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Burt Macklin

Burnt Ends
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Everything posted by Burt Macklin

  1. why set your sights so low? Forget Moore, y’all should check with Belichek first to see if he’s interested in the OU OL job.
  2. Points per drive is more variable game to game. Stop rate is thought to be more predictive of future defensive success. Similar to pressures being more predictive of sacks than actual sack numbers.
  3. Not likely. He’s probably transferring if he loses to Arch. He wouldn’t get to start until his 4th or 5th year at that point.
  4. It’s a lot of the same concepts, but he’s added a lot more motion and RPO elements since USC. He also employs more 2 TE sets, which helps him vary the formations and looks he gives the defense. I think he picked up some of the 2 TE and motion stuff from what Shanahan did before Sark got to Atlanta, and the RPO was added based on what Kiffin did at Bama before he got there.
  5. Based on how their on track rulings go, I expect the FIA to give RBR some meaningless penalties like some wind tunnel time/CFD restriction and then strip the next team who goes over by a million of all constructor and driver points for the year.
  6. Not sure what you mean. He’s a 4 star on three services, and Rivals having him as an unranked 3 star gives me the most confidence of them all.
  7. I think that has more to do with OU's run D being one of the worst in the country. We'd need to see improved play against a better opponent before we can really call the OU game an improvement by our OL.
  8. We'll probably be favorites in every individual game, but the odds we go undefeated the rest of the year are low. We have too many quality teams left on the schedule and Sark's teams usually struggle on the road. If we can go 5-1 over our next 6, we'll have a good chance of making the conference championship game.
  9. No he wasn’t. Jalon Daniels started against us, not Bean.
  10. Nope. Our OL is above average. We're an elite pass blocking unit, and we're 50/131 in OL yards, which is a run blocking stat.
  11. I hope you're right. We have a good pass blocking OL. We do not have a good run blocking OL, so we will have to pass early and often to avoid 3rd and longs into that 8 man drop. This game is going to be all about Quinn. We will have to throw a lot to be effective, and there won't be a ton of easy, open throws against their D. Quinn will need to be patient and take what is there. He's been a mixed bag in that regard, so this game will be telling of where he's at mentally. I think there's a good chance he rises to the occasion. The other thing to watch is how well we do scoring TDs. Heacock's defenses give up raw yardage, but they almost always tighten up in the red zone and force field goals. Once again, ISU's D is top 15 in the country in points per scoring opportunity. Our offense is top 10 in that category, so it will be an interesting mix of strength versus strength. The one thing I'll say is that Sark will need to stay creative with play calling in the RZ. It seems like he tends to call inside runs a lot in critical downs and the RZ the last two years. That won't work against ISU, so Sark needs to bring his A game play calling-wise.
  12. I'm having a hard time believing the composite of the advanced metrics have us at 4th overall when Hudson Card has taken the majority of the snaps for us, and I still have doubts about situational coaching on both offense and defense, which isn't very effectively factored into these advanced metrics. But if we're 4th overall at this point, you'd expect we'll only rise with Ewers playing from here on out. He'll obviously help the offense, but he'll help the defense too, since we're much less likely to go 3 and out for almost an entire half like we did against Tech. Tech quit respecting the pass in the second half and that led to them causing 3 3 and outs and a total of 6 of 7 drives without a TD in 2nd half and overtime. Teams cant do that with Ewers, so it should help us put games away, which we've been abysmal at with Thompson and Card the last two years. Unadjusted EPA has us at 21st, which feels more like how we've played so far. With that said, we've had a much tougher schedule than most teams ahead of us in EPA, and unadjusted EPA is not a predictive stat, whereas S&P+, FEI etc. are, so we should expect better results for the rest of the year, even if you didn't factor in a healthy Ewers, which is obviously a massive boost in its own right. If you look at opponent adjusted EPA, we're top 10, right around top 5. I'm sure if you only took the plays where Ewers has played, we'd be easily top 5. So despite the frustrations of this season and being only 4-2 and 2-1 in the Big 12. Tl;dr: When healthy, this is by far the best team Texas has had since 2010, we are a top 5 team in the country, and a clear favorite in the Big 12, which is a hard thing for me to accept after watching the last 12 years of UT football. Also, look at the SEC chart in the first tweet. They're in a 3 way tie for 9th in the SEC right now, and I'd say you would expect them to drop to 11th or 12th moving forward with all their QB injuries.
  13. The most interesting thing about this matchup is our defense is 5th in the country not allowing a 1st and 1st or 2nd down. Their offense is 125th in the country in doing so, so they should be forced into a ton of 3rd and 4th down conversion attempts. Their QB is not good, so we should be able to stop them most of the time, Tech game notwithstanding. Also on that point, our D is up to 57th in the country stopping 3rd and 4th downs, so the Tech game will hopefully be the major outlier this season, but I still don’t really trust our play calls in those situations at this point.
  14. Those pff mocks are done to promote their player grades. They’re usually way off.
  15. Burt Macklin

    49-0

    That’s not Riley’s fault. Mims should’ve portaled. He’s a dumbass for sticking at OU.
  16. Lol wut. That would be terrible. Neither Broughton or Collins have been good thsi tear. DT is absolutely a need unless the freshman come on like crazy.
  17. Hutson and Majors continue to be huge liabilities. It’s a shame we can’t replace at least one of them with Angilau. Edge continued to be a huge weakness on D and Jaylan Ford seems to vacillate between great and terrible games. Otherwise, our team is playing at a high level and guys seem to be improving throughout the year. Banks just keeps getting better and Jones has been consistently good. Our DTs are absolutely dominant. They left safeties high all game, which is why the intermediate throws were so wide open.
  18. Yeah, I’d say getting surprised by the wildcat/playing it with light boxes in 2 high was pretty bad, considering we knew their QB couldn’t pass to save his life. But at least we adjusted at half. We haven’t faced many good offenses and I think we have some personnel and scheme weaknesses that will be exploited in the second half of our schedule, but there’s no doubt our D has taken a big step forward this year.
  19. He wouldn’t be going to SMU to start.
  20. Can’t wait for this to be a very dumb post by Saturday evening.
  21. If you think Card played well against Tech, then I’m not sure you know the meaning of the word. He was average at best. And the only time he’s looked good is at home against a god awful secondary wher he still managed to miss some absolute gimmes and was gifted a pick turned into a 50 yard TD. That’s because you overrate Card. There is still a massive difference between Ewers and Card.
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