
Captainant
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Posts posted by Captainant
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Snuck up on me, but apparently trump is delivering remarks on "violent crimes in cities" which I'm guessing is going to be about Portland, Chicago, et al
https://www.c-span.org/video/?474083-1/president-delivers-remarks-violent-crimes-cities
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9 minutes ago, woohorn said:
I'm familiar with the scanning software where IC people scan each piece of shredded paper and a computer program reconstructs the document, but I can't believe it works well with modern cross cut shredders.
Is burning really necessary?Honestly, even with modern cross cut shredders the information isn't really gone, it's just obfuscated. If you could digitize all of the crosscut shreds it would be the same problem as before for reconstructing long shreds, just with an additional dimension because it's cutting the long strips into short strips.
Burning/deconstituting the physical media is the only surefire way to ensure the information is destroyed. Even with shredding, it's normally just a stopgap until the paper can be pulped or burned before it's considered completely destroyed
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9 minutes ago, workswithseed said:
One of the ladies in the video says that they murdered 2 people yesterday, and I'm not seeing anything about that.
Best to assume it's not true until evidence is produced, but the fact that we have reason to believe the feds would do such a thing speaks volumes
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13 minutes ago, Iconoclast Texan said:
According to this author, if you are a parent planning to do an educational pod you are perpetuating white supremacy. No shock, this garbage is found in the NYT.
It is an opinion piece. And NYT has had some recent, erm, issues with their opinion column in recent months.
But it is also true that our schools have become more and more segregated with time due to socio-economic factors that just happen to closely mirror racial demographics. But of course the reason isn't political, it's economic 😉
The main thrust of the opinion piece is that if learning becomes solely a household/community responsibility, the reality of the situation is that many poor children are going to fall far far behind. The article backs up its points with data and statistics, it's worth a read for no reason but to challenge your own biases - even if you disagree with it
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3 minutes ago, Lobo said:
Yeah, CNN spends half its broadcast day pointing out lies/inaccuracies from the Trump administration. Nobody fucking gives a shit anymore. his base doesn't fucking care, and they sure as shit don't watch CNN. It has been a modicum of fresh air to see some on Fox News calling out a little bit of the administration's bullshit. But CNN and the networks just fucking berate us over and over again with the same minutiae of Trump's.
It's not swaying voters one way or the other. Biden gets 5-10% of the 80 million American adults who didn't vote for either major party candidate (7mm broke for Johnson, Stein, Mullin), particularly in the Rust Belt and this thing is a landslide.
Just call these unnamed/unmarked DHS guys "Trump's Troops" and show them beating up middle-aged mothers armed with bike helmets and breast cancer fundraiser t-shirts, or show them wailing on an Annapolis graduate, etc. That'll get all Johnson, Stein, and Mullin voters into Biden's camp. But nope, this evening will be Cuomo and Lemon making faces of astonishment at one Trump clip after another.
Democrats should using Portland to take dead aim on Johnson/Mullin voters (I'll assume all Green Party will break for Biden). And then go convince 5% of those remaining 73mm in a handful of states to get out and vote this time. That's it, that's all they need to do. But nope, keep trying to convince Trumpers their leaders is a liar and bitch about how the party platform isn't economically progressive enough for your tastes. See where the fuck that gets us. Four more years of this asshole, that's where.
Agree. National news (and most news) just covers the same stories over and over and over and brings on talking heads to talk about what other talking heads said about some issue.
It's infuriating how actual real serious stories like this one get so little coverage, and when they do it's usually fairly inaccurate and late
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7 minutes ago, BigHorn'13 said:
Sad part is is that unifying moment has already came and past. Had the dotard taken this shit seriously from the beginning, I strongly believe that there would be more outrage over China's handling than ours.
George Floyd's death would've probably fucked all of that up regardless so it's a moot point.
If we hadn't handled COVID just as poorly has china had, he may well have a point. But we're getting dunked on by the virus
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53 minutes ago, Bozo_Casanova said:
Mueller: “Mueller HEB”
Man I miss going to that HEB. After I graduated and started my career, I lived in that area for a few years and it was always a nice spot to grab a beer and listen to some live music before getting groceries
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9 minutes ago, AUS-97HORN said:
not getting political at all because its entirely possible this is an ego trip from our current leader.
but does it sound THAT shocking that China may be housing a spy network in the US based out of Houston?
