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closetojumping

Burnt Ends
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Everything posted by closetojumping

  1. Not only is this not correct regarding DJU, it’s not correct in regard to how CFB coaches evaluate and recruit. They’re all looking for a world beater. That got the guy recruited to Clemson. Then other coaches look at him and say “I can fix him”. None of them are looking at QBs to recruit who are just above replacement value. Good lord.
  2. Ga Tech was a popular pick to be upset this weekend and all they did was cover and smother their opponent. Santucci is proving to be a decent to excellent DC, they have a mobile qb, a good OL and a proven running game. Further, they play in the ACC, which looks like its usual dogshit. I'm not calling for Ga Tech to go 11-1, but I've believed they're a decent team and have posted as much during the offseason. In the ACC, the gap between going 7-5 and 11-1 is slim. That considered, they have one of the toughest schedules in CFB, so I'm expecting more 7-5 than 11-1.
  3. Well, Mack and UNC pulled it out against Minnesota. If they can find a way to work a solid RPO offense with the new QB, they'll be 6-0 heading into the Ga Tech game. With FSU sucking wind, UNC's schedule is flaming poo. Everyone is sleeping on them and they're a candidate for the ACC title game if the QB issue is solvable.
  4. Regarding SMU, it's funny listening to the various pundits talk up the FSU @ SMU conference game coming up in a few weeks. "Don't you just know that those SMU fans are thirsty to show off their newfound significance against one of the biggest brands in CFB?" -- Uhh, no, I don't know that. Regarding the Duke@NW game, NW plays really salty defense. I'm interested in seeing if Murphy has developed any when it comes to reading a defense, or if he's just going to throw 3 picks and watch Duke lose this game, 20-13. On Saturday early games: -Ga Tech @ Syracuse should be a good game and tell us more about the ACC and how it will shake out. If Ga Tech wins this game, someone has to start taking them seriously, right? If Syracuse wins this game, they have a shot at being 5-0 heading to NC State. The QB play in this game should also be really good. -I expect KSU to beat Tulane like a borrowed mule. -I'll be cheering for Okie State to beat Arkansas, unapologetically. I despise Arkansas and their "only one game matters" jihad bullshit. I've always liked Gundy and his post game presser comments this weekend cracked me up. Hopefully he doesn't Gundy this up. If Texas faces a walking dead coaching staff against Arkansas in November, so much the better for us. Saturday afternoon games: -Northern Illinois seems like they're good for one decent appearance as a non-conference underdog every year or two. Maybe they play ND close? -The total in the Iowa/Iowa State game is 35.5. Seems like a lot for these two, but they have gone over 35.5 in 9 of the last 15 battles. This game has caused me to nod off on a handful of occasions, against my will. -How can you continue to leave Biff Poggi off of your watch list? The Charlotte Whatevers had their asses handed to them against James Madison at home last week. Poggi grabbed his starting QB, tucked his head firmly underneath his hairy, sweat-soaked underarm, and proceeded to noogie the shit out of him late in the 4th quarter. These guys are going to show up terrified and angry to play the Fighting Mack Browns. -The UTSA/Texas State should be really interesting and likely features two postseason teams. Saturday Evening games: -South Florida is getting 31 points playing at Bama. South Florida is not a bad team and, as we all know, played Bama tight last year. I'm not predicting an upset, but I do think there's more to learn about Bama this week than last week. -Everyone is predicting a big win for Nebraska versus CU. I'm preparing for the inevitable CU absurd victory and for the "Coach Prime" hype to erupt all over again. -OU continues to really test themselves in the non-con with a very manly match-up against UH. Right. Fucking pathetic. They're certainly going to be fully prepped when Tennessee comes to town. -Upset alert feels real in the App State @ Clemson game. I don't say that just because App State has played the role of giant killer historically. They're simply also supposed to be a top G5 team this year. Beyond that, I don't really see what merits the notion that Clemson is just going to throw their hats on the field and get the W. -Boise State @ Oregon late is another one that suddenly looks worthy of a watch. Oregon couldn't get out of their own way last week. Have they cleaned that up?
  5. I think Klubnik is mediocre and would fare better at a G5 also-ran with a decent developer of QBs. Garrett Gilbert did exactly that when he left Texas and it helped him eventually earn an NFL paycheck. If you think Klubnik is the worst P4 QB this year, you'll be relieved to know that that assessment is way off. He's for sure better than the following: McNamara (Iowa), Weigman (ATM), DJU (FSU), KJ Jefferson (UCF - this overrated bum has gotten worse every season of his career and continues to be touted), Daniels (Stan), and probably whoever is at Cal, Pitt and Indiana, at a minimum. Gun to my head, I probably take him over his Lake Travis enemy, Hudson Card, as well.
