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linux

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Everything posted by linux

  1. Which will inmediately make the number one negative of the candidate.
  2. I kinda wish he did CNN and all the media is compicit in their naked drive for ratings.
  3. They are gone guys, even if they are embarrassed they already made their choice, the vast vast majority will still vote Trump, some staying home, others for RFK others will vote for biden, but it is all already baked in, there are only 10 or so votes on this bone and wasting even thoughtcycles on them is a waste of time. GOTV is all that matters, Trump's terror is his only tactic. Biden has advantage in this it is his only strength calming nerves (due to personality and past results). People are scared people are tuning out, 33% drop in ratings over the previous debate? could we expect a similar drop in voter totals? Yes I know it is embarrassing that some were expecting a 15 point win, but this was always impossible.
  4. The problem is still the civil war, if those polls are real (which I don't trust) and she gets the non-existent non-binding primary win and full backing of the party then yeah make the switch. But as it stands we are still looking at a civil war.
  5. I mean he is a governor of a deep red state, is he the last? But it could also be explained by nepotism. I mean white, male, young, centrist-conservative, adding Kentucky would be nice Cons looks dumb, son of a governor so who knows how that translates into other states. But here we are he is indeed a leading candidate.
  6. Like always everyone has a flaw and his is that he looks as dumb as a paper bag. But yeah he is naively one of the better candidates left.
  7. "Robert F. Kennedy Jr. shared nude photos of women with his friends and appeared to joke about eating dogs, according to a report Tuesday." I hope the fucker that wanted to vote for him to answer this.
  8. I do think she is number 2, but the order after that is a mess or even if they need to bypass #1
  9. As for the polls everything is still up for grabs even those disaster state polls means shit like 40-41 or something? There is still 20% twideling their thumbs, my theory is that they are mostly anti trumpers but currently terrified and sticking to home not vote. and no this has nothing to do with the debate because it has been the same for months. This is why I think Biden has a chance it is easier to calm nerves than change minds. Trump wins only through terror.
  10. Throwing in the towel already? any safeguards ends when he fires them all, don't be so naive, this is the telegramed dictatorship with nuclear weapons. Volunteer if you really care cause it is do or die, even your job is not as valuable.
  11. I mean you hated on democrats (correctly) about "its my turn!", and you honestly don't think that the nominee will not be unpopular? People will hate JUST because they are not his/her candidate, and that is even before we even enter the big tent disaster, the Dem party is a bigger tent than in the 60s
  12. Fine let me explain, the absolute gist of it is that we all think there is a better candidate than Biden, hell I think I am better than him and people loathe me online. But at the end of the day we need to have some humility there is no perfect candidate there is no one that can come down and win by 15% as some naively think. I blame Biden for so many damn things, but history is so dire for a switch so late, it is the only path and I mean only path I see for a Nixon style blowout aka 100% guaranteed loss. I still think that Biden can fall asleep every single day and we stand a better shot with that than a brokered convention.
  13. Exactly history proves us otherwise, this is exactly what Donald Trump wants, see him being quiet.
  14. You said it, why are you trolling?
  15. I have only one rule, no time machines build one please and save us. Otherwise what is the point? I only care moving forward if Biden calls it quits and the result is a disaster I will not be wasting a second arguing hey guys should have listened to me!
  16. See the dude that said his friends think Gavin (the closest to an anti biden candidate) is too slimy, this is it folks we are destined to lose because each one of us would rather go high than go low, be right than win.
  17. Nobody knows there are a a significant chunk of democrat voters that are policy wonks, they would say he has not earned it, get angry that they got passed over for promotion and stay home. If anything I am apocalyptic at the people that think it is this easy. It is a trillion dollar industry and we are monday morning quaterbacking.
  18. It is not scared, it is about the data, people really like to vote for Biden, primaries and elections post Trump prove it, we are looking to cast all of that aside for neoriticsm and unprovable theories. Biden is too old to be president could literally end up being as relevant as Biden is too short to be president, or Biden is too ugly to be president, there is no result out there that has ever proven this, hell voters prefer older candidates more and more and more. What if Democrats had said in 2020 only 60 year on younger can ride this ride? the electorate could have stayed home have any of you considered that a good chunk of it are old people? Biden wins elections, all we have are theories that he will not.
  19. Donald Trump has 40-42% in polls, that is way way way lower than 2020 even his ceiling of 45% is 100% guarantee of failure. He can only win if the 53% anti trump coalition does not vote. That is it that is his only path to victory, not if Biden dies tomorrow, not if he falls asleep every single day, (the latter based on polling) it is the 53% not showing up for the polls and the only scenario I see this happening is in a democrat civil war.
  20. I would still like to see his poll numbers crumble or collapse after the debate to make that decision, with data, we are not seeing that. What I am seeing is people thinking they can get their candidate in. That is what is killing making him lose projections (I am voting for Bernie of staying home!), ironically his polling numbers should be a disaster with how many people think they are right.
  21. Donald Trump has worse polling than when he did in 2020 (I am talking about his points not the delta), meaning that this entire election is close because people are panicking and wishcasting their own perfect candidate that A) does not exist B) will NOT have consensus even if he or she did C) Would be torn back down to earth in no time.
  22. Ironically I am less worried about independents than I am about democrats just crying themselves to sleep and not going to the polls.
  23. They have, 538 correctly picked every single senate seat in 2020, including the second round needed in Georgia, they have been terrible in the past, but according to people here Biden should have cratered like he is now polling at 20% or something when he has actually gained a margin of error. That is nowhere near reality.
  24. All the polling data says you are wrong and you still want to be proven right, color me unimpressed.
  25. I mean the other idiot is borderline 80 as well? your common sense is completely useless because according to you neither Trump nor Biden should be electable but here we are. Again your common sense is useless, it is not matching up with reality, it is like arguing that quantum mechanics have no common sense hence it is fake, it is loser talk.
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