You would have a point if teams played even remotely the same strength of schedule, but they don’t. SMU’s current SoS is a joke. If they go 0-2 against top 25 teams this season without even playing a single top 15 team, they don’t belong in the playoff. It’s that simple.
This is a truly absurd take. Their resumes look similar only if you ignore the loss column completely. IU and ISU’s SoS isn’t that far apart. ISU lost to two shitty teams. Indiana beat all the shitty teams on their schedule with the only loss being at the #5 team in the country. ISU hasn’t even played a single top 20 team this year. If you drop two games without facing a single top 20 team, how do you belong in the CFP against a team whose only loss is at #5?
And going back to ELS, which is basically how hard your schedule is if you’re a CFP-quality team, ISU is 80th with only .64 expected losses. IU is 43rd with 1.03 expected losses.