We just need one conference to implode over the next 4 weeks which isn't unrealistic and usually happens eventually.
Current conference ranking of positioning to get in.
1. B10- 2 in the top 4 that play each other and get a cake walk int he CCG
2. SEC- Georgia only has to survive and get through against Bama in Atlanta. Bama gets in at 12-1.
3. P12- Ranked 5 and 6 just waiting for the Mich/tOSU to play. CCG rematch determines who goes.
4. ACC- Only 1 team that can get in and can't afford a slip up from FSU. Louisville at 12-1 would need a miracle to make the CFP.
5. B12- Only Texas can make it but need 1 of the other conferences to implode.
So of that our most realistic opportunities to get in come from FSU, Washington, and Oregon. Bolded matchups that could cause the chaos we need.
FSU finishes with Miami, North Alabama, and Florida. Then likely get to play Louisville for the ACC title.
Washington finishes with Utah, Oregon State, and Washington State before a Oregon rematch in the CCG.
Oregon finishes with USC, ASU, and Oregon State before a rematch with Washington.