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So_co
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Recruiting - 2020
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Everything posted by So_co
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Right back at ya. You nailed the analysis on this one. Worked out just about exactly how you were thinking. Good luck next year, and hopefully we'll meet up in a playoff / championship some day.
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Even if UGA had pulled this out, that wouldn't negate the ass whooping that preceded it.
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Yep you guys have a good team. They are fun to watch. Sam is a stud, and that D plays fierce.
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Texas is the better team. No if's, and's, or but's about it. They dominated at the LOS all night long. Ran the ball effectively and stopped the run as well as any team UGA played all year including Bama. Hope you guys run through the Big 12 next year and beat the heck out of those Sooners. I like your team much better. Physical football is where it's at.
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Huge start
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Good first drive.
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Good start horns
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I don't think so either. Both teams are gonna come with that mentality though
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That's huge news. UGAs defense is noticeably worse without him
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It will certainly be interesting. Two illuminating points about the Dawgs and physical play: 1. Kirby's motto for the team is "Make their asses quit" 2. Fromm after a win vs USCjr early in the year, was quoted with this, "Somebody had to pay for the preparation we do and today that somebody was South Carolina” I could see both of those things coming out of the Texas camp too.
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Very nice hit. Decleater.
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Here's a better way to look at it. D'Andre Swift conference games only averaged 6.90 yards per carry Elijah Holyfield conference games only averaged 5.91 yards per carry These numbers mean more because they cut out the weaker games as you noted, but also only include carries where the game was on the line and not when the third, fourth, and fifth stringers were salting away the game.
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So, back to the original intent of this thread. I played around with the Pro Football Focus grades that were posted earlier in this thread, and did a little manipulation in excel to sort by Overall Grade for the combined teams. I took out the more situational players that had not played over around ~200 snaps. Here's the defensive side of the ball. (I'll put the offensive side in the other thread) INTERIOR DEFENSIVE LINE Player Overall Grade Run Defense Snaps Pass Rush Snaps Coverage Snaps Run Defense Grade Tackling Pass Rush Grade Coverage Grade Jr. Tyler Clark 83.7 143 183 0 87.8 75.7 68 n/a Fr. Jordan Davis (Questionable) 77.9 148 106 0 80 69.4 61.9 n/a Soph. Devonte Wyatt 72.3 84 118 0 77.7 71 59.4 n/a Sr. Chris Nelson 70.5 282 361 10 81.1 67.5 55.6 51.1 Jr. Julian Rochester 66.4 201 219 1 65.7 76.1 62.9 60.8 Jr. Michael Barnett 62.8 125 104 0 66.8 60.9 54.6 n/a Jr. Gerald Wilbon 61.1 99 118 2 63.1 48.7 60.1 65.1 DEFENSIVE END/EDGE RUSHER Player Overall Grade Run Defense Snaps Pass Rush Snaps Coverage Run Defense Grade Tackling Pass Rush Grade Coverage Grade Soph. Malik Herring 85.6 110 118 0 80.5 83.3 79 n/a Sr. Jonathan Ledbetter 82.5 170 224 0 87.2 80.6 67.4 n/a Sr. D'Andre Walker 81.9 221 252 36 79.8 75.8 75.7 75.7 Sr. Charles Omenihu 77.7 210 279 1 77.1 68.4 71 64.9 Fr. Brenton Cox 74 104 118 11 69.3 83.9 68.9 79.6 Jr. Malcolm Roach 65.1 122 133 50 79.4 55 57.4 49.7 Sr. Breckyn Hager 62.5 267 302 36 