That's true, but with a caveat. The runner was determined to be between 2nd and 3rd when the ball went over the wall. Would he have scored ? Yes - easily. Umpire ruled him back to 3rd due to where the runner was when it happened (and similar to how a traditional ground-rule double would have been ruled). If that ball bounces over the short wall in right field (untouched traditional ground-rule double), it would have been ruled the same way - runners on 2nd and 3rd - regardless of whether the runner would have scored from first or not. The crazy thing to me/question is the contact with a defensive player. The rule states if the player wasn't controlling the ball then it doesn't matter. It's a ground-rule double. I'd expect a rule update/clarification on the player contact part in the offseason, but what's done is done. You cant say Tampa would have definitely won or Boston would have definitely lost because of that play though with Boston hitting a 2 run HR at the bottom of the inning. That's only 1 run and Boston got out of the inning after that. It's one of the weirdest plays I've ever seen. And I am glad the umps deferred to NY for ruling. It would have looked like "the fix was in" to me (and I am a Red Sox fan) had they not done that.