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boilerhorn

Certifiably Surly
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Everything posted by boilerhorn

  1. Late to the party, but this. Big tech, with some exceptions, does not want to spend, because they really do not know how to spend. Innovation, nimble architecture and design, small teams, low latency feedback, etc. are anathema to these folks. Every idea that is reasonably sound is then assessed by the bureaucracy, inevitibly leading to the conclusion that the company will need to invest 8-9 figures, 4 years, and 500 people to get a product. And that the product cannot interfere with the existing roadmap, etc. Many really good ideas are dead on the vine. No one wants to challenge the status quo, etc. AND - if there is some internal seed funding - the existing players spend a decent amount of their time trying to derail these new programs. They think it's existential for them, which is mostly false. @immamac's example of large results in a short time is exactly what I have seen in small teams and small companies in my career. LOTS of shit can get done in a very short amount of time. First, the team is small, so the overall communication network is small (fwiw, it is a function of the square of the # of channels - people in this case). Second, selection approach is rigorous. You cannot afford to add mediocre people to the fray. 3rd, each person MUST produce at least 1/n of the output for the company - or should have that mindset at a minimum. In a 10 person company, knowing that you need to produce at least 10% of the ouput is convicting AND motivating. Now convert that to a 300, 1000, or 10000 person company or team with a shitload of "here's how we've always done it" mindset from middle management, 'cuz that's the only thing they know.
  2. That 2023 draft was abysmal for Dallas. Picked a random, well-run organization to asses their 2023 draft: Pittsburgh 1: Broderick Jones, OT, Georgia; Starting RT (struggles at times) 2: Joey Porter, Jr, CB, Penn St; Starting CB 2: Keeanu Benton, NT, Wisconsin; Starting NT 3: Darnell Washington, TE, Georgia; TE2, strong blocker, plays a ton in 12 personnel. 4: Nick Herbig, LB, Wisconsin; WLB2 - backs up Watt 7: Corey Trice, CB, Purdue; on Roster - IR 7: Spencer Anderson, OL, Maryland; on roster - backup G 100% of that draft is on the team. And this team is 6-2.
  3. TDs surrendered by defense: (CSU, ULM, OU scored 0 TDs) Mich: 8-78 1:54 left in 4th Quarter. Texas was already up 31-6. UTSA: 2-75 11:07 left in 2nd. Texas won 56-7. MSU: 7-75, 6:12 left in 4th. Texas was up 28-6 at the time. UGA: 4-13, 0:06 left in 1st. UGA: 3-34, 8:30 left in 2nd. UGA: 11-89, 12:04 left in 4th. Vandy: 5-31, 9:40 left in 1st Vandy: 8-38, 3:11 left in 3rd Vandy: 8-75, 0:46 left in 4th. So - 9 TDs total. 4 given up in under 40 yard drives post turnover. Mich, UTSA, and MSU drives were meaningless.
  4. I believe @immamac's point: They executed a shitty strategy to perfection. This is the outcome.
  5. This. It seemed to me he was in 2020. I read that Biden's people enjoyed the adulation, the experience, etc. of being president, so they did their best to hide/ignore his cognitive decline until it was no longer possible. D's did nothing strategic in 2020. A potato could have beaten Trump that year...
  6. One consolation - no more political ads. I guess the Chili's meetup is no longer happening.
  7. NSIAP - she only got 78% in Philadelphia. Lowest I can find - Kerry got 80% in 2004. FAR fewer votes than Biden. D's need to do a post mortem on this and craft a good plan for 2026. Like it or not, it's clear Harris was not a good candidate. And that die was cast in 2020, when she was chosen as the de facto successor to Biden. Biden chose to step down too late. etc. And, her plans did not resonate with voters. SMH.
  8. Voting for both is unethical and voter fraud 😊
  9. That is fucking fantastic. Over 85% is a good sign.
  10. Did not understand the possible significance of this until I looked it up. Cambria county went to Trump in 2020 68% to 31% (around 26k votes) and 67% to 31% in 2016.
  11. Yes. 538 shows: 503-495-2 Harris in latest 1000 simulations. That's a far cry from the 64% Harris predictions in Sept. https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2024-election-forecast/
  12. HRC got 71.6% in 2016; Biden got 55.4% in 2020. Hope this does not portend an outcome.
  13. This. I recall a panicked look on the face of an election-day reporter in 2016 when Philly delivered under 85% to HRC. Philly is the canary in a coalmine, to an extent.
  14. The Chiefs playing the shittiest division in the whole entire NFL. them being 7-1 versus 8-0means nothing. It is far more important for Tampa to be 5-4 than 4-5 at this point. Purely talking about entertainment value. Kansas City is not very interesting at this point. Tampa Bay with Baker Mayfield is.
  15. Dare I comment in CR this close to an election…. Is Allred good? Maybe. Don’t care. Do the “R”s deserve to be punished for letting DJT take over the party? Yes. Cruz deserves his fate for not punching DJT for calling his wife ugly and accusing his dad for being involved in the JKF assassination.
  16. It’s a race to see if he or Corso needs to be sent to pasture first. That said, let him leave on his terms. Same for Corso.
  17. Kudos to Rick for (1) still being alive (2) still being relevant (3) keeping the 35+ lady crowd out past 3p on Sat In!?
  18. I can do $2501. Just for the entertainment value on the internet.
  19. Yeah. When Erin Andrew’s is a median-level member of the Pom squad at UF…. UF ladies are (and have long been) easy on the eyes.
  20. Draft Kings shows it is now at 21. My (unscientific) approach to validating point-spreads (I am sure I stole this from someone): Take the difference in the "Predictor" from Sagarin and account for Home-Field. Doing this in normal times would yield Texas -11.7, so -11.5. Looks like Vegas is giving 10 points to (1) injuries (2) week of rest for Texas.
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