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Burt Macklin

Burnt Ends
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Everything posted by Burt Macklin

  1. That was absolutely hilarious. He truly believed that Coach O was building a dynasty at LSU, and Joe Brady’s playbook being called by some geriatric also-ran would take them to the promised land.
  2. Yep, this is two years in a row now you can see the team has some talent, but they’re totally disjointed and lacking cohesion. The lack of coaching is painfully obvious, and makes it hard to watch.
  3. That’s how it is in every single other major sport around the world. Star players are more valuable than coaches.
  4. Early line opened at UT -4.5. We’ll see how it moves after Saturday. I’d guess it’ll end up around 5.5 or 6 unless A&M loses.
  5. I know whenever I see a 2.5 point line, I think the only way the favorite loses is if something very weird happens.
  6. He's definitely considered a day 3 pick right now. It's really hard to say whether that's more like round 5 or 7. I'm sure he'd run a good 40 time, but the other testing numbers aren't as certain. Considering his size and mediocre production, he'd have to test off the charts to go in Day 2. It would be great if we can convince him to stay and be more of a focal point next year. He'd make himself millions in guaranteed money if he can put together one year of great production.
  7. I'm surprised to see Miami's defense in the top quartile. It feels like they're in a shootout that Cam Ward ekes out most weeks. The New Mexico placement certainly checks out. Devon Dampier is one of the most exciting players in all of CFB, and an incredible QB for NMU standards, but they're fighting tooth and nail just to make a bowl because they don't have the athletes on defense to stop anyone. I do find it funny that pretty much every single advanced metric you can find has Texas as a top 3 team, but the media narrative this week is to say Texas has to win out to make the playoff because we don't have a big win. Never mind that our strength of schedule is tougher than pretty much every team they're trying to put in over us, and they can't find a single metric to show the team they're propping up is better than us. Let's focus only on wins against top quartile opponents and ignore any bad losses and quality of play by the other teams.
  8. Sounds like you're just mad because he could beat you in a 40 yard dash.
  9. He’s never even had 600 receiving yards in a season. You’re drastically overrating him.
  10. Using total yardage to determine the best offense in 2024 is certainly a choice. They put up huge yards against terrible teams. They’re much worse against good defenses, and they’re very turnover prone. FEI has them as the 5th best offense we’ve faced. If you factor in UF’a injuries, Arky is the 4th best offense we’ve faced. Huh? Nico has been bad this year, and Tenn struggles to pass the ball, which is Ark’s weakness. We will be able to pass on them. No way they shut us down like they did Tenn.
  11. Where are you seeing this? Every major betting site I see is at 13 or 13.5 still.
  12. It’s really weird that you’re focusing so much on SOR when it’s primarily used as just a part of evaluating a team’s performance, not its own standalone metric. Why should the committee overvalue strength of record while ignoring how well a team actually plays in those games? On top of that, their actual strength of schedule has been a joke. They’re around 70th in SOS in most metrics and that’s with SMU propping them up despite them playing SMU early when they were rotating QBs and were a drastically worse team than they are now. BYU has had a bunch of lucky outcomes against mediocre to bad teams to go undefeated. All their SOR really shows is they’ve been lucky this year. When you look at how they actually play in those games, it’s pretty obvious they’re not even remotely underrated at No. 6 and they’re actually pretty overrated there. Theyre 21st in FEI, 28th in FPI. Wanting them to be overrated even more because they’ve been lucky against a weak schedule makes no sense.
  13. This is what happens when you have a very deep-pocketed alumnus who can easily monetize NIL access.
  14. You’re really overrating the impact of that first game for the next round. 6 seed is not where you want to be at all. You’ll be playing a BIG or SEC team of similar skill level. That extra game against a similarly talented team drastically decreases your odds of winning the title. Then you’ll likely be facing a Miami team that is ranked 9th or 10th by most advanced metrics. Not nearly the pushover of whoever the 4 seed Big 12 champ is that the 5 seed will play. The 5 seed is a good spot to be. 6th seed is not anywhere near as good. The BIG is almost definitely getting the 5 seed this year, so anything short of winning the SEC will put us in a tough spot.
  15. 2 of the top 6. It’s always going to be the case that only 1 team from the SEC and BIG each will get a bye, and they will pretty much always make up the majority of the top 10. Getting the 5 seed over the 6 seed will also be a big advantage since 5 seeds gets to play the G5 team.
  16. Luther Burden at 10 makes absolutely no sense to me. He’s going to test well, and he’s extremely good with the ball in his hands, but he’s not a good WR. He doesn’t seem to separate much against good CBs because he’s not a good route runner, and it’s too hard to scheme guys consistently in the open field to use a top 10 pick on him. He got bottled up last year against good defenses. Against teams with NFL talent on defense (Kentucky, UGA, Tenn, and tOSU) last year, he averaged 3 catches for 27 yards. In the other 9 games he averaged 8 for 123, which is great but not nearly as meaningful when projecting to the NFL. Loveland 13 spots ahead of Warren also seems off. Warren is bigger and a better athlete. I get Loveland is very good, but I don’t see the ceiling for him to be 13th and ahead of Warren.
  17. lol wut. You think Braeden Locke is beating Oregon?
  18. It's wild someone can have this opinion after we all saw the 2021 game with our own eyes. It's one thing to have this opinion 3 years ago before it proved to be dead wrong. Maintaining this take now is truly impressive. Bravo, sir. You belong here.
  19. I'm sure plenty of teams would take a chance on a former highly rated guy for minimal NIL commitment. If Cook still believes he's a star despite all the film he's put out to the contrary then he's going to have a hard time finding a team.
  20. Teams get to start using wind tunnel time on 2026 regs in 2025. RB doesn’t want a second driver that moves them up in the WCC standings this year or next.
  21. Not sure how true it is, but the Cover 3 podcast was saying the reason LSU didn’t do much in the transfer portal this year is because they’re going heavy on the 2025 HS class to put talent around Bryce Underwood.
  22. We were probably going to hit the portal for 1 or 2 high level WRs already. I don’t think Cook leaving had any affect on that.
  23. Huge bummer. He would've absolutely thrived as the WR5 on our roster next year.
  24. That was my read of it as well, but it's also a pretty dumb take considering our OL is struggling with picking up blitzes and also not very effective in the run game. We will absolutely need a good performance from our QB to win at A&M.
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