Going independent is a non-starter. Creating a new league without a TV contract is a non-starter. The fiscal hit taken by going independent without a NBC TV deal would be catastrophic. It won't happen. We aren't getting a TV deal like Notre Dame because we aren't Catholic. At this point, we have 5 options.
1. Stay in the Big 12 and add no teams. This is a loser in the long run. The Big 12's next TV deal will not be as good as the B1G deal with Fox or the SEC with Disney. The Big 12 will slowly die on the vine. TV deals will be progressively worse over time.
2. Stay in the Big 12 and add G5 teams/Az schools. This is a loser in the long run. The G5 schools are not profitable outside of TV money. The G5's need to be subsidized in down years. They do not generate enough revenue. They would drop the payout per team in the B12 because they don't command enough TV money.
3. Move to PAC 12. This is not palatable due to the TIME ZONE changes. It could be remedied by combining an eastern division with AZ schools, CU and Utah. The biggest drawback would be that the Pac just sucks. They don't generate enough TV revenue. They are not football States. The one thing that could save this option, would be for Apple or Amazon to break the piggy bank and grossly overpay for a league with Texas and OU added.
4. Move to the B1G. Fenves actually stated that this was his preference. Financially it is a viable choice due to the Fox deal but the closest competitor would be OU and next would be over 800 miles away in the frozen tundra of the north. This is not a good decision because we would be in the B1G West where the football stinks. It would not be attractive to fans to watch the conference opener against Illinois in early October. Blah
5. Move to the SEC. This is the best option. As stated above, we regain all of our historical rivals and then some. Our current LHN contract is with Disney. The SEC just hit the jackpot with it's current disney contract. They are a natural fit. We belong in a league with gomer, piggy, and blo u. They are who we want to play every year. They are our natural rivals.
What are the obstacles to joining the SEC?
1. Belmont Hall has a stick up it's ass when it comes to academics and the SEC. The PC idiots who run our school think that we can have a PC University and make PC decisions when competing with Schools who run their athletic programs like a business. We need to reject the PC politics and get down to running a business. Dodds was excellent at bringing in revenue but was not good at making good football coaching hires.
2. Our current teams in the SEC would regularly be middle of the pack or near last place. Let's face it. We are soft. The money has made us soft. We don't demand excellence in our athletic department. Our fans demand it but the admins don't. In many ways, we are like the Dallas Cowboys. A move to the SEC would remove the ease of the Big 12 and force some changes which would be demanded by the fan base and BMD's.
Personally, I think Texas choses option 1. We are lazy and it's the path of least resistance. If OU does the same, we will slowly become irrelevant in college sports, especially football. So it's up to OU to save us. Please OU, have some balls and kill this conference.