sushihorn

Looked at objectively, Texas has not been able to feature the RB position yet. In reality it relates to limitations of the O-Line rather than scheme. Having a mobile QB enhanced the RB numbers at OSU and UH. But there are indications that the "QB will take your carries" is being used against us by negative recruiters. OU already had a good OL heading into the coaching change and spreads it out enough to get good YPC for their RBs. It's an easy sell.

How soon they forget...

For fumbles he uses a projected recovery rate rather than actual recoveries and attributes the difference to luck. It ignores context but if all you have is aggregate data it makes sense within those limitations. Of course,= in reality there is a very big difference between a fumbled snap and a ball ripped out with a crowd of defenders waiting to pounce.

To be fair, aggy has a lot of practice conjuring narratives out of thin air. They can do it in their sheep by now.

And those were his "accurate" years WRT Tom Herman.

Actually Connelly has been too low in his projection for every Tom Herman coached team. Don't let the fact that he was close 2 times and badly wrong 2 times blind you to that pattern.

Warning: Nerd Rant Connelly seems to forget that real world data is a t-distribution, not a z-distribution (perfect bell curve). And he's using so many data sets that his model has consumed a lot of degrees of freedom.

In the Sugar Bowl Orlando sometimes used just 1-2 DL with their hand on the ground on passing downs. I could see him using 2 hybrids as edge rushers in that situation. In fact, one time he did that and dropped either Shark or Roach into coverage as a robber. Vaughns should be able to fill that role against the pass.

72 rushing yards at 2.4 YPC for a team who ran for more than twice that against Bama and averaged over 250 yards and 6.1 YPC coming into the Sugar Bowl. 72 yards

That is a legit hope and concern for 2019. QB2 will be a possible future starter and a guy who can run Herman's whole offense. That's a guy you want to get into games whenever possible for seasoning now that he's had his redshirt year.

It's basically a data mining project which values DB tackles as the highest measure of defensive production. Considering that the miner has already admitted his model is terrible at assessing Tom Herman teams, I just ignore what he says about Texas.

Only because he's too young to picture himself as Alexis from Dynasty...

It's well past the edit window and wanted to add this: Effective propaganda must possess 2 traits: 1) It must have a surface plausibility and 2) It must have emotional appeal to the masses at which it is directed. The current aggy narrative has both WRT their fanbase. #1 breaks down on close examination but aggy won't admit it because there is too much of #2 (in multiple senses) involved. They desperately want and need to believe they somehow bested the hated and envied "tu" in something, anything really. Nevermind that Jimbo had top 10 talent his whole career and went 19-15 against the top 25. Without Winston, that record looks really poor at 11-14.

If it were just a problem of working with Jimbo, why would the 3 of them have followed him to aggy in the first place? Dameyune Craig spent 4 years at FSU but I haven't seen any report of him leaving aggy. Brewster was at FSU for 5 years, as was Graham. Obviously working for Jimbo and being in Tallahassee were tolerable for those 2. The only change at the margin was aggy and they both ran as fast as possible. Taking lateral moves after year 1 is not a good look for aggy.

No valid LOI and enrolling at Texas for the Spring Semester brings in the Baker Mayfield precedent.

True in that without the attendance there wouldn't even be a discussion. OTOH, I think the (non)existence of a valid NLI could and likely should have a bearing on whether or not the waiver is granted.

I would have started with a more upright Mr. Incredible. It's hard to make a typical shot of a kid fit with the running forward lean.

There has been a lot of confusion on this issue. Nearly all reports claim that Helton and USC released Bru from his LOI. OTOH, there are several articles saying that a NLI was never filed with the NCAA. If that is the case than an LOI might exist somewhere without ever being valid. We don't even have a clear set of FACTS in this case so it's particularly useless to speculate on what the NCAA might decide based on whatever the facts are.

Here is the full list, with commitment dates. OOS recruits are italicized. Early enrollees are underlined: Bru McCoy: 1/25/2019 Jordan Whittington: 3/10/2018 Jake Smith: 7/3/2018 Tyler Johnson: 5/25/2018 De’Gabriel Floyd: 3/31/2018 Tyler Owens: 9/24/2018 Kenyatta Watson II: 5/1/2018 Marcus Washington: 10/26/2018 David Gbenda: 9/30/2018 Brayden Liebrock: 5/8/2018 Chris Adimora: 7/1/2018 Derrian Brown: 9/16/2018 Roschon Johnson: 7/21/2017 Isaiah Hookfin: 12/21/2018 Myron Warren: 11/19/2018 Javonne Shepherd: 2/6/2019 Jacoby Jones: 11/21/2018 (JUCO) Marcus Tillman Jr: 7/28/2018 T’Vondre Sweat: 2/28/2018 Peter Mpagi: 7/16/2018 Caleb Johnson: 12/17/2018 (JUCO) Kennedy Lewis: 12/18/2018 Marques Caldwell: 7/7/2018 Jared Wiley: 5/26/2018

I went back and looked at the timeline of the 2019 Class and as usual the aggy narrative fell apart completely. Herman and Co got a few early stud commits but also just did a better job of early evaluation on kids that no one else was paying any attention to. Some early takes that were WTFs at the time turned into senior season monsters. And Herman went OOS for positions that were thin in Texas from the very beginning. Roschon Johnson committed in 2017, before his junior year even began. T'Vondre Sweat, Jordan Whittington, De'Gabriel Floyd, Kenyatta Watson II, Brayden Liebrock, Tyler Johnson and Jared Wiley all committed before the end of their junior year. 3 of them came from OOS very early. Thus dies the aggyfact(TM) myth that Herman was FORCED to go that route. Over the junior to senior year summer Jake Smith, Chris Adimora, Peter Mpagi, Marcus Tillman Jr and Marques Caldwell joined the class. Herman already had the core of a Top 10 class before the season started - arguably a Top 5 core. The silly delusion of aggy that they were dictating anything or shutting anyone out is just part and parcel of the pathological narcissism that permeates that place. They couldn't be content to achieve something on their own. They STILL had to make it about The University and they lied to themselves to do it.

I did. One weakness of the disguised pressure scheme is you run out of different looks when the play count gets really high. It happened to Orlando against OK St and WVU.

I don't thing much of Orgeron. Aranda on the other hand...