The whole CIA thing actually makes a lot of sense. When it comes to intelligence, the CIA has a long and distinguished history of massive failure after failure.
1. Korea. Even with China amassed 300,000 plus troops on the border, "there is NO threat of them crossing the border and entering the war". FAIL.
2. Vietnam. "Russia will commit combat units to the war. But the Vietnamese people will rise up against the commie bastards" FAIL Russia supplied weapons and limited advisors who were stationed in North Vietnam mainly helping with air defenses.
3. Cuba, the pigs and the missiles thingy. "Easy target, easy to overthrow. Minimal Russian troops present, limited Russian weaponry present". FAIL Not only had Russia assembled a troop force x10 the size of what we thought, they already had nukes present in Cuba, including battlefield nukes and were authorized to use them of the US committed the bulk of its forces into taking Cuba. It turns out the Missle Crisis was only another round of nukes to be installed in Cuba. They already had nukes ready to go at any time. They were later decommissioned quietly in exchange for ours in Turkey and West Germany, ect...
4. Fall of the Soviet Union. Everything we thought we knew about their weaponry, missle capacity, fighting strength was so wrong in all the worse ways if things ever got real. FAIL
5. 911. FAIL
6. Iraq WMDs. FAIL
7. Afghanistan/Taliban. FAIL
That's just the highlights. The failures have been so epic that the CIA can no longer put together bombing target packages. Only so many Red Cross hospitals, aspirin factories, baby bottle factories, ect can be bombed before it becomes obvious that they might be inept at picking where the bombs go.
But now, throw a shit ton of money at something and completely assume that fixed the problem, only to be caught off guard when that didn't fix shit... Yeah, they are great at that! CIAggy. Pretty fitting