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boilerhorn

Certifiably Surly
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Everything posted by boilerhorn

  1. Not 100 years; the one 72 years ago does not count. Not relevant. I kid, of course. We've had so many Black Swan, once in a lifetime, unprecedented, etc. events in the past 10 years, it makes me wonder if the talking heads really know what those words mean. On a positive note, we will not see them again in our lifetimes. Regardless, ERCOT and Adler still suck.
  2. Not likely. If he liquidates $1B in Tesla stock, he saves around $140mm in taxes by doing it here in Texas.
  3. ERCOT needs to be massively reviewed/restructured/dismantled after this. When you are less reliable than Spectrum, Comcast, Suddenlink, ATT, Sprint, and Verizon you have failed. As has been said here already, we knew this was coming. ERCOT knew demand would rise. It takes about 3x the energy to run an electric heater over an AC and 50% of Texas homes have electric heat. Simple math says, "Hey we might have demand higher than peak summer." Let's fire up the reserves... The whole "Demand exceeds supply. It's your fault, consumers" mantra is a load of inexcusable crap.
  4. Now where's he going to get that kind of money? Oh nevermind. All Gas, No Brakes. PoleAssassin has a delivery. Hookem
  5. In addition to what @freyguy said, I recommend checking skimmer baskets periodically as the fronts move through the area. If the baskets fill, it impacts flow and could result in a loss of prime. Based on personal experience, I know that you do not want to be trying to prime the pool pump when its 15 degrees and windy.
  6. That is the prudent plan if the coach and GM were not on the hot-seat. The conventional wisdom for Chicago is, "We are a QB away and need to get one so we do not squander the opportunities that the rest of the roster gives us." They have a stout - but aging - defense. This motivates overpaying for a known quantity vs. building for the future. The top QBs in this class are Lawrence, Wilson, Fields, Jones, and Lance, as they all received first round grades. It's possible one of them gets to 20 (maybe Jones or Lance). The NFL is a QB league. All winning teams have good QBs. Few losing teams have "good QBs." (and, yes, I recognize that a strong OL/RB roster can help). That Chicago made the playoffs (8-8, yes) with Trubisky and Foles indicates they have a good roster. And if you are going to trade for a QB, you try trade for a winner - or one who has definitely shown flashes of brilliance. Wentz won in Philly but dropped of precipitously this year. The OL stunk and Philly lacked playmakers. Could he be salvaged in Chicago? Absolutely. 2020 was by far his worst season as a pro. INT rate was 2x average; sack rate was 2x his average. If that was anomalous, he's worth trying again. But I am not sure he's worth the king's ransom needed to get him. I consider taking on his contract as part of that ransom. If he does not pan out, you've taken on a 3-4 year contractual millstone. On paper, making a run for Darnold makes sense, esp. if you can get him for #20 and a 4th. Why not try? You might just be getting another Trubisky. Yes, Gase was a shitty coach and Darnold shows flashes of being a top-16 QB. He shows more flashes of being a bottom-quarter QB. This is a good summary: https://jetsxfactor.com/2021/02/06/sam-darnold-concerning-weaknesses-featured-in-2020-film/ All that to say: The Bears are kinda screwed. They do not have a clear way out of being a 7 to 9 win team in the next 2 years. That is compounded by the fact that the GM/HC are on the hotseat. BTW - the Colts are in a similar bind. Rivers retired. They have Brissett and Jacob Eason on their roster, but neither of those will get you out of Round 1 of the playoffs. But Rivers did not either
