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blutow

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Everything posted by blutow

  1. If louisville had michael dickson punting, I think they could find a way to win this
  2. Much more manageable chaos compared to an FSU win (where there is a strong argument that every champ should be in)
  3. Yep, if that win had been against any other team other (except washington or michigan) we'd likely be out with an FSU win
  4. Entire fox crew saying Texas should be in and Bama, FSU out regardless of outcome. And Texas seeded over Bama
  5. First 2 games couldn't have gone much better. Beat down of OSU and Bama not looking great in a win. I'm sure the story will be the great SEC defensive battle, but whatever. Now time to pull for FSU.
  6. Washington will be scariest potential playoff matchup for Texas if we make it in, one of the reasons I was pulling for Oregon last night.
  7. Yeah, I assumed it was referencing the ugliness of the win. Of course the win doesn’t help us.
  8. I don’t think so. should actually help if the committee is picking between Texas and bama. If the decide to include Texas and bama, it might affect seeding, but that’s least of worries
  9. Committee can do what they want, but bama/fsu win sure gives us a better chance than Georgia/fsu
  10. There’s no argument with Georgia if they win today and get a spot. I’d rather be in an argument with champ bama and non champ Georgia vs not being in the discussion at all. FSU loss makes it all clean, but we want bama to win so we have other paths other than fsu loss
  11. Georgia/sec homers and doom and gloom longhorns seem to be the only ones with this perspective. Chance of Texas getting in w bama win is much higher than non champ Georgia going in in front of Texas. I’m not saying it’s zero chance of 2 sec teams with dumb ass committee, but I don’t see it and very few are suggesting it in a situation with 5 deserving champs.
  12. Bama win or fsu loss and we are probably in. Definitely in with fsu loss. Probably in with bama win. Georgia win just takes a spot and devalues our win over bama, it only hurts Texas chances. Unless you believe bama and Georgia are both in. Anything possible with committee, but I haven’t seen anyone propose a non champ Georgia going in over champ Texas.
  13. Pretty much everybody in the media is saying Texas is in with a bama win and fsu win. Either by excluding bama/sec or putting bama and Texas in and booting fsu. These aren’t Texas homers, seems like the the most common take. Unprecedented times. I’d rather fsu loses and nothing else matters. Georgia is out if they lose.
  14. Because Washington's SOS is so good? If Texas does make it in, I think Oregon is a better matchup. So I'd rather Oregon win. But enjoying the beatdown so far.
  15. The only relevant consideration here for Texas is potential playoff matchup. This is the only P5 CCG game this weekend where the outcome doesn't measurably affect Texas playoff chances. PAC 12 winner is 99% in. That said, I'd rather Texas play Oregon rather than Washington in the playoffs for lots of reasons. But my attitude for this game is "whatever".
  16. From the calm of Lake Travis (before tomorrow's storm in Arlington) - FIGHT
  17. The clearest path is FSU (or Mich) losing and then it makes zero difference what the outcome of the PAC12 game is. You could even argue it's better for Washington to win in that scenario if there were concerns about a another 1 loss team in the mix (even though a 1 loss non-champ would almost certainly be out).
  18. Let's hope Louisville comes in motivated. I haven't seen them play this year, but they have won some games. If they win, they will be losing a cut of the $6m conference payout the ACC would have received w/ FSU making the playoffs.
  19. It keeps coming back to "best team" vs. "most deserving team". FSU is clearly not one of the 4 best teams without their QB, but very deserving as an undefeated P5 champ. I could live with the committee putting a priority over "deserving" over "best" (or the other way around), but it's maddening that they have no consistency from team to team. Oregon is clearly the least deserving of the 1 loss teams, but the committee views them as the best. I can live with that, Oregon has won the eye test. But if you want to use "best" as the main criteria, it should be applied to all contenders and FSU should be out.
  20. With the exception of the Pirate back in the day, I think I'd have to rank Gundy as my favorite Big 12 coaching personality. And he's a solid coach. That said, fuck him this weekend.
  21. Yep. Sure, there is some extra drama when a single game can knock you out of the running, but that's not a good thing for the sport. Having more teams/fans in the running means more people care about more games (especially late in the year). With Texas still in the mix, that had me watching all kinds of games I'd normally never tune into. How this bowl system and then 2-4 team playoff thing has persisted so long is hard to wrap your head around. Billions of $'s lost that can never be recouped.
  22. It's ironic that the majority of Texas fans seem to be thinking this way while the majority of Bama fans are thinking Bama is out under this scenario. Everyone seems pretty sure that they are doomed. This is exactly where I'm at. The committee is certainly dreading this scenario more than any other, but I think they would lean Texas unless Bama looked really good and Texas looked bad in wins. Most of the models lean Texas in this scenario and most of the media is saying Texas in this scenario. It might be delusional and it's far from certain, but it seems like the most common line of thinking (even from the Bama/SEC homers). I think the ESPN model has this right, it's around 60% chance Texas gets in over Bama in this situation.
  23. I think it's more likely undefeated FSU slides than 1 loss Oregon, but I don't think either is happening in that scenario. More likely Bama or Texas gets screwed (which I see as a toss up). FSU is the clear outlier in the top 8 after losing their QB.
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