Jump to content

Fud

Legacy Members
  • Posts

    9724
  • Joined

  • Last visited

Everything posted by Fud

  1. Fud

    2025 NFL Draft

    I think so
  2. Fud

    2025 NFL Draft

    Brugler thinks after the top five or so guys, the next 15 could go in any order without anyone really blinking, and then the 21-50 are similarly fluid (I think DJ said somewhere that 20-60 are much closer than normal, which echoes that)
  3. Fud

    2025 NFL Draft

    They’ll draft a WR in the first with Rice coming back and Worthy emerging?
  4. Fud

    2025 NFL Draft

    Brugler said it wouldn’t shock him if Green goes as high as #7
  5. Fud

    2025 NFL Draft

    There's so many draft twitter accounts at the senior bowl that there's at least one person vouching for every player at the practices. Kind of a funny dynamic. Not everyone can have a good day. With a few exceptions, I'm mostly sticking to what DJ and Brugler say For instance, there's a ton of people talking up Jaxson Dart. On yesterday's podcast, DJ said something like "not the best QB group, no one is really standing out, Dart looks fine". Also, as Nate Tice likes to point out, almost all offensive players from that system who get drafted high end up busting
  6. Fud

    2025 NFL Draft

    https://x.com/NFLDraft/status/1885350918671024265
  7. Fud

    2025 NFL Draft

    Yes, the others dropped out, along with players from other teams who made the semis
  8. Fud

    2025 NFL Draft

    https://x.com/nfldraft/status/1885102286080532664?s=46&t=7yufmFT67hgkDkN-IV5rhw
  9. Fud

    2025 NFL Draft

    I think Walter Nolen is senior-bowling his way out of Houston's draft spot at #25
  10. I'm saying that bobby is underestimating our light-loafer's ability to handle double teams
  11. He held up well against double teams in the run game in the playoff
  12. They still have Mike Bobo at OC
  13. Fud

    2025 NFL Draft

    It's a hit rate thing, trying to make drafting more scientific and less art Teams have various "measurables" thresholds at different positions that have to be met to spend a certain value of draft pick. Arm length for OTs, hand size for QBs, max throwing velocity for QBs, arm length for outside corner, short shuttle for ILB, short shuttle for S, three cone for edge, etc They have data that shows players who meet these thresholds have a higher rate of "hitting" than those who don't, so if you filter out the players who don't meet those thresholds, theoretically your drafting should improve. Combine the improved hit rate with focusing on the more valuable positions early, and you should be doing much better than how teams were drafting in the 1990s, at the very least, although if every team is doing it to some degree, is there really an edge? Another way to think about it is these measurables are rare in humans, so draft the players with the rare measurables earlier, and then there should be more players available later in the draft with more common measurables to choose from, and missing later in the draft hurts you less Some teams are all-in on this, while others are pretty lax about it Regarding Banks, I don't see why he can't be Rashawn Slater, who's been a good NFL LT when healthy, and if he were in this draft with the knowledge of how he's played in the NFL (ignoring injuries), he'd probably go top five Another thing to consider is interior OL (which apparently some teams view Banks and even Campbell as) are becoming more valuable because there are more dominant DLs and more difficult to deal with interior stunts than ever before, and the contracts for the top guards tracks with that
  14. Fud

    2025 NFL Draft

    Banks' draft range in the mocks changed because he was likely over-slotted, and DJ finally got around to posting his, and the rest of the industry adjusted since he's the most connected and should have the most accurate mock at any given time
  15. Watched Tennessee and Texas He's not a play-maker yet mostly because he reacts slowly when the play is coming his way and he doesn't have much of a plan in pass rush, but he does a solid job of holding his ground against doubles in the run game against good competition. Another year of S&C and practice and even game reps should see him thinking less and reacting faster in-games, and perhaps then he'll be more productive Before I watched those snaps I thought he was a low floor high ceiling guy, but I think he can already play rotational snaps and hold up well, so he has a better floor than I was expecting. I saw closer to good than elite athleticism for the position, which is more than fine Played mostly at 1-tech, curious to see how he'd look moved around on the line Texas, Georgia, Florida, and even Ohio State wanted him for a reason
  16. If you're trying to find his snaps on youtube, here's the games against P4 opponents where he got the most PT Tennessee- 14 snaps Michigan State- 13 Purdue- 11 Oregon- 8 Texas- 7
  17. Fud

    2025 NFL Draft

    https://x.com/MoveTheSticks/status/1884265673985253741
  18. Fud

    2025 NFL Draft

    For Houston, the positions that make the most sense to me in the first are DT (in large part because there's some high upside guys in this draft who might fall into the mid 20s), WR, OG (there's some OG/OT types, who'd be particularly great fits if Houston sticks with the OZ offense), TE (my Tyler Warren dream has died, he ain't making it to #25), and to a lesser extent S Here's some names that could make sense at each one of those at #25. Some of these names probably have a low likelihood of making it to #25, although there's always a couple of guys who fall for whatever reason and get scooped up by the Eagles, Ravens, Steelers, Chiefs, etc DT: Walter Nolen Kenneth Grant Derrick Harmon TJ Sanders Jordan Philliams Tyleik Williams OG: Kelvin Banks Armand Membou Tyler Booker Donovan Jackson Jonah Savaiinaea Wyatt Milum WR: Emeka Egbuka Luther Burden Matthew Golden TE: Colston Loveland S: Malaki Starks Nick Emmanwori
  19. Fud

    2025 NFL Draft

    I could see them taking Egbuka there if they go WR. He's a plug and play WR2, which they need now with Diggs being a free agent and Tank probably taking two years to get back to where he was Of course, we don't even know what offense they're going to run right now
  20. Fud

    2025 NFL Draft

    Fwiw, he actually has a high pressure rate, he just struggled to convert those into sacks. Some teams might look at that and think they can turn those into sacks, and some might look at that and think consistent pressures are good enough at that pick. Also, draft twitter/fans always underrate power rushing from the edge compared to what the NFL sees. Coaches value edges who'll bully lighter tackles or TEs/RBs, and at Shemar's size he'll potentially offer that I think he starts to become a surplus value pick in the second half of the round. Taking him first overall over Aiden Hutchinson is a different story
  21. Fud

    2025 NFL Draft

    https://x.com/dpbrugler/status/1883180387649847595?s=46&t=7yufmFT67hgkDkN-IV5rhw
  22. Fud

    2025 NFL Draft

    He’s huge and athletic. His lack of production is priced in and is why he’s not a top five pick
  23. Fud

    2025 NFL Draft

    https://x.com/NFLDraft/status/1883153828369097181
  24. Fud

    2025 NFL Draft

    He'll do whichever makes sense
×
×
  • Create New...