  7. The Rams' strategy here is interesting. They've had no first round pick since 2017 and will not have another until 2024. Here's a timeline of relevant Rams activity. 2014 - Starter Sam Bradford out for the year. 2015 - Bradford traded to Philly for Nick Foles. 7th round pick to Texans for Case Keenum. 2016 - Trade up from 15 to 1 to get Goff. Same class as Wentz and Prescott. 2016 - Jeff Fisher fired mid-season. 2017 - Sean McVay hired. 2017.5 - Pick traded as part of Goff trade. Could have had: Mahomes or Watson with that pick. 2018.23 - Traded for Brandin Cooks. Reasonable trade, late #1 for known quantity. Overpaid him. Traded with a 4th to Houston for a 2nd. 2019.31 - Traded to 31 and 206 to Atlanta for 45 and 79. 2020.20 - Traded for Jalen Ramsey 2021.25 - Traded for Jalen Ramsey 2022 - Traded for Matt Stafford 2023 - Traded for Matt Stafford They've had the same GM since 2012: Les Snead. I understand the recent philosophy - trade high draft picks (valuable, yet unproven) for established and proven players. With what we know now, they should have played all of 2016 with Keenum and drafted either Mahomes or Watson in 2017. That said, their coach/front-office composition in 2016 would not have seen the value of either of Watson or Mahomes for 2017; I'm sure that Fisher and Snead discussed the 2017 draft class before pulling the trigger. Hiring McVay allowed them to salvage the Goff pick. #21 and #25 for Ramsey seems like a good football value, contract notwithstanding. I do not see the Rams having top-10 picks in 2022 or 2023. Their roster and coaching staff is too good. So trading for Stafford makes sense. They've seen Goff's ceiling and clearly think Stafford's is higher. Sending Goff, 2022.15, 2023.15 and a 3rd seems like a king's ransom. Consider Goff's crappy contract Stafford's relatively decent contract The demand for capable, established QBs is high Did they overpay? Perhaps, but they were competing with Colts, NE, Denver, SF, Carolina, and others.
  8. Leaving the position unfilled was looking good.
  9. A 2021 version of Mike Tice w/o the roster (Daunte Culpepper, Randy Moss, etc.)
  10. Jay Culter, Gloria Vanderbilt, Anderson Cooper, and Mack Brown (before he transferred to FSU). So.... No. No fans.
  11. Probably only needs a title company to help with closing. They plan to pay with ones.
  12. Crud - meant to edit, but quoted myself. Sorry, folks.
  13. To help all of surl understand the new rules, how would they have been applied to Tom Herman? When could the "Fire Tom Herman" thread start? Warehime hired After he uncomfortably hugs Mack Brown at intro press conference After intro press conference Warehime clogs toilet and swears like a sailor on at Walker Little's house Admission that he watched zero film of players Runny eggs and burnt toast Halftime of Maryland Game (down 30-14) End of Maryland game (0-1 meets less than 50% criterion) Other?
  14. As a reminder, his 1998 staff: OC - Greg Davis OL - Tim Nunez RB - Bruce Chambers TE - Tim Brewster WR - Daryl Drake DC - Carl Reese DE - Hardy McCrary DB - Everett Withers ST - Mike Tolleson SC - Madden Staff was the same in 1999, if I recall correctly; Oscar Giles and Tom Herman were added as GA.
  15. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2009_Alabama_Crimson_Tide_football_team Kirby Smart.
  16. Urban: We're putting the band back together. Charlie: Forget it. No way. Shad: We're on a mission from God.
  17. I'm curious why these guys feel the need to publicly declare who they turned down. Ego and projection of relevance. me: Boss, got a 2x offer from competitor. Boss (option 1): pack your bags and fuck off. Boss (option 2): we'll match. If option 2 is chosen, boss and I don't skip down the halls declaring he just doubled my salary. We'd both be universally hated. I guess I am about to answer my own question - they announce this shit so that (1) coach's ego can be stroked and (2) program's ego can be stroked (3) BMDs ego can be stroked.
  18. You misspoke. Thats Ms. Honorable Fitlump, Esteemed Leader and Representative of the 6th District of Austin for its Confederacy of Dunces (aka City Council).
  19. Bill OBrien will make sure that doesn't occur.
  20. What exactly does that mean? Was he off-limits? And - how is anyone off-limits?
  21. Overall academic reputation - yes; absolutely. Athletics, on the other hand, will not be encumbered in a similar fashion.
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