
Realignment talk not going away
It seems to me that the biggest problem the PAC has is that they have too much west coast inventory. They have programs with national relevance, but they can't put games on Oklahoma's 11 am time slot, and that really diminishes their value to a network. USC/UCLA are worth a lot more to a network in the B1G because all of their road games can kick off early if the network wants to put them there. It would work the same way for programs moving into the Big 12.
-
Realignment talk not going away
I think you would end up taking some 8-4 teams if 8 at large schools come from two conferences. It's more realistic to expect 2-3 teams from each of the Big 12, B1G, and ACC, and 4-5 teams from the SEC.
-
Realignment talk not going away
The tournament makes the money that it does because of the gambling element. Getting rid of the midmajors makes it a lot smaller and more predictable, and it also makes it lose just about all of its value.
-
Realignment talk not going away
Honestly, I think it kind of depends on where everything is going to end up. The only schools left in the Big 12 and Pac that are very likely to end up in the B1G or SEC are Oregon and Washington. So if every other conference gets left out completely, I think the Big 12 is better off with whatever is left of the Pac staying intact and vice versa. If everyone stays in the NCAA and the playoffs get expanded, then the Big 12 has some regrets.
-
Realignment talk not going away
Back when it looked like we were moving to four 16 school conferences, I thought OSU was a shoe-in. I just don't see it if there are only two.
-
Realignment talk not going away
The problem they have is that the best 48 can't get in. Rutgers, Maryland, Purdue, Indiana, Illinois, Vanderbilt, Northwestern, Missouri, Kentucky, Mississippi State, and Minnesota are already there. So it's the best 37. And the B1G seems to be sticking to AAU status being a requirement, even though Nebraska got kicked out.
-
Realignment talk not going away
I'm rooting for you.
-
Realignment talk not going away
There should be a spot, but realistically the only spots are in the SEC and B1G. OSU is not going to the B1G and the SEC clearly is prioritizing ACC schools, or OSU would have been going with OU and Texas. So I don't think there is a spot.
-
Realignment talk not going away
I expect both conferences to make a failed attempt at raiding each other before ending up where they started. The Big 12 has a much better chance at getting a few schools than the Pac 12 does, simply because it offers better national exposure with reasonable kickoff times for schools playing in the mountain time zone. So maybe 40% chance of Big 12 expanding, and 10% chance of Pac managing to get a Big 12 school.