it's tricky. they've had him on a short leash lately - throwing 4-5 innings, knowing how important he'll be in the playoffs for them. can you imagine a rotation with mclanahan, springs, rasmussen, and glasnow? fuck all that. civale was a smart trade. i think glasnow will go 5 strong, 0-2 er allowed. right around 7-8k, he'll be fired up, but don't know about the 16.5 outs. any hint of trouble and they'll yank him in a short series. honestly if he went 4.2ip, 7k, 0er, that wouldn't surprise me. they have the arms.
the guy who's been killing it has been montgomery. like most lefties he's streaky, and he's on one right now. and like i said, the rays are very hit or miss because of all the replacement guys on offense. i think this could be 1-1 or 1-0 after 5, which is why i like 1st 5 under/4 (-120). i exclusively take 1st 5 bets. ranger 1st 5 runline could be interesting +0.5 runs.
semien has great numbers against him, but not many other rangers do. he'll have the adrenaline pumping which could mean loss of command. i don't feel good about the rays tomorrow. i might take rangers +140 for the series and jostle back and forth accordingly. i think it definitely goes 3. this series will come down to corey seager and the rangers pen. that's my prediction anyway, for entertainment purposes only.
they just had a nightmare scenario play out, so it's better that they get right back on the field. sucker bettors will assume a rangers hangover, long travel, quick turnaround, and bet big on tampa. time to zig when everyone else zags. i predict montgomery goes 6.2ip, 2er, keeps them in it.