70.1 52.1 60.9 57.2 Soph. Ta'Quon Graham 57.7 139 148 3 62.8 48.1 57.7 53.6 LINEBACKER Player Overall Grade Run Defense Snaps Pass Rush Snaps Coverage Run Defense Grade Tackling Pass Rush Grade Coverage Grade Jr. Tae Crowder 74.6 173 9 142 60 73.1 78.4 84 Soph. Monty Rice 73.6 124 18 120 75.9 87 60.6 67.2 Sr. Gary Johnson 71.3 336 157 334 83.8 90.2 74.9 49.4 Sr. Juwan Taylor 70.1 184 45 227 68.6 78 65.3 69.2 Soph. Walter Grant 67.7 140 52 39 73.6 77.5 58 61.8 Jr. Jeffrey McCulloch 66.7 219 109 152 67.7 63.4 59.8 66.7 Sr. Anthony Wheeler 64.8 373 112 402 66.6 87 56.4 64.2 Sr. Natrez Patrick 56.5 182 22 147 66.8 43.1 71.8 41.2 CORNERBACK Player Overall Grade Run Defense Snaps Pass Rush Snaps Coverage Run Defense Grade Tackling Pass Rush Grade Coverage Grade Sr. Kris Boyd 80.2 384 9 536 89.8 82.7 76.7 78.5 RS Fr. Eric Stokes 79.1 143 3 182 68.4 76.7 54.7 81.4 Sr. Davante Davis 78.6 275 1 397 79.2 70.3 59.6 76.9 Soph. Mark Webb 73.2 59 3 149 69 87.6 56.1 74.3 Fr. Tyson Campbell 69.9 229 5 276 77.1 90 55.6 67.5 Jr. Tyrique McGhee 65.9 196 17 277 85.9 65.2 62 59.8 Sr. P.J. Locke III 55.3 380 68 473 64.1 50.3 55.1 51.5 SAFETY Texas Player Overall Grade Run Defense Snaps Pass Rush Snaps Coverage Run Defense Grade Tackling Pass Rush Grade Coverage Grade Jr. J.R. Reed 89.7 331 9 395 71.7 65.8 61.4 90 Soph. Richard LeCounte III 83.3 311 2 407 74.9 73 57.6 85.7 Fr. Caden Sterns 73.8 366 10 488 71.7 66.8 54.8 73.8 Fr. B.J. Foster 67.3 197 85 283 73.7 54.8 74.1 60.4 Jr. Brandon Jones 58.5 271 13 334 79.8 68.7 75.5 47.1
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That was a great victory in the Red River Shootout. Gotta throw out all the stats and rankings when it comes to a rivalry game. Anything can happen when teams hate each other that much. For UGA and LSU, the Dawgs ran into a buzzsaw. They got rattled early, got thrown off their gameplan, and never recovered. Sucks too, because a W there pretty much would have secured a playoff spot even with the loss to Bama in the title game. UGA was overconfident and a little too full of themselves. Got punched in the mouth and lost all composure. The only positive from that game was a much needed attitude adjustment. Georgia's average margin of victory for the rest of the regular season Power-5 games after that was almost 20 points. They resolved to not be unprepared or lackadaisical again.
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Thanks for the warm welcome. 😎 I know you're looking at the sack numbers, and making a judgement based on them being lower than one would expect. That's fair. The reality is you are going to be surprised at how uncomfortable in the pocket UGA will be able to make Sam during this game.
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It's just odd to lock in on a "season long trend" of UGA not being able to score more than thirty without Special Teams and/or defensive field position gifts while still defeating the teams by 3+ scores on one hand while ignoring the elephant in the room with UT's struggles to defeat teams that they should really be better than.
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Are they though? You're a stats guy, so I'm sure you are familiar with Football Outsiders. They have UGA as the #4 passing team in the nation in Passing S&P+. Texas is #42. LINK: https://www.footballoutsiders.com/stats/ncaaoff Team Off. S&P+ Rk Success Rt+ Rk IsoPPP+ Rk Rushing Rk Passing Rk SD Rk PD Rk S&P+ S&P+ S&P+ S&P+ Oklahoma 52.2 1 129.1 2 124.7 1 124.8 1 130.6 2 123.8 1 130.8 2 Alabama 46.4 2 131.9 1 122.3 2 120.2 5 132.6 1 121.6 2 141.6 1 Georgia 43.1 3 126.3 3 113.1 10 119.5 7 124.6 4 116.5 4 129.1 3 Ohio State 42.8 4 123 6 101.9 47 101.6 54 121.2 5 110.3 13 122.3 5 Central Florida 41.8 5 113.6 18 105.1 29 106.1 37 116.8 8 105.8 32 118.2 7 West Virginia 41.6 6 111.4 20 116.3 5 106.6 35 113.7 12 110.6 10 118.1 8 Clemson 41.6 7 119.2 10 104.4 34 119 8 108.1 27 110.8 9 118.6 6 Memphis 40.7 8 110.2 24 112.5 11 121.9 4 101.3 66 111 8 108.5 27 Ohio 40.5 9 125.6 4 106.6 25 122.1 