  6. Age has nothing to do with it, dumdum. In a village loaded with idiots, no one brings down the collective IQ when they show up more than you.
  7. I'm reading and hearing a lot of thinking around the notion that Michigan "held a lot back" against Fresno. I can follow that from the defensive perspective and agree. Fine. I also know that Martindale is going to blitz ridiculous amount of time and he's very likely to do it a bunch with Barham, the Maryland LB transfer. They think he's a great blitzer, so that is a Martindale wet dream. Ewers' numbers when blitzed drop off historically, so that adds to that interest. I expect to see plenty of mugged fronts and weird looks before a few drop back and 1 or 2 come from different places until Ewers handles it. Not incredibly bold to think that. Now, on offense, I'm interested in understanding what in the fuck they were holding back. They tried shit with Orji, they were breaking in new players everywhere (including a new QB), they barely led 13-3 after 3 quarters. They weren't holding back a fucking thing. That was an offense trying to figure out how to play together and also get a win. I'm assuming this will be a close game, but I'm also not sure how Michigan is going to score barring short fields via turnover. They're slow at WR, they're inexperienced at QB and OL, they have a big name back that looks pedestrian, and then you have the star TE that isn't a secret. They're going to sustain a bunch of drives because Texas lacks Sweat and Murphy? Okay.
  8. C'mon, bizzle. crash mostly sums it up here. If you're looking at that OL and thinking "yeah, I can work with that", you're maroon-shaded glasses are trending towards painted an opaque black. For all of the shit we've heard talked about the SEC being some sort of terrifying "LINE OF SCRIMMAGE LEAGUE!!", you can't possibly be taking the position now that that OL is worth a fuck against that backdrop.
  9. As it pertains to DT and FSU: On the FSU 247 board, there is consensus building around the notion of an assistant coach firing squad. They've been complaining about the lack of recruiting skills on the staff since Norvell arrived and now some of the insiders are offering freely two things: 1) They don't have anything coming within sight of firing Norvell, handling the buyout of the incoming staff and handling the new salaries plus future NIL. Total expected cost of such would be between $80-$100M depending upon who they hired. Please note that we all should already know that Norvell's buyout alone after this season is roughly $70M and don't need it stated or erroneously offered as some correction to the numbers I just posted. Also, yes, they're openly talking about firing a dude who went 13-1 last season, en masse. 2) The money thinks it would be a lot easier to fire most of the assistants and force Norvell to upgrade from all of his apparent buddies, and amp up NIL to compete with ... Miami. Amidst all of that, they're hoping to hang onto Odell Haggins, who has been there 31 years and is believed to be one of their better recruiters. He is, however, rumored to be retiring in the near future. https://seminoles.com/sports/football/roster/coaches/odell-haggins/733 What does that all mean for Wynn and Charles? Not sure, but none of it is hurting the notion of Texas winding up with one or both if things continue to go sideways for FSU. In regard to things going sideways for FSU? They've had weak recruiting classes up until last year and a number of busts are materializing from those groups and this cycle's portal haul. Culture is allegedly nonexistent and the notion that JDU is some sort of leader in the locker room is laughable. Beyond that, from here on the schedule, FSU Goes: -bye, -Memphis, -Cal, @SMU, - Clemson, -bye They're staring down the barrel of 2-4/1-5/0-6. There's no one behind Ugalaileleielei, so they're kind of fucked there. They have the Glenn guy, not even from the mailroom, and he's like 18 and sucked mightily last season and hasn't progressed a ton according to those who would know. The media calls the guy a "QB whisperer" and yet, outside of Travis, the FSU era for Norvell is littered with busts and the idea that he could make chicken salad out of chicken shit with DJU is comical. The esteemed OL is also wrecked, gaining 21 whole rushing yards last night, and the DL, the vaunted greatest DL across all of the land, is allowing over 220 ypg. I said before the year that FSU was a lazy top 10 pick and would wind up something like 8-4 due to their schedule, DJU, and general talent deficiencies. Now I'm thinking that 8-4 looks really aspirational. Sarkisian's been a bit blessed at Texas in that the right things have gone UT's way at key moments in recruiting. It could be very fortuitous that Texas was on guys that FSU coveted at DT in this cycle.
  10. Well, you had a 50-50 shot, in any event.
  11. I love it when Missouri is mentioned as some sort of threat. They are the example of a program (besides Nebraska) that shits itself every time it sees the OU paperclip or Longhorn logo. “Oh no, you don’t have to play Missouri!” Give me Missouri instead of Arkansas or Kentucky. Easier game almost certainly since Kentucky is actually decent with no shared history and Arkansas views Texas as its only relevant game in what will be a shit year for them. Also, mentioning missing LSU as some sort of break is funny. They’re a 6-6/7-5 team this year with what remains a shit defense and lacking a dynamic Heisman winner and two 1st round receivers to bail them out constantly when they’re in trouble.
