The 2024 election will be a test of which party loses the fewest voters from 2020 COVID election. Record breaking numbers occurred everywhere that cycle and will not happen again outside of a few states. Dem states expanded access to the ballot and largely kept it, Republicans have done everything to stop it. The states needed to win have all expanded access I believe. Democrats are having their third straight all or nothing heart attack election with Trump and resounding midterm wins that has influenced two generations of engaged, young, and now CONSISTENT voters.
The turnout myth of Donald Trump is not proven in Texas. Feel free to disagree. Defeatism without numbers is just pigeon talk.
In 2016 his first year on top ballot, Republicans in Texas only showed a 3% gain in voters from 2012. Democrats the same year had a 17.2% growth in voters.
In Covid year 2020, Republicans increased turnout in the state by 25.7% for Donald Trump, however Democrats increased turnout by 35.62%.
In fact if you look at the gain in voters from Presidential from 2000 to 2020 in Texas you would say the side with the most momentum and team you want to hitch a future to is D. I even used growth cycle for sales ops and rev ops nerds.