The russians have a spy network based in their embassy - but as was pointed out, a consulate is not the same thing as an embassy.
we've caught multiple Chinese nationals over the last 20 years who were providing lots of information to China and charged with either industrial or actual espionage.
It sort of goes without saying that embassies and consulates are spy and intelligence hubs. It was certainly the case during the Cold War, not sure why it would be such a surprise now.
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11 hours ago, HRSchenker said:54 minutes ago, HRSchenker said:
Unless the tweets were taken down by Twitter, it clearly shows fires being started at the entrance where police are looking out towards the crowd.
I clicked through what you posted and I saw one small fire being set, which appeared to be put out quickly. And a bunch of people putting down graffiti and getting beaten by federal stormtroopers. Are there individual acts of violence? Clearly so. But that is not an excuse or a license for the feds to brutalize everyone just for being nearby to someone else committing a crime. Nevermind that DHS has been abducting people to question them without probable cause or charges just to interrogate them about the guy they happened to be next to.
This is a whole thread recapping the DHS presser yesterday in which they outlined what an illegal arrest is, and then denied that the exact same series of facts executed by their officers was illegal
I encourage you to read some of that as well to temper your seeming enthusiasm for bringing the hammer down on everyone present who's clearly guilty by association.
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5 minutes ago, iodeac said:
This will probably be a dumb question, but what defines the boundaries of herd immunity? If it's defined as an entire geographical area, we're screwed because like you said that would be 228 million people, but can it be applied to small cities or towns where the percentage of infected would reach those levels?
Enviado desde mi SM-G973U mediante Tapatalk
Not a dumb question, John's Hopkins has a good information page on it
(Relevant excerpt below)
https://www.jhsph.edu/covid-19/articles/achieving-herd-immunity-with-covid19.html
What will it take to achieve herd immunity with SARS-CoV-2?
As with any other infection, there are two ways to achieve herd immunity: A large proportion of the population either gets infected or gets a protective vaccine. Based on early estimates of this virus’s infectiousness, we will likely need at least 70% of the population to be immune to have herd protection.
- In the worst case (for example, if we do not perform physical distancing or enact other measures to slow the spread of SARS-CoV-2), the virus can infect this many people in a matter of a few months. This would overwhelm our hospitals and lead to high death rates.
- In the best case, we maintain current levels of infection—or even reduce these levels—until a vaccine becomes available. This will take concerted effort on the part of the entire population, with some level of continued physical distancing for an extended period, likely a year or longer, before a highly effective vaccine can be developed, tested, and mass produced.
- The most likely case is somewhere in the middle, where infection rates rise and fall over time; we may relax social distancing measures when numbers of infections fall, and then may need to re-implement these measures as numbers increase again. Prolonged effort will be required to prevent major outbreaks until a vaccine is developed. Even then, SARS-CoV-2 could still infect children before they can be vaccinated or adults after their immunity wanes. But it is unlikely in the long term to have the explosive spread that we are seeing right now because much of the population will be immune in the future.
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3 minutes ago, Bevo said:
So let's pick a city - NY or Austin or Houston. I say that we will have an outbreak after Labor Day and when schools reopen and then no more peaks through 2020. What is your doom and gloom prediction? After you let me know, we can make a little bet.
I don't think I'm giving doom and gloom predictions, I'm applying numerical analysis to the "let's go for herd immunity" argument. But your eagerness to literally bet on the lives of hundreds of thousands of Americans is noted
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10 minutes ago, HRSchenker said:
Unless the tweets were taken down by Twitter, it clearly shows fires being started at the entrance where police are looking out towards the crowd.
Then you should link those here
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3 minutes ago, kevwun said:
They did some antibody testing in New York and even they were nowhere near close to herd immunity. It is a pipe dream. There are 326 million people in this country and we are at just under 4 million confirmed cases. That's .01%.
And hell, even using the CDC's worst case estimate of a 10:1 ratio of unknown to known cases, that's still only 40 million confirmed cases out of 326 million people. At worst, 12% of the population has had COVID - and herd immunity starts around 60% of the population.
