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henrygandorf

Certifiably Surly
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Everything posted by henrygandorf

  1. the race is “black nazi” and not surprised you haven’t seen it, it’s quite rare.
  2. focus on 3 states - mi/pa/wi. i tried to make it easy but i knew my post was too long.
  3. assuming dems have a better ground game, or at least a bigger budget to support one, this shouldn't matter at all. whereas if you had limited funds (which the gop seems to), then it would make more sense for them to throw resources at lower-propensity voters, so maybe somebody with a brain is in charge there. i don't think anyone expects dems to just go after likely dem voters and disregard everybody else. another interesting thing i heard (anecdotally, of course), is about former nevada residents who moved to ca during/since covid because of all the layoffs. most are still registered in nv, and all of them are voting kamala. i wonder how hard it is to poll nv because of all the displaced residents.
  4. it's been stated but bears repeating. the electoral college is fucking stupid, but the electoral math works out nicely for the good guys this time around. as js and others have said, michigan + wisconsin + pennsylvania (along with the expecteds) gets us right to 270. that's without arizona, georgia, nevada, north carolina, or any other "hope" states. would it be nice to win nc? of course. would keeping it competitive in ohio, florida, and texas be a harbinger of good things to come? obviously. but don't get it twisted - the rust belt is everything. that's why kamala has been hammering mi/wi/pa. trump, along with stops in ca, ny, and il, is now in north carolina. nc is important - to him. if he loses there, it's pretty much done. but that list of states, while nice to have, don't add up the way the rust belt does. get mi/wi/pa and it's all over but the crying. vote like your ability to say "fuck your feelings" to the deplorables depends on it, because it absolutely does. https://www.270towin.com/
  5. antonio clown? ben fraudlisberger? plaxico smallhands? i can do better.
  6. y’all need to stop with this. if trump wins, he will be in office unless/until he dies. he will try to claim he can run again, but once that fails, he will not give two shits who is president after him. whomever runs in 2028, he will not campaign for them, he won’t lift a finger unless it puts $$$ in his pocket. he will likely prefer a dem win, because it’ll make people angry enough to donate to whatever grift he’s running. he’s not a republican, he has no attachment to any of those policies. he doesn’t care about the future of…(insert anything you want here).
  7. ok boomer. like i’m gonna remember every single detail from a story from 30 years ago. this is the “niiice cock” story, right?
  8. every time we see early voting breakdowns, there's always "first time voters" or "didn't vote in 2020" or whatever. i would love to see a breakdown of those. i can't imagine anyone of voting age voting for trump for the first time, though i'm sure they exist. not sure what happened over the past 4 years that would make you vote for trump after not voting for him in 16 and 20. then there are people who are just turning 18, and i guess some of them are voting for him? all logic and reasoning say that if the first-time/didn't vote in 2020 number is large, it's good for kamala, right? right?
  9. this feels like episode 2 of an upcoming hulu docuseries. maybe hbo max.
  10. if trump was at the top of his mental game, would that change things for you? he could be winning jeopardy every night then doing a 90 minute set at the comedy store and he would still be trump.
  11. so the october surprise is that he’s old and diminished?
  12. definitely have noticed how his vocabulary has shrunk from 75 words to 68 words. it’s bad.
  13. fucking ridiculous. what’s the breakdown of the honey + viagra recipe?
  14. casinos don’t build themselves.
  15. mark cuban just called elon musk a "world class troll" on cnn. because that's something that happens now.
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