3 113 14 118.8 3 108.6 26 Oklahoma State 40.3 10 107.3 35 105.5 28 108.5 25 104.2 43 104.9 39 107 32 Houston 38.9 11 102.7 57 117.9 4 108.6 24 109 23 106.5 27 114.2 14 Ole Miss 37.9 12 114.2 15 114.1 9 111.8 15 112.8 15 113.5 5 113.6 17 Wisconsin 37.9 13 119.7 8 96 89 122.6 2 97.7 80 111 7 102.6 53 Washington State 37.6 14 113.9 16 101.6 51 101.9 53 106.1 35 107.3 24 109 25 Missouri 37.5 15 114.6 14 101.6 52 108.9 21 110.5 17 108.4 20 108.1 29 Purdue 36.6 16 108.1 31 115.7 7 107.7 29 108.8 24 110.3 12 108.4 28 Toledo 36.2 17 108.6 27 110.2 16 116.1 12 103.6 46 111.3 6 100.2 70 Boise State 36 18 119.4 9 97.9 82 112.3 14 107.9 29 108.2 21 114.1 16 Texas A&M 35.9 19 114.8 13 100 64 108.8 22 108.7 25 105.7 33 114.8 12 Utah State 35.8 20 112.8 19 107.4 22 108.4 26 107.4 32 110.5 11 111.3 21 NC State 35.6 21 119.9 7 94 97 97.9 75 113.7 13 105.6 35 112.7 19 Stanford 35.4 22 108.1 32 115.3 8 92.6 105 117.2 7 108.5 19 115.7 10 Oregon 35.4 23 100.7 66 103.7 37 100.5 57 105.1 39 97.1 89 114.9 11 Michigan 35.2 24 114.9 12 101.1 58 107.3 33 115.1 10 110.3 14 103 50 Texas Tech 34.9 25 108.4 29 93.6 101 94.6 97 102.8 53 102 50 105.5 39 Notre Dame 34.7 26 104.3 49 104.2 35 98 74 109.4 21 103.8 44 104.2 45 Florida 34.7 27 110.2 25 100.9 59 107.3 32 107.8 30 106.3 30 100.2 69 Texas 34.4 28 106.4 41 92.1 110 95.2 93 104.3 42 100.2 61 99.6 73
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Ok. So, maybe Texas isn't as talented as I think. Same point still stands. There's a season long trend of Texas not being able out scheme and out effort teams that shouldn't be on the level of Texas, Herman, and Orlando.
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You sir, win the internet for the day. Fine job.
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Was it an outlier though? K-State, Tulsa, Maryland, and Baylor. All teams that a more talented Texas team should have manhandled. All decided by 7 or less.
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So, similar to the teams you mentioned vs. UGA that never really had a chance in the game either?
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I wouldn't say UGA is not "comfortable" throwing from any down and distance. Here's Jake's vs. Sam's numbers on third down passing this year. The numbers are sorted by passer rating making Jake 21st in the nation and Sam 41st. Name Team Yr G Att Comp Pct. Yards TD Int Rating 1st 1st / Att 21 Jake Fromm Georgia SO 12 67 39 58.2 520 9 3 158.77 30 44.8% 41 Sam Ehlinger Texas SO 13 101 62 61.4 849 6 3 145.67 44 43.6%
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While we're talking about offensive struggles, what happened to Texas at Kansas? With the Championship Game appearance on the line how did Herman allow this stinker of a game? Matchup 1st Downs 19 14 3rd down efficiency 6-15 9-19 4th down efficiency 0-0 0-1 Total Yards 297 296 Passing 154 159 Comp-Att 16-28 18-35 Yards per pass 5.5 4.5 Interceptions thrown 2 1 Rushing 143 137 Rushing Attempts 41 33 Yards per rush 3.5 4.2 Penalties 4-35 9-98 Turnovers 2 1 Fumbles lost 0 0 Interceptions thrown 2 1 Possession 31:18 28:42
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One note about using Auburn as an example of a team that held the UGA offense in check. While they ultimately held the Dawgs to a lower scoring output, the team stats tell a very lopsided story. Because of AU's outstanding DL, they were able to muster two big time goal line stands costing UGA 8 points due to settling for FGs. Also, as you can see, UGA was held back by self inflicted penalties too. Just food for thought when trotting them out as an example. Matchup 1st Downs 19 24 3rd down efficiency 3-11 8-14 4th down efficiency 0-1 1-2 Total Yards 274 516 Passing 172 213 Comp-Att 25-37 15-23 Yards per pass 4.6 9.3 Interceptions thrown 0 1 Rushing 102 303 Rushing Attempts 20 46 Yards per rush 5.1 6.6 Penalties 6-52 12-85 Turnovers 0 1 Fumbles lost 0 0 Interceptions thrown 0 1 Possession 21:45 38:15
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