Everything posted by quigley
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2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.
That's suicide for his chance for higher office. Good for him to take a stand that he wasn't obligated to take.
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2024 Election "I voted" thread.
Thank you for the context. Really interesting to learn.
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2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.
fify
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2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.
She went on Fox but was scared to do a podcast with...anyone?
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2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.
I was more thinking an old man with a limp falling down. Hard.
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2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.
I need to see what he looks like walking up and down stairs.
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2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.
And of course they're still doing it. 45.6 vs 43.9 with 8 point error!
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2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.
Or the FTC. (I know they'll still be rich, but some of their prestige will be diluted).
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2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.
Alternatively, they know that Tester's toast, Nebraska's a no, and Florida's fucked. Gotta shoot your shot in Texas.
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2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.
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2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.
Amazon loses money on some products to make more on others. WaPo don't make money never. Bezos didn't care. Now he does. As someone else said, he may be concerned about retribution from Trump admin (fwiw, FTC going after them for monopolistic behavior would be okay with me)
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2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.
Your posting on a message board. Pretty boomer behavior.
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2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.
Not that anyone who reads WaPo needs the editorial page to tell who to vote for, but this is weak and stupid. They pissed off 85% of their readership. Bezos is acting like he's okay with the paper being a loss leader.
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2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.
Someone with a national platform who understands just a little math (Mark Cuban?) is going to have to embarrass the NYT by asking how they can extrapolate from a biased 2.5% response rate to a voting population.
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2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.
Thank you for the data. Please tell me how you're interpreting it based on expectations and benchmarks.
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2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.
Put on billboards
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2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.
I agree it's being leaked late (and too late) for a reason. But I posit it's "Wall St" or money financial people in general worried Trump will fuck shit up or just that success in American business will be largely dependent on whether you curry favor with him and his administration. Also, how is this a surprise? We know the Starlink system used by Ukraine was being turned on and off. It wasn't being done by accident.
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2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.
Loud and proud bro
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2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.
If this is obvious, I'm sorry I missed it. I'd love to learn this. Why are they across the street from each other so frequently? Are they going to become charging stations in the next decade?
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2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.
I've being waiting for them to drop an ad like this. I'd be more specific and drop in Mike Johnson and Project 2025 references but I'm sure they tested inclusion of those things.
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2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.
They're reporting data with a 2.5% response rate. Their margin of error is ENORMOUS. When I see my friend who is part of PAC, I'll ask him how internal polling differs from public polling and why they're reluctant to share it.
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2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.
i used to listen to the 538 politics podcast regularly. Clare Malone was an obvious no nothing, but somewhat entertaining. I lapped up Silver's and Enten's bullshit for years. The "experts" here have better balance than those goofs.
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2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.
Silver wasn't that far off in 2016. At the end, 538 had the race at 70-30 for Hillary and definitely in the margin of error. 538 did a lot better than a lot of aggregators. His models did fine in 2018 also. I lost faith in Silver when he started talking about the pandemic. He knows nothing about biologic systems, epidemiology, virology or an relevant modeling. Yet, he felt very comfortable spouting off bullshit. When presented with his errors, he refused to acknowledge them. Smart people know enough to know where their expertise ends. His confidence talking about stuff he knows nothing about underminded my confidence in his ability to talk about anything.
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2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.
Why. do. you. quote. the. fake. Nate???? You're blood pressure will improve if you click "unfollow."
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2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.
"And hopefully you'll read the ads on the webpage and visit the companies that support us. Come back next week to see where our meaningless vibe barometer is pointing."