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henrygandorf

Certifiably Surly
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Everything posted by henrygandorf

  1. my guess is this is not cbs’ first rodeo. https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=Pe2vBnfKCC4&pp=ygUfdGhlIGluc2lkZXIgYWwgcGFjaW5vIG1vbm9sb2d1ZQ%3D%3D
  2. in 2018 on a late night show she had to be pushed pretty hard to say out loud "we're gonna take back the house" when it was plainly obvious that was happening. i can't remember which show.
  3. what i posted shows that two "trump blowout" predictions are down today. the biggest beneficiaries are kamala 35-64 and 65-104. neither side seems to think this will be close, according to betting sites.
  4. a few of us were on a whatsapp group, and were buying for 40c, selling for 60c, then buying again at 40c over and over. depending on early numbers from fl, nc, pa, mi, etc, i'm expecting a lot of green numbers. then once some reality sets in on fl/oh, things will settle. it'll be a roller coaster but i'm happy with my current positions. up to 10k shares now.
  5. how's your week looking? i've been slowly increasing my shares of pretty much everything on the kamala side. yes, she's not going to win by 105-154, but for 4c, it's worth it. not because it'll cash, but because on tues, if things are looking good, those will triple. not only does pi lean right, but it overreacts harder than any site i've seen. i have about 9000 shares total, and tues will be a shitshow. i'm taking a personal day. also, for anyone wondering, i started buying these a couple of weeks ago, and like i said in my post ^ i was in the red every day. until last night. things are shifting. let's fucking go.
  6. weird. i thought transgender treatment of prisoners was the #1 topic. oh well, back to watch literally any sport on any channel at any time of the day.
  7. sounds like kamala needs an anomaly miracle on election day to keep this close.
  8. outlandish shit like education, climate, criminal justice reform, healthcare.
  9. spoiler alert - it's trump, but older. i for one think he looks fantastic. he's totally making sense and has perfected the weave, which shows super genius, he's moving around well, not dragging his leg, either of them, he's fine walking up or down slight incline ramps, especially down, and he drinks water like a 75 year old. i look forward to him campaigning hard to take back the house in 2026.
  10. i think the registration issues happen on both sides. certain states register you in certain ways. out here in ca, you have to be proactive to be d or r, and a lot of people end up ind because of it (i think this is when you get your ca dl but can't remember). so yeah, registration may not matter or be accurate, my wife's reg says ind. what i'm leaning on more is the issue of haley voters as recently as a few months ago, after she was out of the race, still voting for her and telling pollsters they would vote for kamala over trump. will they all? of course not. but those people exist. every poll i've seen that tracks this info has more r's voting d than d's voting r, but it's impossible to know how big those numbers will be.
  11. hadn’t seen these, no idea of their veracity, but certainly wouldn’t line up with what we keep hearing about gop voting early. the one variable continues to be how many registered r’s are voting for kamala. we don’t know this number but it’s definitely larger than the converse number of dems voting for trump.
  12. i know this is a joke, but i will answer anyway. if she has time, sure, why not. i think 3 hours is ridiculous and i can't imagine listening/watching the trump one for 3 hours holy shit. if they can figure out a way to do it for 60-90 minutes, that makes sense. i will say this - several times during the limited clips that i saw, trump tried to get rogan to take the bait and say something shitty about kamala, and joe refused to do it every time. i'm sure his listeners were hoping he'd talk shit, and he didn't. he's been outwardly very cordial and straightforward about what he wants from the interview, and i would expect the same amount of pushback he gave trump on his answers, which is not much. he said he wants to talk to her and learn about who she is personally, and he at least seems respectful when he says it. all that said, i don't think it would help her win the election, and there's a 100% chance that something during those 60-90 minutes would become "controversial" and a "gotcha" moment for the maga goons, and they would screech about it for a week, and i don't love that. tl;dr - i don't see much harm, but i also don't see much upside. rogan isn't some traditional requirement that candidates have to go on before they run, and i don't want to set that precedent now. he can interview her in a month when she's pres-elect, and it'll be wherever she wants it to be.
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