I don't think ramping (at least) to 5X the number of cases and deaths is a good or desirable outcome. That's over half a million dead Americans, while our allies and neighbors are handling their pandemics with significantly fewer deaths and less economic uncertainty.
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42 minutes ago, Ag with kids said:
No, I'm asking bozo to clarify things for me. I'm an engineer, Merely telling me "this is bad" or "this is wrong" is useless to me. I need details about WHY it's bad and WHY it's wrong and also I'd like to understand what his view is on rectifying the unfavorable maps.
NOTE: This does NOT mean that I think the current maps are good for you reading comprehension-challenged posters...
I read the post above where they came up with a whole bunch of different maps. But, do those actually meet the @Bozo_Casanova criteria for local and community interests?
The one that was supposed to be the closest was trying to use county boundaries as much as possible...
But, is all of Travis County a community and local interest? How about Dallas County - Plano and Lancaster are both suburbs of Dallas inside Dallas County...and they have very few community interests,
So, I'm trying to nail down the definitions and requirements for meeting the criteria of local and community interests...
Sorry that you just want to insult me. I used to post a lot on Hornfans and Shaggy...but, I've seen that this place is closer to Democratic Underground than either of those sites...so I stay away, Got sucked in a little bit lately though...against my better judgement.
In terms of data driven definitions of a badly gerrymandered district, a straightforward examination of lopsided wins and % of votes cast for a party compared to the % of seats they actually win.
Princeton did a good study on it, it's got some good analytical work. 538 did a podcast series on it, the first 30m episode is a good mini lecture on the empirical definition of gerrymandering
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Damn, another miss on my 2020 bingo card
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I am honored that someone would spend so much time just to be petty to me. Thanks for the laughs @stone oak
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44 minutes ago, GRHorn said:
The biggest exit scam ever.
I challenge you to justify the current market climates without using the word "stonks", because shit is violating basic principals of free markets right now. This is one hell of a bubble that is happening during the worst unemployment in modern history
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1 minute ago, Rougarou said:
He lives in Portland, right?
more like Porkland, amirite?
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Huh, just realized from reading the article linked by Parliament that the dam's failure would imperil Wuhan. That's some biblical shit, wash away the origin of the pandemic with a flood?
2020's writers are really swinging for the fences
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5 minutes ago, Parliament said:
"Deformed slightly." Just slightly.
https://asiatimes.com/2020/07/three-gorges-dam-deformed-but-safe-say-operators/Well it's ok, everyone knows that concrete deals really well with permanent deformation after a load higher than it was designed for
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Just now, jimmyjazz said:
Homeschooler, anti-vaxx
name a more iconic duo
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4 minutes ago, Hate said:
Carpet bombing."Rolling Thunder" has a whole new meaning
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13 minutes ago, Texas Jeff said:
Healthweather.us (the wifi thermometer guys) is showing big declines in rate of spread for Texas.
Compare June 19th with July 20th
Their calculated Travis County Rt values:
- June 19th - 1.13
- July 20th - 0.92
Above 1 things go to crap and below 1 it goes away, eventually.
As a recap, Abbot gave support for fines on June 17th, closed bars on June 26th, and issued the statewide mask order on July 2nd. All of that is working.
There is a way out of this, using Cloth Age technology and spreading out until the vaccine cavalry arrives.
I'm not so hot about heavily processed data from a wifi thermometer company lol. Per Texas DHS data, on June 19th there were 3454 new cases and 35 new fatalities due to COVID in Texas, and on July 20th there were 7404 new cases and 62 new fatalities due to COVID in Texas.
The late measures taken by Abbott in June and July after blocking the exact same actions on the local level in April and May are indeed working, because that's what we should have been doing all along.
As I said before, I REALLY hope he changes his thinking and considers more than "the numbers are good right now so let's reopen" when our cases stop growing so severely.
Epstein files update (there are no Epstein files)
in Cloak Room
Posted
re: Trump saying he "doesn't know the situation with Prince Andrew"
He cracks a joke about Andrew going to epstein island for fucks sake! (If the timestamp didn't work, start at 1:20)