Obviously, but the point was that 80% of the games we've played so far have been against average to be below average offenses, so using unadjusted YPP 5 games into the season isn't very meaningful.
On the strength of schedule part, since we're only talking about defense, outside of Bama the best offense we've faced is 37th in the country and ULM is as bad at offense as Bama is good, so those two somewhat cancel each other out. Most of the offenses we have left to face will be better than the ones we've seen (besides Bama). ISU is the only one I can think of off the top of my head that's worse.
This is interesting data, but it's still a little early to rely on since most teams have only played two conference games so far. The difference in YPP versus points per drive is pretty huge. I'd have to think it's a big outlier compared to most teams. Normally, I'd expect our 3rd and 4th down conversion rate on defense to come back towards the mean and say the YPP is more predictive, but with our specific DC's penchant for terrible play calling on critical 3rd and 4th downs, I'm skeptical that it will barring a coaching or coaching philosophy change.
Basically this. It seems like a situational coaching deficiency, as opposed to bad luck on critical downs this season. We'll see. I'd be very happy to see us stop giving up these plays.