  12. Maybe. I don’t know if we have enough information to really believe that. We know the guy is a decent recruiter with a bag in his hands and we know he’s an excellent X’s and O’s guy, but that’s about all of the information we really have. There’s a tendency here and elsewhere to lump Elko into the buckets of program builder or talent developer. I think it’s because he’s been touted as such for Duke and by Liucci and Pate. Duke looks like a mirage. He beat an overrated Clemson and then little else in the way of P4 programs with a winning record. We’ve heard stories about some sort of magical 8 month culture shift at ATM but there’s no evidence of that. I guess less guys have gotten arrested? As to the talent developer side, there’s actually evidence against that. Leal and Jaylon Jones were drafted below recruiting rankings after starting for most of their time on campus. The Elk was there for both of their time on campus. We didn’t see a lot of other diamonds in the rough get developed and move on to the pros either. Are guys getting better year over year in the groups that he coaches?
  13. Attempting to guilt-troll me over your stupid original take is a fruitless exercise. Sorry the dude passed, didn’t say anything negative about him, and I have zero obligation to worry about your feelings as some sort of bizarre attempt at an adjacency.
  14. @Doc Sam Beckett
  15. Which makes Rimbo’s post even dumber.
  16. Maybe for you it is. I don’t see anything, so I am just assuming that this is another one of your idiotic and thoughtless posts attempting to be funny.
  17. Hold up. That verbose dude actually kicked the bucket?
  18. Dabo continues to actively work to destroy the program he built. His interviews after the Georgia pummelation have him arguing that the game was close and that Clemson had them where they wanted them, just didn’t execute. In reality, Clemson had no prayer in that game and Georgia mercilessly executed against a smart game plan. Georgia knew they had a depth advantage versus Clemson and just needed to control the ball. They’d eventually just wear the starters down on both sides of the ball and break Clemson in the second half. Smart alluded to this approach in post game commentary and the SEC talking heads have stated that that’s been conveyed offline. How did they know they have a depth advantage? Well, Clemson has had a talent drain in the portal and was either going to have to play JAGs or young guys, and everyone but Dabo could see that. Fans on the Clemson boards are complaining about things that would give people here flashbacks and panic attacks. Swinney is playing favorites instead of the best players at different spots, not playing talented young guys early or often, refusing to acknowledge that a favored son QB isn’t cutting it and he’s changed his recruiting approach, which isn’t working. How has he changed his recruiting approach? Well, he’s focused more on “high character” guys with less talent who fit the Clemson “family” better. Guys like Watson and Higgins probably wouldn’t be recruited these days. They’re also actively ignoring or turning away from guys emphasizing NIL. How’s that all working out? Their current class has 7 4 stars and 7 3 stars and will finish between 15-25 in the rankings, with some of that being halo effect for Clemson due to past success. On the field, meanwhile, the talking heads are still projecting Clemson as an ACC championship contender while App State looms, one of the more fun upset picks for the upcoming weekend.
  19. Deeewwwbie dooobie doooo played 0 snaps on Saturday. Hope he and his handlers invested his bag money wisely. Ouch.
  20. Pos rep for the absurdity of the avatar.
  21. Shanhan played 8 snaps. When they signed the Utah C, the guru consensus was that he was going to be the starter. Nabou beat him out in fall camp. The Utah guy was a nothing at Utah. So, of course, Carter Karels is pointing out the PFF grades from the game and implying this is an upgrade. You have Texags doing something similar. They’re coming dangerously close to having to play some of the worst OL in P4 on what looks like what already is one of the worst OLs in P4.
  22. Oh yeah, they’ll fix him right up.
  23. This is a big deal. They cannot afford to suffer losses on the OL. This is a bad unit that just got even uglier.
  24. I’ll post the snap count info later, but it’s kind of stunning to see. Gabriel Brownlow Dindy received zero PT. Hicks got like 12 snaps. Muhammad hardly played on offense. GBD and Hicks were both 5 stars. When people reference that ATM “still has a lot of talent on the defensive front”, those guys are absolutely a driver for that due to their rankings. Albert 3 Star Regis certainly isn’t.
  25. I admit to being one of those idiots shilling for Klubnik, so happy I didn't get my way. I can say that I was emphatically against pursuing Klubnik on this board and elsewhere. His film reminded me exactly of Garrett Gilbert, who I was also adamantly opposed to Texas taking, much less being the only QB they took for like 3 classes. The different talking heads on XM84 yesterday and today - Sallee, Luginbill, Neuheisel, Matt Hayes, Adam Rittenberg, etc., have all sort of mindlessly called the GA game a “bad outing” for Klubnik while then defending him and saying he’ll still be fine. Has no one watched the fucking guy play, like, at all? He was a bum then, and he’s a bum now!
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